Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica Prediction

Estadio Monumental Isidro Romero Carbo, Guayaquil·Augusto Bergelio Aragon Bautista 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.35
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-2.7%
Barcelona SC Rest
7 days
Universidad Catolica Rest
7 days

Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica: result, form and history

Universidad Catolica beat Barcelona SC 2-1 in the Liga Pro on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Barcelona SC tend to win more corners, 6.4 a game to 3.3 for Universidad Catolica.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.20
X
29%3.30
2
29%2.90
Double Chance
1X
70%1.35
X2
58%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.70
No
46%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.19 = 2.50
Over 1.5
72%1.27
Over 2.5
48%1.92
Over 3.5
28%3.27
Under 1.5
28%3.41
Under 2.5
52%1.83
Under 3.5
72%1.29
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'Goal cancelledMauro Díaz
19'Gregori AnangonóArgument
19'Tomás RodríguezArgument
62'Jonathan PerlazaFoul
65'Azarias Londono
71'Azarias LondonoFoul
72'Johan GarciaFoul
73'Darío Benedetto INLuis Cano out
73'Johan Garcia INJefferson Intriago out
80'Damián Díaz INSergio Díaz out
81'Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda INJonnathan Mina out
81'Jefferson Wila INErick Mendoza out
81'Mauro Díaz INCarlos Medina out
86'Matias Gonzalo LugoFoul
87'Jonathan Perlaza INByron Castillo out
90+1'Eddy Mejia INDarwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo out
90+1'José Fajardo INByron Palacios out
90+5'Erick Mendoza

Lineups

Barcelona SC
4-2-3-1Coach: Pablo Trobbiani
Universidad Catolica
4-4-2Coach: D. Martínez
Avg rating6.47
Avg rating6.53
J. Contreras6.11J. Contreras
B. Carabalí6.518B. Carabalí
J. Báez6.533J. Báez
G. Vallecilla6.94G. Vallecilla
J. Perlaza6.215J. Perlaza
M. Lugo6.232M. Lugo
J. García5.850J. García
T. Rodríguez6.011T. Rodríguez
D. Díaz6.410D. Díaz
Jefferson Wila6.451J. Wila
D. Benedetto6.89D. Benedetto
J. Lara6.112J. Lara
G. Anangonó6.329G. Anangonó
L. Cangá6.633L. Cangá
33J. García
E. Mejía6.930E. Mejía
A. Londoño7.49A. Londoño
D. Clavijo6.58D. Clavijo
J. Cacciabue6.55J. Cacciabue
M. Alonso6.432M. Alonso
J. Fajardo6.17J. Fajardo
M. Díaz6.428M. Díaz

Barcelona SC Substitutes

21H. Villalba
13José Luis Angulo
16L. Cano73'for Darío Benedetto6.6
26B. Castillo87'for Jonathan Perlaza6.4
8S. Díaz80'for Damián Díaz6.7
80Jandry Gomez
35J. Intriago73'for Johan Garcia6.5
23T. Martínez
20C. Medina
7E. Mendoza81'for Jefferson Wila90+5'7.9
28J. Quiñónez
14A. Rangel

Universidad Catolica Substitutes

1Lucas Cueva Gordillo
10F. Martínez
37C. Medina81'for Mauro Díaz6.3
15L. Moreno
24Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo90+1'for Eddy Mejia
18B. Palacios90+1'for José Fajardo
23Alex Andrés Rodríguez Reascos
19M. Sevillano
17R. Troya
44E. Valencia
26Foad Eid
14J. Mina81'for Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda7.0

Match Stats

Barcelona SCUniversidad Catolica
53%Ball Possession47%
4Corner Kicks2
4Yellow Cards2
1Total Shots3
1Shots on Goal1
0Shots off Goal2
0Blocked Shots0

Team Comparison

Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica
1551Elo Rating 1623
1.14Attack 0.91
1.50Defense 2.10
14%Hit Rate 37%
10.3Shots per Game 8.9
3.6Shots on Target 1.7
6.4Corners per Game 3.3
3.6Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3Wins · 30%
2.4Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga Pro22/07/2026
Universidad CatolicaBarcelona SC
21
Liga Pro22/03/2026
Barcelona SCUniversidad Catolica
11
Liga Pro07/12/2025
Barcelona SCUniversidad Catolica
11
Liga Pro03/11/2025
Universidad CatolicaBarcelona SC
11
Liga Pro01/09/2025
Barcelona SCUniversidad Catolica
23
Liga Pro11/05/2025
Universidad CatolicaBarcelona SC
22
Liga Pro26/08/2024
Barcelona SCUniversidad Catolica
10
Liga Pro02/05/2024
Universidad CatolicaBarcelona SC
01
Liga Pro04/12/2023
Universidad CatolicaBarcelona SC
01
Liga Pro19/06/2023
Barcelona SCUniversidad Catolica
12

Recent Form

Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
3W4D3L
Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica
3W3D4L
11/10/2026
Universidad CatolicaMacara
01
L
21/09/2026
LDU de QuitoUniversidad Catolica
21
L
15/09/2026
Universidad CatolicaOrense SC
21
W
06/09/2026
Delfin SCUniversidad Catolica
01
W
03/09/2026
Universidad CatolicaAucas
11
D
29/08/2026
Independiente del ValleUniversidad Catolica
22
D
22/08/2026
Universidad CatolicaManta FC
51
W
18/08/2026
MacaraUniversidad Catolica
11
D
10/08/2026
LibertadUniversidad Catolica
21
L
05/08/2026
Universidad CatolicaCuniburo
23
L

Referee Profile

Augusto Bergelio Aragon Bautista164 matches

5.42Cards per match
5.03Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Augusto Bergelio Aragon Bautista5.42
Other referees5.23

5.42 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.23).

Cards come from 141 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074DLWWW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451DWLLW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550DLLDD
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746LDWWD
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744LLDDW
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWWWL
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139WLLDL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLWDW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939LWLLL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338DLDLD
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236WWDDD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133WDDLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432LLDWL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228LWWDD
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521LLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Championship Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle33253575:35+4078DLWWW
2MacaraMacara34196947:35+1263WWWWW
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica341411953:31+2253DWLLW
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito341581137:29+853LDWWD
5AucasAucas331491036:33+351DLLDD
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC321112934:28+645LLDDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3375:3578
2MacaraMacara3447:3563
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3453:3153
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3437:2953
5AucasAucas3336:3351
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3234:2845
PromotionRelegation

About the Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Barcelona SC and Universidad Catolica in the Liga Pro table

In the Liga Pro table, Universidad Catolica are 2nd and Barcelona SC 6th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Barcelona SC 32-25, Universidad Catolica 51-27. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.