PEC Zwolle vs Ajax Prediction

PEC Zwolle
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Ajax
Mac3Park Stadion, Zwolle·Jannick van der Laan, Netherlands 09/08/2026
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
0-2
Finished
AjaxAjax

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
78%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.47
SignalSTRONGModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+15.0%
PEC Zwolle Rest
8 days
Ajax Rest
2 days

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax: the result in context

Ajax beat PEC Zwolle 2-0 in the Eredivisie on 9 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Ajax had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for PEC Zwolle.

Ajax have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
6%5.92
X
19%4.58
2
75%1.47
Double Chance
1X
25%2.56
X2
94%1.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.55
No
44%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1 + 2.52 = 3.52
Over 1.5
97%1.13
Over 2.5
92%1.45
Over 3.5
60%2.15
Under 1.5
3%5.60
Under 2.5
8%2.63
Under 3.5
40%1.69
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.1 + 6.8 = 9.9
Over 8.5
62%1.38
Over 9.5
50%1.69
Over 10.5
39%2.13
Under 8.5
38%2.66
Under 9.5
50%2.03
Under 10.5
61%1.64
Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

33'A. OuazaneFoul
57'S. FloranusFoul
60'I. Cissoko IND. van der Haar out
61'Y. Regeer INM. Godts out
61'S. Berghuis INJ. Brandt out
61'O. Gloukh INJ. Mokio out
61'D. Mbayo ING. Reiziger out
67'K. Dolberg INMarcos Leonardo out
73'A. Ouazane INT. Arokodare out
74'T. Oosting INT. Velthuis out
76'J. MokioAssist: T. Arokodare
85'T. Sommer INE. Sorensen out
85'R. Thomas INO. Velanas out
86'D. KlaassenFoul
88'G. ReizigerUnsportsmanlike conduct
89'K. KostonsFoul
90+5'J. BrandtAssist: M. Godts

Lineups

PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1Coach: Henry Van Der Vegt
Ajax
4-3-3Coach: Michel
Avg rating6.71
Avg rating6.96
Jasper Schendelaar7.91J. Schendelaar
Olivier Aertssen6.63O. Aertssen
Simon Graves7.228S. Graves
Nick Viergever6.924N. Viergever
Sherel Constancio Floranus6.02S. Constancio Floranus
Tobias Sommer7.08T. Sommer
Ryan ThomasC7.330R. Thomas
Dylan Mbayo6.711D. Mbayo
Thijs Oosting6.625T. Oosting
Ibrahim Cissoko6.922I. Cissoko
Koen Kostons6.210K. Kostons
Marc-André Ter Stegen7.51M. Ter Stegen
Lucas Rosa6.92L. Rosa
Aaron Bouwman8.230A. Bouwman
Youri Baas7.915Y. Baas
Caio Henrique6.912C. Henrique
Davy KlaassenC6.218D. Klaassen
Youri Regeer6.36Y. Regeer
Oscar Gloukh7.010O. Gloukh
Steven Berghuis6.923S. Berghuis
Kasper Dolberg6.39K. Dolberg
Abdellah Ouazane6.368A. Ouazane

PEC Zwolle Substitutes

16Tom de Graaff
41Duke Verduin
5Tijs Velthuis74'for T. Oosting6.0
33Damian van der Haar60'for I. Cissoko6.3
42Dylan Ruward
9Elias Sørensen85'for T. Sommer6.3
18Odysseus Velanas85'for R. Thomas6.9
37Gilles van der Wal
34Nick Fichtinger
20Gabriel Reiziger61'for D. Mbayo88'6.6
26Jadiel Pereira da Gama
38Givaro Rahajaän

Ajax Substitutes

26Maarten Paes
22Joeri Heerkens
17Daley Blind
3Anton Gaaei
5Owen Wijndal
24Jorthy Mokio61'for O. Gloukh76'7.6
7Maher Carrizo
11Mika Godts61'for Y. Regeer7.0
8Julian Brandt61'for S. Berghuis90+5'7.5
99Tolu Arokodare73'for A. Ouazane6.7
38Marcos Leonardo67'for K. Dolberg6.2
20Oliver Valaker Edvardsen

Match Stats

PEC ZwolleAjax
31%Ball Possession69%
2Corner Kicks10
2Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
7Total Shots26
2Shots on Goal6
2Shots off Goal8
4Shots Inside Box13
3Shots Outside Box13
3Blocked Shots12
12Fouls10
4Goalkeeper Saves2
238Total Passes548
173Passes Accurate482
73%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
AjaxAjax
1564Elo Rating 1863
1.28Attack 2.28
1.45Defense 1.87
19%Hit Rate 69%
13.3Shots per Game 16.6
5.7Shots on Target 6.2
5.3Corners per Game 4.8
1.2Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.52 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
AjaxAjax
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle0Wins · 0%
Draws220%
AjaxAjax8Wins · 80%
2.6Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie01/03/2026
PEC ZwolleAjax
00
Eredivisie13/09/2025
AjaxPEC Zwolle
31
Eredivisie09/03/2025
PEC ZwolleAjax
01
Eredivisie24/11/2024
AjaxPEC Zwolle
20
Eredivisie31/03/2024
PEC ZwolleAjax
13
Eredivisie17/12/2023
AjaxPEC Zwolle
22
Eredivisie30/04/2022
AjaxPEC Zwolle
30
Eredivisie11/09/2021
PEC ZwolleAjax
02
Eredivisie14/03/2021
PEC ZwolleAjax
02
Eredivisie12/12/2020
AjaxPEC Zwolle
40

Recent Form

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
2W1D7L
01/08/2026
Hannover 96PEC Zwolle
30
L
26/07/2026
PEC ZwolleAEK Athens FC
23
L
18/07/2026
PEC ZwolleCercle Brugge
32
W
11/07/2026
PEC ZwolleAl-Jazira
01
L
17/05/2026
PEC ZwolleFeyenoord
02
L
10/05/2026
Fortuna SittardPEC Zwolle
32
L
03/05/2026
PEC ZwolleHeracles
10
W
23/04/2026
PSV EindhovenPEC Zwolle
61
L
12/04/2026
PEC ZwolleExcelsior
22
D
05/04/2026
GO Ahead EaglesPEC Zwolle
50
L
AjaxAjax
8W1D1L
06/08/2026
AjaxShelbourne
31
W
02/08/2026
FC VolendamAjax
13
W
30/07/2026
AjaxVojvodina
41
W
26/07/2026
AjaxBurnley
21
W
23/07/2026
VojvodinaAjax
14
W
18/07/2026
AjaxOlympiakos Piraeus
10
W
15/07/2026
AjaxVfL Bochum
11
D
10/07/2026
AjaxAEK Larnaca
10
W
04/07/2026
AjaxPanathinaikos
13
L
24/05/2026
AjaxUtrecht
4030
W

Referee Profile

Jannick van der Laan163 matches

3.36Cards per match
3.27Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
22.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jannick van der Laan3.36
Other referees3.22

3.36 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.22).

Cards come from 154 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1174033:12+2125DDWWW
2AjaxAjax1173130:13+1724WWWDD
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1172235:13+2223WDLWL
4TwenteTwente1172228:10+1823WWLDW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1162320:13+720LLDLW
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1154218:18019DWDDW
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1153319:13+618WWWLW
8GroningenGroningen1143426:24+215LDLWW
9CambuurCambuur1143423:22+115WWDWD
10GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1135323:27-414LWLDD
11Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1133520:26-612WLWDL
12UtrechtUtrecht1133519:31-1212LDWWL
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211LDDDD
14PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1132612:23-1111WDWLL
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1132616:28-1211LLLLD
16TelstarTelstar1123616:23-79WLLDL
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1113713:24-116LLWDD
18Willem IIWillem II1102910:39-292LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1133:1225
2AjaxAjax1130:1324
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1135:1323
4TwenteTwente1128:1023
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1120:1320
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1118:1819
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1119:1318
8GroningenGroningen1126:2415
9CambuurCambuur1123:2215
10GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1123:2714
11Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1120:2612
12UtrechtUtrecht1119:3112
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1117:1911
14PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1112:2311
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1116:2811
16TelstarTelstar1116:239
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1113:246
18Willem IIWillem II1110:392
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the PEC Zwolle vs Ajax forecast

The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

PEC Zwolle and Ajax in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, Ajax are 2nd and PEC Zwolle 14th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: PEC Zwolle 12-23, Ajax 30-13. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.