PEC Zwolle vs Ajax Prediction

PEC Zwolle
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Ajax
Mac3Park Stadion, Zwolle· Jannick van der Laan, Netherlands 09/08/2026
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
0-2
Finished
AjaxAjax

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
78%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.47
SignalHIGHModel62%RiskMediumGap+15.0%
PEC Zwolle Rest
8 days
Ajax Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
6%5.92
X
19%4.58
2
75%1.47
Double Chance
1X
25%2.56
X2
94%1.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.55
No
44%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1 + 2.52 = 3.52
Over 1.5
97%1.13
Over 2.5
92%1.45
Over 3.5
60%2.15
Under 1.5
3%5.60
Under 2.5
8%2.63
Under 3.5
40%1.69
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.1 + 6.8 = 9.9
Over 8.5
62%1.38
Over 9.5
50%1.69
Over 10.5
39%2.13
Under 8.5
38%2.66
Under 9.5
50%2.03
Under 10.5
61%1.64
Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

33'A. OuazaneFoul
57'S. FloranusFoul
60'I. Cissoko IND. van der Haar out
61'Y. Regeer INM. Godts out
61'S. Berghuis INJ. Brandt out
61'O. Gloukh INJ. Mokio out
61'D. Mbayo ING. Reiziger out
67'K. Dolberg INMarcos Leonardo out
73'A. Ouazane INT. Arokodare out
74'T. Oosting INT. Velthuis out
76'J. MokioAssist: T. Arokodare
85'T. Sommer INE. Sorensen out
85'R. Thomas INO. Velanas out
86'D. KlaassenFoul
88'G. ReizigerUnsportsmanlike conduct
89'K. KostonsFoul
90+5'J. BrandtAssist: M. Godts

Lineups

PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1Coach: Henry Van Der Vegt
Ajax
4-3-3Coach: Michel
Jasper Schendelaar1J. SchendelaarJasper Schendelaar
Olivier Aertssen3O. AertssenOlivier Aertssen
Simon Graves28S. GravesSimon Graves
Nick Viergever24N. ViergeverNick Viergever
Sherel Constancio Floranus2S. Constancio FloranusSherel Constancio Floranus
Tobias Sommer8T. SommerTobias Sommer
Ryan Thomas30R. ThomasRyan Thomas
Dylan Mbayo11D. MbayoDylan Mbayo
Thijs Oosting25T. OostingThijs Oosting
Ibrahim Cissoko22I. CissokoIbrahim Cissoko
Koen Kostons10K. KostonsKoen Kostons
Marc-André Ter Stegen1M. Ter StegenMarc-André Ter Stegen
Lucas Rosa2L. RosaLucas Rosa
Aaron Bouwman30A. BouwmanAaron Bouwman
Youri Baas15Y. BaasYouri Baas
Caio Henrique12C. HenriqueCaio Henrique
Davy Klaassen18D. KlaassenDavy Klaassen
Youri Regeer6Y. RegeerYouri Regeer
Oscar Gloukh10O. GloukhOscar Gloukh
Steven Berghuis23S. BerghuisSteven Berghuis
Kasper Dolberg9K. DolbergKasper Dolberg
Abdellah Ouazane68A. OuazaneAbdellah Ouazane

PEC Zwolle Substitutes

16Tom de GraaffG
41Duke VerduinG
5Tijs VelthuisD
33Damian van der HaarD
42Dylan RuwardD
9Elias SørensenF
18Odysseus VelanasM
37Gilles van der WalM
34Nick FichtingerM
20Gabriel ReizigerM
26Jadiel Pereira da GamaM
38Givaro RahajaänM

Ajax Substitutes

26Maarten PaesG
22Joeri HeerkensG
17Daley BlindD
3Anton GaaeiD
5Owen WijndalD
24Jorthy MokioM
7Maher CarrizoF
11Mika GodtsF
8Julian BrandtM
99Tolu ArokodareF
38Marcos LeonardoF
20Oliver Valaker EdvardsenF

Match Stats

PEC ZwolleAjax
30%Ball Possession70%
2Corner Kicks10
2Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
7Total Shots26
2Shots on Goal6
2Shots off Goal8
4Shots Inside Box13
3Shots Outside Box13
3Blocked Shots12
11Fouls10
4Goalkeeper Saves2
232Total Passes549
166Passes Accurate482
72%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
AjaxAjax
1572Elo Rating 1840
1.13Attack 3.75
0.00Defense 1.26
17%Hit Rate 77%
9.3Shots per Game 21.0
3.2Shots on Target 9.3
4.0Corners per Game 5.5
0.7Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.52 goals

Game State Tendencies

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
AjaxAjax
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.6 vs 1.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

PEC Zwolle 0%Draw 27%73% Ajax
2.01Avg Goals
37%BTTS Rate
37%Over 2.5

Recent Form

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
1W0D4L
01/08/2026
Hannover 96PEC Zwolle
30
L
26/07/2026
PEC ZwolleAEK Athens FC
23
L
18/07/2026
PEC ZwolleCercle Brugge
32
W
11/07/2026
PEC ZwolleAl-Jazira
01
L
17/05/2026
PEC ZwolleFeyenoord
02
L
AjaxAjax
5W0D0L

Referee Profile

Jannick van der Laan, Netherlands · 10 matches analysed

3.9Avg Yellows
4.2Avg Cards
23.2Avg Fouls
Stricter than 22% of referees analysed

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven651022:7+1516WWWWW
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar651017:6+1116DWWWW
3FeyenoordFeyenoord642020:7+1314WWDWD
4AjaxAjax641119:7+1213WWLWD
5TwenteTwente641112:5+713WWDWW
6ExcelsiorExcelsior631213:7+610LDWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard631212:14-210LWWLW
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles623115:13+29DDLWD
9GroningenGroningen622212:13-18DDLLW
10NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen621311:12-17LDLWW
11HeerenveenHeerenveen61327:9-26DLDLD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam612310:13-35LDLDW
13TelstarTelstar61235:11-65DLDLL
14UtrechtUtrecht612311:19-85WDLDL
15CambuurCambuur61149:18-94WDLLL
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle61146:17-114LDLWL
17Willem IIWillem II60246:19-132LDLDL
18ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag60156:16-101LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven622:716
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar617:616
3FeyenoordFeyenoord620:714
4AjaxAjax619:713
5TwenteTwente612:513
6ExcelsiorExcelsior613:710
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard612:1410
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles615:139
9GroningenGroningen612:138
10NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen611:127
11HeerenveenHeerenveen67:96
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam610:135
13TelstarTelstar65:115
14UtrechtUtrecht611:195
15CambuurCambuur69:184
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle66:174
17Willem IIWillem II66:192
18ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag66:161
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PEC Zwolle vs Ajax Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Eredivisie fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Eredivisie

ScorePredicts covers Netherlands football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Ajax have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. PEC Zwolle and Ajax have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.01 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.