Catanzaro vs Mantova Prediction

Catanzaro
1-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Mantova
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro·Giuseppe Mucera 11/10/2026
CatanzaroCatanzaro
1-3
Finished
MantovaMantova

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.37
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-4.4%
Catanzaro Rest
21 days
Mantova Rest
20 days

Catanzaro vs Mantova: the result in context

Mantova beat Catanzaro 3-1 in the Serie B on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them. Referee Giuseppe Mucera averages 3.15 cards a game, 1.13 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.31
X
29%3.35
2
32%2.90
Double Chance
1X
68%1.37
X2
61%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.57
No
41%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.21 = 2.46
Over 1.5
74%1.22
Over 2.5
51%1.75
Over 3.5
30%2.85
Under 1.5
26%4.00
Under 2.5
49%2.07
Under 3.5
70%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.8 = 10.2
Over 8.5
70%1.52
Over 9.5
58%1.91
Over 10.5
47%2.39
Under 8.5
30%2.35
Under 9.5
42%1.82
Under 10.5
53%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%1.38
Over 4.5
48%1.91
Under 3.5
33%2.90
Under 4.5
52%1.80

Match Events

18'Stefano CellaFoul
30'Bodin TomaševićAssist: Rares Ilie
34'Francesco RuoccoAssist: Fahem Benaissa Yahia
45'Ruggero Frosinini INFederico Di Francesco out
45'Nicola Mosti INFranky Tchaouna out
55'Davide BragantiniAssist: Alessio Castellini
64'Pietro Lemmello INEmanuele Pecorino out
64'Mehdi Dorval INMarco D'Alessandro out
66'Rares Ilie INJean-Pierre Longonda Itamba Mboyo out
66'Davide Bragantini INIsmael Cajazzo out
71'Francesco Ruocco INEttore Gliozzi out
72'Bodin Tomašević INTommaso Del Lungo out
78'Gabriele Alesi ING. Arditi out
83'Rachid Kouda INSambaly Keita out
86'Marco RuggeroFoul
90+1'Matias Antonini LuiAssist: Emanuele Pecorino
90+3'Fahem Benaissa YahiaArgument
90+3'Federico Di FrancescoArgument

Lineups

Catanzaro
3-4-2-1Coach: Giorgio Gorgone
Mantova
3-4-3Coach: F. Modesto
Avg rating6.34
Avg rating6.93
M. Pigliacelli6.522M. Pigliacelli
M. Ruggero6.224M. Ruggero
Matias Antonini7.44M. Antonini
M. Imperiale6.43M. Imperiale
R. Frosinini6.062R. Frosinini
N. Mosti5.998N. Mosti
J. Petriccione6.210J. Petriccione
M. Dorval5.993M. Dorval
S. Pafundi5.820S. Pafundi
G. Alesi5.730G. Alesi
P. Iemmello6.69P. Iemmello
F. Bardi6.622F. Bardi
B. Tomašević7.95B. Tomašević
S. Cella6.329S. Cella
A. Castellini7.427A. Castellini
Jonathan Silva6.341J. Silva
L. Ignacchiti6.125L. Ignacchiti
R. Kouda6.980R. Kouda
F. Benaissa-Yahia7.050F. Benaissa-Yahia
D. Bragantini8.230D. Bragantini
F. Ruocco8.219F. Ruocco
R. Ilie7.08R. Ilie

Catanzaro Substitutes

91G. Arditi78'for Gabriele Alesi6.3
7N. Buso
27A. Candela
77M. D'Alessandro64'for Mehdi Dorval6.1
14S. Giovane
19N. Koffi
1C. Marietta
31E. Pecorino64'for Pietro Lemmello7.2
29F. Di Francesco45'for Ruggero Frosinini90+3'6.8
6Niccolò Postiglione
28F. Tchaouna45'for Nicola Mosti6.4
26B. Verrengia

Mantova Substitutes

11I. Cajazzo66'for Davide Bragantini6.5
58Tommaso Del Lungo72'replaced by Bodin Tomašević
12M. Gasparini
1L. Gemello
9E. Gliozzi71'for Francesco Ruocco6.7
6J. Mboyo66'for Rares Ilie6.8
18S. Keita83'for Rachid Kouda6.4
75E. Košpo
33Cristian Marai
17N. Radaelli
21S. Trimboli
10D. Wieser

Match Stats

CatanzaroMantova
52%Ball Possession48%
5Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots17
4Shots on Goal8
6Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box11
6Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots5
8Fouls13
2Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves3
430Total Passes407
336Passes Accurate320
13Free Kicks5

Team Comparison

CatanzaroCatanzaro
MantovaMantova
1558Elo Rating 1641
1.23Attack 1.47
0.01Defense 2.02
14%Hit Rate 61%
13.1Shots per Game 12.4
4.3Shots on Target 4.5
3.4Corners per Game 3.7
1.8Cards per Game 2.5

Game State Tendencies

CatanzaroCatanzaro
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
MantovaMantova
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

CatanzaroCatanzaro2Wins · 50%
Draws250%
MantovaMantova0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie B14/02/2026
CatanzaroMantova
20
Serie B29/10/2025
MantovaCatanzaro
13
Serie B13/05/2025
MantovaCatanzaro
00
Serie B23/11/2024
CatanzaroMantova
22

Recent Form

CatanzaroCatanzaro
4W0D6L
19/09/2026
SampdoriaCatanzaro
21
L
12/09/2026
CatanzaroCarrarese
10
W
05/09/2026
SudtirolCatanzaro
20
L
30/08/2026
PisaCatanzaro
21
L
21/08/2026
Vicenza VirtusCatanzaro
32
L
15/08/2026
CatanzaroSudtirol
3242
L
05/08/2026
CatanzaroGiugliano
30
W
29/07/2026
CatanzaroParadiso
31
W
29/05/2026
MonzaCatanzaro
02
W
24/05/2026
CatanzaroMonza
02
L
MantovaMantova
6W2D2L
20/09/2026
MantovaPisa
22
D
13/09/2026
MantovaSampdoria
20
W
06/09/2026
CesenaMantova
11
D
03/09/2026
PalermoMantova
52
L
30/08/2026
MantovaEmpoli
31
W
22/08/2026
CarrareseMantova
12
W
16/08/2026
LazioMantova
02
W
09/08/2026
MantovaAthletic Carpi
01
L
06/08/2026
Legnago SalusMantova
13
W
30/07/2026
MantovaAlcione
62
W

Referee Profile

Giuseppe Mucera80 matches

3.15Cards per match
2.88Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Giuseppe Mucera3.15
Other referees4.28

3.15 cards a match, 1.13 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.28).

Cards come from 26 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalermoPalermo871018:8+1022WWWWD
2MantovaMantova852114:8+617WLWDW
3ModenaModena851215:8+716WLWWD
4AscoliAscoli843114:6+815WDDWL
5BeneventoBenevento842213:7+614WDWWW
6PisaPisa842215:10+514DWWDL
7SudtirolSudtirol834110:7+313DLDWD
8AvellinoAvellino832312:9+311LDWLD
9PadovaPadova83147:10-310WLLLW
10ArezzoArezzo83148:17-910LWDLW
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona823315:13+29DDLWL
12Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella823310:9+19LWDDW
13Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus823311:15-49WDLLD
14Juve StabiaJuve Stabia83329:8+18WWDDD
15CesenaCesena81528:12-48LDLDD
16EmpoliEmpoli82157:13-67LDLLL
17CarrareseCarrarese82157:9-27LWWLL
18CremoneseCremonese81346:11-56LLDDD
19SampdoriaSampdoria81258:16-85DLLWL
20CatanzaroCatanzaro81169:20-114LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1PalermoPalermo818:822
2MantovaMantova814:817
3ModenaModena815:816
4AscoliAscoli814:615
5BeneventoBenevento813:714
6PisaPisa815:1014
7SudtirolSudtirol810:713
8AvellinoAvellino812:911
9PadovaPadova87:1010
10ArezzoArezzo88:1710
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona815:139
12Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella810:99
13Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus811:159
14Juve StabiaJuve Stabia89:88
15CesenaCesena88:128
16EmpoliEmpoli87:137
17CarrareseCarrarese87:97
18CremoneseCremonese86:116
19SampdoriaSampdoria88:165
20CatanzaroCatanzaro89:204
PromotionRelegation

About the Catanzaro vs Mantova forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Catanzaro and Mantova in the Serie B table

The table shows a wide gap: Mantova are 2nd in the Serie B, while Catanzaro sit 20th, 13 points behind. League goal record so far: Catanzaro 9-20, Mantova 14-8. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.