Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus Prediction

Benevento
2-2
Finished
HT 2-0
Vicenza Virtus
Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento·Simone Galipo 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-2.9%
Benevento Rest
7 days
Vicenza Virtus Rest
6 days

Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus: the result in context

Benevento and Vicenza Virtus drew 2-2 in the Serie B on 17 Oct 2026. Benevento had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Vicenza Virtus.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.7 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2. Referee Simone Galipo averages 5.71 cards a game, 1.03 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.95
X
27%3.55
2
23%3.66
Double Chance
1X
77%1.25
X2
50%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.65
No
45%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.02 = 2.48
Over 1.5
75%1.22
Over 2.5
51%1.75
Over 3.5
30%2.88
Under 1.5
25%3.92
Under 2.5
49%2.06
Under 3.5
70%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.3 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.54
Over 9.5
53%1.93
Over 10.5
42%2.50
Under 8.5
35%2.29
Under 9.5
47%1.80
Under 10.5
58%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.6 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%-
Over 4.5
47%-
Under 3.5
34%-
Under 4.5
53%-

Match Events

22'Antonis SiatounisAssist: Mattia Maita
27'Christian Kouan
45'Loris Zonta INMattia Valoti out
46'Mattia MaitaFoul
56'Silvio Merkaj INClaudio Morra out
61'Nicolò BrighentiFoul
65'Davide Lamesta INLuigi Cherubini out
66'Gabriele Moncini INNicola Rauti out
66'Filippo Costa INL. Caferri out
68'Tommaso CorazzaAssist: Nicola Rauti
69'Andrea PapettiFoul
72'David Okereke INChristian Dalle Mura out
73'Alessandro BellemoFoul
76'Giulio PellizzariFoul
82'Giulio Pellizzari INFilippo Alessio out
83'Pietro Beruatto INRaffaele Romano out
83'Christian Kouan INPier Luigi·Simonetti out
85'L. CaferriFoul
87'L. CaferriAssist: Mattia Valoti
89'Gianmarco VannucchiFoul

Lineups

Benevento
4-1-3-2Coach: Antonio Floro Flores
Vicenza Virtus
3-5-2Coach: F. Gallo
Avg rating6.86
Avg rating6.55
G. Vannucchi5.826G. Vannucchi
E. Pierozzi6.877E. Pierozzi
S. Scognamillo6.914S. Scognamillo
P. Saio6.923P. Saio
P. Beruatto7.120P. Beruatto
M. Maita7.38M. Maita
D. Lamesta6.711D. Lamesta
A. Siatounis8.06A. Siatounis
C. Kouan8.228C. Kouan
F. Salvemini6.89F. Salvemini
D. Okereke6.529D. Okereke
R. Gagno7.116R. Gagno
A. Papetti6.166A. Papetti
N. Brighenti6.223N. Brighenti
R. Marchizza6.35R. Marchizza
T. Corazza7.321T. Corazza
G. Pellizzari6.026G. Pellizzari
A. Bellemo6.28A. Bellemo
L. Zonta6.029L. Zonta
F. Costa6.632F. Costa
G. Moncini6.511G. Moncini
S. Merkaj6.433S. Merkaj

Benevento Substitutes

10L. Cherubini65'for Davide Lamesta7.1
15C. Dalle Mura72'for David Okereke6.4
22M. Esposito
16Mattia Mannini
32G. Mignani
4A. Prisco
25Raffaele Romano83'replaced by Pietro Beruatto
18P. Simonetti83'for Christian Kouan6.2
38A. Talia
93M. Tumminello
90S. Verdi
5L. Caldirola

Vicenza Virtus Substitutes

7N. Rauti66'for Gabriele Moncini6.7
99A. Pietrelli
9C. Morra56'for Silvio Merkaj6.9
6M. Leverbe
4M. Carraro
28L. Caferri66'for Filippo Costa85'87'7.3
24Filippo Alessio82'for Giulio Pellizzari6.3
27T. Sandon
44R. Talarico
68E. Tantalocchi
10M. Valoti45'for Loris Zonta6.8
30M. Vescovi

Match Stats

BeneventoVicenza Virtus
55%Ball Possession45%
1Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards5
18Total Shots12
9Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal8
14Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots2
21Fouls18
0Goalkeeper Saves6
485Total Passes324
413Passes Accurate255
17Free Kicks21

Team Comparison

BeneventoBenevento
Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus
1637Elo Rating 1555
2.24Attack 1.30
2.40Defense 1.49
77%Hit Rate 27%
17.0Shots per Game 12.3
6.4Shots on Target 1.9
4.2Corners per Game 5.1
2.9Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BeneventoBenevento
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

BeneventoBenevento3Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus0Wins · 0%
3.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals16/05/2026
Vicenza VirtusBenevento
14
Serie B10/04/2022
BeneventoVicenza Virtus
10
Serie B30/11/2021
Vicenza VirtusBenevento
23

Recent Form

BeneventoBenevento
4W2D4L
10/10/2026
BeneventoCesena
20
W
02/10/2026
FrosinoneBenevento
21
L
19/09/2026
CarrareseBenevento
01
W
11/09/2026
BeneventoHellas Verona
31
W
05/09/2026
AscoliBenevento
10
L
30/08/2026
BeneventoSudtirol
11
D
22/08/2026
BeneventoModena
12
L
14/08/2026
FiorentinaBenevento
41
L
09/08/2026
BeneventoRavenna
53
W
01/08/2026
FrosinoneBenevento
22
D
Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus
1W3D6L
10/10/2026
Vicenza VirtusPisa
03
L
03/10/2026
KoperVicenza Virtus
21
L
20/09/2026
Hellas VeronaVicenza Virtus
21
L
12/09/2026
Vicenza VirtusJuve Stabia
11
D
06/09/2026
Virtus EntellaVicenza Virtus
22
D
29/08/2026
AvellinoVicenza Virtus
30
L
21/08/2026
Vicenza VirtusCatanzaro
32
W
08/08/2026
Vicenza VirtusCatania
3141
L
25/07/2026
GenoaVicenza Virtus
22
D
16/05/2026
Vicenza VirtusBenevento
14
L

Referee Profile

Simone Galipo95 matches

5.71Cards per match
5.43Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
31.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Simone Galipo5.71
Other referees4.68

5.71 cards a match, 1.03 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.68).

Cards come from 35 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalermoPalermo871018:8+1022WWWWD
2MantovaMantova852114:8+617WLWDW
3ModenaModena851215:8+716WLWWD
4AscoliAscoli843114:6+815WDDWL
5BeneventoBenevento842213:7+614WDWWW
6PisaPisa842215:10+514DWWDL
7SudtirolSudtirol834110:7+313DLDWD
8AvellinoAvellino832312:9+311LDWLD
9PadovaPadova83147:10-310WLLLW
10ArezzoArezzo83148:17-910LWDLW
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona823315:13+29DDLWL
12Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella823310:9+19LWDDW
13Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus823311:15-49WDLLD
14Juve StabiaJuve Stabia83329:8+18WWDDD
15CesenaCesena81528:12-48LDLDD
16EmpoliEmpoli82157:13-67LDLLL
17CarrareseCarrarese82157:9-27LWWLL
18CremoneseCremonese81346:11-56LLDDD
19SampdoriaSampdoria81258:16-85DLLWL
20CatanzaroCatanzaro81169:20-114LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1PalermoPalermo818:822
2MantovaMantova814:817
3ModenaModena815:816
4AscoliAscoli814:615
5BeneventoBenevento813:714
6PisaPisa815:1014
7SudtirolSudtirol810:713
8AvellinoAvellino812:911
9PadovaPadova87:1010
10ArezzoArezzo88:1710
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona815:139
12Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella810:99
13Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus811:159
14Juve StabiaJuve Stabia89:88
15CesenaCesena88:128
16EmpoliEmpoli87:137
17CarrareseCarrarese87:97
18CremoneseCremonese86:116
19SampdoriaSampdoria88:165
20CatanzaroCatanzaro89:204
PromotionRelegation

About the Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Benevento and Vicenza Virtus in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Benevento are 5th and Vicenza Virtus 13th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Benevento 13-7, Vicenza Virtus 11-15. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.