Padova vs Carrarese Prediction

Padova
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Carrarese
Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padua·Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta 11/10/2026
PadovaPadova
0-2
Finished
CarrareseCarrarese

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-7.1%
Padova Rest
22 days
Carrarese Rest
22 days

Padova vs Carrarese: result, form and history

Carrarese beat Padova 2-0 in the Serie B on 11 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Padova had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Carrarese.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.81
X
27%3.47
2
24%4.36
Double Chance
1X
76%1.20
X2
51%1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.70
No
47%2.03
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.09 = 2.45
Over 1.5
73%1.25
Over 2.5
49%1.86
Over 3.5
27%3.10
Under 1.5
27%3.65
Under 2.5
51%1.95
Under 3.5
73%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.5 = 10.2
Over 8.5
70%1.45
Over 9.5
58%1.80
Over 10.5
47%2.29
Under 8.5
30%2.46
Under 9.5
42%1.88
Under 10.5
53%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%1.52
Over 4.5
43%1.83
Under 3.5
38%2.42
Under 4.5
57%1.83

Match Events

14'Tommaso RubinoAssist: Gabriele parlanti
40'Filippo OlianaFoul
45'Mattia Bortolussi INGabriele Artistico out
45'Fabio abiuso ING. Marconi out
51'Gianluca CaprariDissent
51'Jonas RouhiAssist: Niccolò Belloni
56'Gianluca Caprari INMarco Pompetti out
56'Matteo Cocchi INFrancesco Di Mariano out
60'Tommaso Rubino INLuka Topalovic out
62'Matthias BraunöderFoul
67'Pietro Fusi INNicolas Galazzi out
72'Nicolas Schiavi INJacopo Martini out
72'Jonas Rouhi INT. Guercio out
79'Luca Moro INAlexander Seghetti out
80'Niccolò BelloniDissent
82'Gabriele parlantiDissent
90+3'Gabriele parlanti INNicolo Cudrig out

Lineups

Padova
3-5-2Coach: N. Calabro
Carrarese
3-5-2Coach: G. Pagliuca
Avg rating6.34
Avg rating7.13
A. Sorrentino6.322A. Sorrentino
F. Sgarbi6.632F. Sgarbi
M. Lovato6.95M. Lovato
Alessandro Dellavalle6.727A. Dellavalle
A. Capelli6.017A. Capelli
P. Fusi6.88P. Fusi
E. Zuelli6.521E. Zuelli
G. Caprari6.910G. Caprari
M. Cocchi6.034M. Cocchi
M. Bortolussi6.720M. Bortolussi
L. Moro6.39L. Moro
S. Pizzignacco7.01S. Pizzignacco
F. Ruggeri7.313F. Ruggeri
F. Oliana6.96F. Oliana
F. Reale7.433F. Reale
N. Belloni7.77N. Belloni
Nicolás Schiavi6.818N. Schiavi
M. Braunöder6.623M. Braunöder
G. Parlanti7.377G. Parlanti
J. Rouhi8.173J. Rouhi
F. Abiuso6.49F. Abiuso
T. Rubino8.210T. Rubino

Padova Substitutes

7K. Varas
18E. Silletti
25N. Galazzi67'for Pietro Fusi5.8
23F. Di Mariano56'for Matteo Cocchi5.7
90G. Artistico45'for Mattia Bortolussi6.1
6G. Giunti
15K. Lasagna
74D. Marcolini
1L. Mouquet
58C. Pastina
14M. Pompetti56'for Gianluca Caprari6.1
11A. Seghetti79'for Luca Moro6.3

Carrarese Substitutes

30N. Ravaglia
66P. Pinelli
28J. Martini72'for Nicolas Schiavi7.1
91G. Marconi45'for Fabio abiuso6.7
78Tommaso Guercio72'for Jonas Rouhi6.9
12G. Garofani
32M. Finotto
70N. Cudrig90+3'for Gabriele parlanti
11M. Cissé
41L. Romani
17L. Topalović60'for Tommaso Rubino6.5
4David Vujevic

Match Stats

PadovaCarrarese
56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards4
11Total Shots10
1Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal5
7Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots1
7Fouls14
2Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
560Total Passes435
485Passes Accurate361
14Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

PadovaPadova
CarrareseCarrarese
1536Elo Rating 1545
0.81Attack 1.00
1.82Defense 2.23
41%Hit Rate 50%
10.5Shots per Game 10.3
2.1Shots on Target 3.6
4.5Corners per Game 3.9
1.9Cards per Game 2.5

Game State Tendencies

PadovaPadova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CarrareseCarrarese
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

PadovaPadova1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
CarrareseCarrarese0Wins · 0%
0.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie B10/02/2026
PadovaCarrarese
10
Serie B31/08/2025
CarraresePadova
00

Recent Form

PadovaPadova
3W2D5L
19/09/2026
PalermoPadova
21
L
12/09/2026
PadovaAscoli
10
W
06/09/2026
CremonesePadova
31
L
29/08/2026
PadovaHellas Verona
11
D
23/08/2026
PisaPadova
01
W
15/08/2026
UdinesePadova
10
L
07/08/2026
MonzaPadova
33
D
01/08/2026
CittadellaPadova
02
W
25/07/2026
PadovaOspitaletto
13
L
22/07/2026
SassuoloPadova
41
L
CarrareseCarrarese
1W2D7L
19/09/2026
CarrareseBenevento
01
L
12/09/2026
CatanzaroCarrarese
10
L
05/09/2026
CarrareseEmpoli
01
L
29/08/2026
AscoliCarrarese
11
D
22/08/2026
CarrareseMantova
12
L
15/08/2026
TorinoCarrarese
10
L
08/08/2026
Virtus EntellaCarrarese
01
W
26/07/2026
NapoliCarrarese
20
L
08/05/2026
Virtus EntellaCarrarese
21
L
01/05/2026
CarrareseCesena
00
D

Referee Profile

Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta50 matches

4.10Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
26.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta4.10
Other referees4.48

4.10 cards a match, 0.38 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.48).

Cards come from 20 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalermoPalermo871018:8+1022WWWWD
2MantovaMantova852114:8+617WLWDW
3ModenaModena851215:8+716WLWWD
4AscoliAscoli843114:6+815WDDWL
5BeneventoBenevento842213:7+614WDWWW
6PisaPisa842215:10+514DWWDL
7SudtirolSudtirol834110:7+313DLDWD
8AvellinoAvellino832312:9+311LDWLD
9PadovaPadova83147:10-310WLLLW
10ArezzoArezzo83148:17-910LWDLW
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona823315:13+29DDLWL
12Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella823310:9+19LWDDW
13Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus823311:15-49WDLLD
14Juve StabiaJuve Stabia83329:8+18WWDDD
15CesenaCesena81528:12-48LDLDD
16EmpoliEmpoli82157:13-67LDLLL
17CarrareseCarrarese82157:9-27LWWLL
18CremoneseCremonese81346:11-56LLDDD
19SampdoriaSampdoria81258:16-85DLLWL
20CatanzaroCatanzaro81169:20-114LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1PalermoPalermo818:822
2MantovaMantova814:817
3ModenaModena815:816
4AscoliAscoli814:615
5BeneventoBenevento813:714
6PisaPisa815:1014
7SudtirolSudtirol810:713
8AvellinoAvellino812:911
9PadovaPadova87:1010
10ArezzoArezzo88:1710
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona815:139
12Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella810:99
13Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus811:159
14Juve StabiaJuve Stabia89:88
15CesenaCesena88:128
16EmpoliEmpoli87:137
17CarrareseCarrarese87:97
18CremoneseCremonese86:116
19SampdoriaSampdoria88:165
20CatanzaroCatanzaro89:204
PromotionRelegation

About the Padova vs Carrarese forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Padova and Carrarese in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Padova are 9th and Carrarese 17th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Padova 7-10, Carrarese 7-9. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Padova and Carrarese have met only 2 times recently, averaging 0.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.