AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag Prediction

AZ Alkmaar
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
ADO Den Haag
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar·Erwin Blank, Netherlands 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.62
SignalGOODModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+10.1%
AZ Alkmaar Rest
6 days
ADO Den Haag Rest
8 days

AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag: result, form and history

AZ Alkmaar beat ADO Den Haag 2-0 in the Eredivisie on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.43
X
21%4.65
2
15%6.57
Double Chance
1X
85%1.10
X2
36%2.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.63
No
44%2.14
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.87 + 1.1 = 2.97
Over 1.5
82%1.14
Over 2.5
59%1.49
Over 3.5
33%2.24
Under 1.5
18%5.30
Under 2.5
41%2.55
Under 3.5
67%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.7 = 9.4
Over 8.5
62%1.35
Over 9.5
50%1.61
Over 10.5
39%1.99
Under 8.5
38%2.83
Under 9.5
50%2.15
Under 10.5
61%1.73
Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'Goal cancelledElijah Dijkstra
57'Weslley Patati INC. Stengs out
57'M. Meerdink INT. Parrott out
57'F. de Bruin INM. Jimenez out
57'J. Hawkins INI. de Ruijter out
61'R. Daal
64'D. van Mieghem INN. Thomas out
64'E. Rottier INJ. Bal out
68'C. StengsAssist: K. Smit
72'K. Smit INH. de Wit out
73'M. Chavez Garcia INM. de Wit out
74'Juho KiloFoul
81'R. Daal INA. Oufkir out
85'P. Mulder INL. Wilhelm out

Lineups

AZ Alkmaar
4-2-3-1Coach: Leeroy Echteld
ADO Den Haag
4-4-2Coach: Robin Peter
Avg rating7.11
Avg rating6.53
J. De Busser6.628J. De Busser
E. Dijkstra6.922E. Dijkstra
W. Goes7.23W. Goes
L. Schouten7.516L. Schouten
M. Chavez Garcia7.015M. Chavez Garcia
D. Kwakman7.321D. Kwakman
P. KoopmeinersC7.26P. Koopmeiners
Weslley Patati6.77W. Patati
K. Smit7.910K. Smit
R. Daal9.311R. Daal
M. Meerdink6.635M. Meerdink
K. Nikiema7.01K. Nikiema
M. Hokke6.615M. Hokke
P. Mulder6.23P. Mulder
M. Waem6.24M. Waem
S. Sylla5.918S. Sylla
D. van MieghemC6.57D. van Mieghem
F. de Bruin16F. de Bruin
J. Kilo7.325J. Kilo
J. Hawkins6.917J. Hawkins
E. Rottier6.311E. Rottier
Y. Eduardo6.746Y. Eduardo

AZ Alkmaar Substitutes

1R. Owusu-Oduro
2S. Maikuma
18R. Ichihara
23B. van Duijl
24A. Oufkir81'for R. Daal6.6
75H. de Wit72'for K. Smit6.5
34M. de Wit73'for M. Chavez Garcia7.2
14C. Stengs57'for Weslley Patati68'7.0
9T. Parrott57'for M. Meerdink6.2
17I. Jensen
62J. Oerip
45B. Kovacs

ADO Den Haag Substitutes

20C. Kramer
12S. Eekhout
27N. Thomas64'for D. van Mieghem7.0
8J. Zamburek
22L. Wilhelm85'for P. Mulder6.6
35S. Bergtop
14M. Jimenez57'for F. de Bruin6.2
19L. Reischl
9J. Bal64'for E. Rottier
10I. de Ruijter57'for J. Hawkins5.9
32D. van Loenen

Match Stats

AZ AlkmaarADO Den Haag
53%Ball Possession47%
9Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal7
10Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots3
9Fouls14
4Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
470Total Passes406
387Passes Accurate327
82%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
1797Elo Rating 1601
1.21Attack 1.23
1.56Defense 1.47
17%Hit Rate 17%
15.8Shots per Game 13.5
5.0Shots on Target 3.8
5.3Corners per Game 3.4
1.6Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+195 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.97 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag0Wins · 0%
3.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Eredivisie16/01/2021
AZ AlkmaarADO Den Haag
21
Eredivisie25/10/2020
ADO Den HaagAZ Alkmaar
22

Recent Form

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
4W6D0L
02/08/2026
PSV EindhovenAZ Alkmaar
04
W
25/07/2026
AZ AlkmaarOlympiakos Piraeus
32
W
22/07/2026
AZ AlkmaarGenk
40
W
18/07/2026
Zulte WaregemAZ Alkmaar
11
D
11/07/2026
AZ AlkmaarAlmere City FC
21
W
04/07/2026
AZ AlkmaarGent
33
D
17/05/2026
AZ AlkmaarNAC Breda
33
D
10/05/2026
FeyenoordAZ Alkmaar
11
D
03/05/2026
AZ AlkmaarTwente
22
D
23/04/2026
GO Ahead EaglesAZ Alkmaar
00
D
ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
8W1D1L
31/07/2026
ADO Den HaagAsteras Tripolis
00
D
24/07/2026
Lommel UnitedADO Den Haag
04
W
18/07/2026
KV MechelenADO Den Haag
23
W
04/07/2026
LaakkwartierADO Den Haag
15
W
24/04/2026
Den BoschADO Den Haag
13
W
17/04/2026
ADO Den HaagWaalwijk
51
W
12/04/2026
DordrechtADO Den Haag
10
L
06/04/2026
ADO Den HaagFC Eindhoven
40
W
03/04/2026
ADO Den HaagJong Ajax
42
W
22/03/2026
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
12
W

Referee Profile

Erwin Blank159 matches

3.70Cards per match
3.56Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Erwin Blank3.70
Other referees3.24

3.70 cards a match, 0.46 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.24).

Cards come from 149 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1282240:15+2526WWDLW
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1274136:17+1925LDDWW
3AjaxAjax1274132:15+1725DWWWD
4TwenteTwente1273230:12+1824DWWLD
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1272324:16+823WLLDL
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1263324:16+821WWWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1255220:20020DDWDD
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1245324:27-317WLWLD
9GroningenGroningen1243529:28+115LLDLW
10CambuurCambuur1243525:27-215LWWDW
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1235420:21-114WLDDD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1233621:29-812LWLWD
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1233613:24-1112DWDWL
14UtrechtUtrecht1233621:34-1312LLDWW
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1232716:29-1311LLLLL
16TelstarTelstar1224618:25-710DWLLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1223716:25-99WLLWD
18Willem IIWillem II1203911:40-293DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1240:1526
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1236:1725
3AjaxAjax1232:1525
4TwenteTwente1230:1224
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1224:1623
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1224:1621
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1220:2020
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1224:2717
9GroningenGroningen1229:2815
10CambuurCambuur1225:2715
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1220:2114
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1221:2912
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1213:2412
14UtrechtUtrecht1221:3412
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1216:2911
16TelstarTelstar1218:2510
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1216:259
18Willem IIWillem II1211:403
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

AZ Alkmaar and ADO Den Haag in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, AZ Alkmaar are 5th and ADO Den Haag 17th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: AZ Alkmaar 24-16, ADO Den Haag 16-25. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AZ Alkmaar and ADO Den Haag have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.