Fiorentina vs Benevento Prediction

Fiorentina
4-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Benevento
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence 14/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.50
SignalHIGHModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+11.9%
Fiorentina Rest
8 days
Benevento Rest
5 days

Fiorentina vs Benevento: result, form and history

Fiorentina beat Benevento 4-1 in the Coppa Italia on 14 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Benevento had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Fiorentina.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.24
X
25%5.80
2
15%11.50
Double Chance
1X
85%1.03
X2
40%3.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.15
No
47%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.77 + 1.15 = 2.92
Over 1.5
82%1.18
Over 2.5
46%1.60
Over 3.5
26%2.48
Under 1.5
18%4.47
Under 2.5
54%2.27
Under 3.5
74%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'A. Gudmundsson
35'M. KeanAssist: Joao Mario
46'Joao Mario INDodo out
48'L. RanieriAssist: R. Dragusin
50'C. NdourAssist: M. Brescianini
54'D. Lamesta
55'A. Prisco INS. Verdi out
55'A. Talia INC. Kouan out
55'M. Giugliano IND. Okereke out
58'A. Gudmundsson INF. Mastantuono out
58'N. Fagioli INC. Inao Oulai out
65'A. Atta INF. Croci out
70'C. Inao Oulai
77'L. Sernicola INE. Pierozzi out
77'F. Salvemini ING. Mignani out
87'R. Dragusin INM. Pongracic out
90+2'P. Beruatto

Lineups

Fiorentina
4-3-2-1Coach: Fabio Grosso
Benevento
4-2-3-1Coach: Antonio Floro Flores
Avg rating6.82
Avg rating6.39
David De GeaC6.543D. De Gea
João Mário6.917J. Mário
Radu Drăguşin6.33R. Drăguşin
Luca Ranieri7.56L. Ranieri
Víctor Valdepeñas6.321V. Valdepeñas
Cher Ndour6.527C. Ndour
Nicolò Fagioli6.944N. Fagioli
Marco Brescianini6.64M. Brescianini
Albert Guðmundsson7.611A. Guðmundsson
Arthur Atta6.614A. Atta
Moise Kean7.39M. Kean
Gianmarco Vannucchi6.726G. Vannucchi
Leonardo Sernicola6.217L. Sernicola
Stefano Scognamillo6.514S. Scognamillo
Luca Caldirola6.35L. Caldirola
Pietro Beruatto6.220P. Beruatto
Mattia MaitaC6.38M. Maita
Antonio Prisco6.34A. Prisco
Davide Lamesta6.611D. Lamesta
Angelo Talia6.238A. Talia
Marco Giugliano6.324M. Giugliano
Francesco Salvemini6.79F. Salvemini

Fiorentina Substitutes

53Oliver Christensen
19Luca Lezzerini
71Eman Košpo
31Viery
29Niccolò Fortini
5Marin Pongračić87'for R. Dragusin
72Brando Mazzeo
42Christ Inao Oulaï58'for N. Fagioli70'
80Giovanni Fabbian
2Dodô46'for Joao Mario
70Federico Croci
30Franco Mastantuono58'for A. Gudmundsson

Benevento Substitutes

22Manuel Esposito
96Cheik Alioune Sylla
15Christian Dalle Mura
77Edoardo Pierozzi77'for L. Sernicola
23Pietro Saio
6Antonis Siatounis
28Christian Kouan55'for A. Talia
90Simone Verdi55'for A. Prisco
32Guglielmo Mignani77'for F. Salvemini
30Logan Gaspar Queiroz De Freitas
29David Okereke55'for M. Giugliano

Match Stats

FiorentinaBenevento
39%Ball Possession61%
4Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots15
7Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal8
12Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box10
1Blocked Shots3
7Fouls11
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
355Total Passes559
321Passes Accurate518
90%Pass Accuracy93%

Team Comparison

FiorentinaFiorentina
BeneventoBenevento
1736Elo Rating 1617
2.04Attack 1.43
0.83Defense 1.90
27%Hit Rate 34%
16.3Shots per Game 16.4
4.5Shots on Target 5.3
5.2Corners per Game 5.3
2.8Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+119 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FiorentinaFiorentina
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.4 in first half)
BeneventoBenevento
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

FiorentinaFiorentina2Wins · 67%
Draws00%
BeneventoBenevento1Wins · 33%
3.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Coppa Italia15/12/2021
FiorentinaBenevento
21
Serie A13/03/2021
BeneventoFiorentina
14
Serie A22/11/2020
FiorentinaBenevento
01

Recent Form

FiorentinaFiorentina
4W4D2L
06/08/2026
FiorentinaDeportivo La Coruna
11
D
01/08/2026
Real MadridFiorentina
22
D
29/07/2026
WatfordFiorentina
01
W
25/07/2026
QPRFiorentina
32
L
22/07/2026
FiorentinaGubbio
10
W
19/07/2026
FiorentinaFiorentina U20
81
W
22/05/2026
FiorentinaAtalanta
11
D
17/05/2026
JuventusFiorentina
02
W
10/05/2026
FiorentinaGenoa
00
D
04/05/2026
AS RomaFiorentina
40
L
BeneventoBenevento
5W4D1L
09/08/2026
BeneventoRavenna
53
W
01/08/2026
FrosinoneBenevento
22
D
31/07/2026
Vis PesaroBenevento
12
W
26/07/2026
Ostia MareBenevento
02
W
16/05/2026
Vicenza VirtusBenevento
14
W
26/04/2026
BeneventoAudace Cerignola
22
D
19/04/2026
GiuglianoBenevento
11
D
13/04/2026
BeneventoCavese
01
L
06/04/2026
SalernitanaBenevento
01
W
29/03/2026
BeneventoCosenza
11
D

About the Fiorentina vs Benevento forecast

As a knockout tie in the Coppa Italia, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Coppa Italia

More Coppa Italia fixtures and forecasts are on the Coppa Italia Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.