Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad: the result in context
Real Madrid beat Real Sociedad 4-1 in the La Liga on 26 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Real Madrid had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Real Sociedad.
Real Madrid have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game. Referee Mateo Busquets Ferrer averages 5.73 cards a game, 0.89 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Real Madrid
Avg ratingAvg rating
1T. Courtois
24D. Dumfries
16I. Konaté
4D. Huijsen
18Á. Carreras
C8F. Valverde
20B. Silva
15A. Güler
5J. Bellingham
7V. Júnior
10K. Mbappé
1Á. Remiro
2J. Aramburu
34L. Beitia
31J. Martin
17S. Gómez
21Y. Herrera
8B. Turrientes
14T. Kubo
24L. Sučić
12J. Ochieng
C10M. OyarzabalReal Madrid Substitutes
Real Sociedad Substitutes
Match Stats
Real MadridReal Sociedad Team Comparison
Real MadridReal SociedadAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Real Madrid- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Real Sociedad- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.9 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Real Madrid7Wins · 70%2Wins · 20%Previous meetings
14/02/2026Real MadridReal Sociedad13/09/2025Real SociedadReal Madrid24/05/2025Real MadridReal Sociedad
01/04/2025Real MadridReal Sociedad26/02/2025Real SociedadReal Madrid14/09/2024Real SociedadReal Madrid26/04/2024Real SociedadReal Madrid17/09/2023Real MadridReal Sociedad02/05/2023Real SociedadReal Madrid29/01/2023Real MadridReal SociedadRecent Form
Real Madrid
EspanyolReal Madrid
FC Schalke 04Real Madrid
Deportivo La CorunaReal Madrid
Ferencvarosi TCReal MadridReal Madrid
FiorentinaReal Madrid
LeganesReal Madrid
Athletic Club
SevillaReal MadridReal Madrid
Oviedo
BarcelonaReal MadridReal Sociedad
Real BetisReal Sociedad
ChelseaReal Sociedad
1. FC KölnReal Sociedad
ToulouseReal Sociedad
Aston VillaReal Sociedad
WolvesReal SociedadReal Sociedad
Racing SantanderReal Sociedad
PAUEspanyolReal SociedadReal Sociedad
ValenciaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.73 cards a match, 0.89 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.84).
Cards come from 96 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 48:13 | +35 | 33 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31:10 | +21 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 23:10 | +13 | 28 | LWWWW |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:15 | +5 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLWLD |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 16 | WWLDD |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | WLWDL |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 15 | DWLDL |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 | WLWLD |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 12 |  Alaves | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 | DWLLD |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 | WLDDD |
| 15 |  Getafe | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 12 | LWLDL |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 | DLLWL |
| 17 |  Levante | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 11 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Elche | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 | LLWDD |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 48:13 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 31:10 | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 12 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 20:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 15:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 17:30 | 14 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Alaves | 12 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 15:21 | 12 |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 8:18 | 12 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 12:23 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | 14:20 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 8:20 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 12 | 9:23 | 5 |
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About the Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad forecast
The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Real Madrid and Real Sociedad in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Real Madrid are 2nd and Real Sociedad 5th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Real Madrid 31-10, Real Sociedad 21-20. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Real Madrid have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Real Sociedad have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.