Ascoli vs Empoli Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 7
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-3.3%
Ascoli Rest
7 days
Empoli Rest
7 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
152%1.86
X27%3.48
221%4.00
Double Chance
1X79%1.22
X248%1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes55%1.72
No45%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.06 = 2.65
Over 1.575%1.25
Over 2.552%1.88
Over 3.531%3.10
Under 1.525%3.55
Under 2.548%1.94
Under 3.569%1.34
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.6 = 9
Over 8.554%1.64
Over 9.542%2.10
Over 10.531%2.67
Under 8.546%2.13
Under 9.558%1.68
Under 10.569%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.8 = 4.7
Over 3.569%1.73
Over 4.550%2.20
Under 3.531%2.00
Under 4.550%1.62
Match Events
14'Joseph Ceesay
26'Nicholas RizzoAssist: Matteo Brunori
45'Edoardo Biondini INFilippo Bandinelli out
54'Gerard Yepes INLapo Deli out
62'Gennao Acampora INDon Bolsius out
62'Matteo Brunori INamine chakir out
63'Andrea·Silipo INGiacomo De Pieri out
63'Andrea Oliveri INTommaso Milanese out
63'Bogdan Popov INSteven Shpendi out
71'Marcos Curado INFederico Gattoni out
84'Edoardo Saporiti INLuca Belardinelli out
84'Joseph Ceesay INMatteo Egan out
90'Luca MagninoFoul
90+2'Abdoul GuiebreFoul
Lineups
AscoliEmpoli
3-5-2Coach: M. AndreolettiAvg ratingAvg rating
1S. Vitale
14A. Oliveri
30M. Curado
33N. Rizzo
19A. Guiébré
8G. Corradini
4S. Damiani
7A. Silipo
13G. Acampora
15S. D'Uffizi9999M. Brunori
12J. Seghetti
8L. Magnino
25M. Curto
33C. Cauz
98K. Zedadka
39E. Biondini
21G. Yepes
10E. Saporiti
91N. Corrado
77B. Popov
15J. CeesayAscoli Substitutes
32F. Gattoni71'for Marcos Curado
45G. Crespi
9A. Chakir62'replaced by Matteo Brunori
3M. Nicoletti
5L. Venuti
77D. Bolsius62'for Gennao Acampora
21G. De Pieri63'for Andrea·Silipo
11S. Perciun
18L. Lo Scalzo
27M. Ricci
62T. Milanese63'for Andrea Oliveri
35G. Gori
Empoli Substitutes
1S. Perisan
36D. Bembnista
28G. Indragoli
35M. Egan84'for Joseph Ceesay
44L. Deli54'for Gerard Yepes
5D. Degli Innocenti
57L. Belardinelli84'for Edoardo Saporiti
23F. Bandinelli45'for Edoardo Biondini
16F. Meznar
11S. Shpendi63'for Bogdan Popov
13E. Filippis
Match Stats
AscoliEmpoli 62%Ball Possession38%
6Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards1
9Total Shots16
2Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box10
2Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots7
11Fouls17
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
482Total Passes291
416Passes Accurate200
16Free Kicks9
Team Comparison
AscoliEmpoli1670Elo Rating 1554
2.34Attack 0.78
2.19Defense 0.98
44%Hit Rate 0%
15.6Shots per Game 11.2
5.2Shots on Target 3.4
6.7Corners per Game 3.9
1.6Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+116 Elo
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Ascoli- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Empoli- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Ascoli1Wins · 50%Draws150%
Empoli0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2
Previous meetings
01/05/2021AscoliEmpoli20
30/12/2020EmpoliAscoli11
Recent Form
Ascoli4W2D4L
10/10/2026
SudtirolAscoliAscoli
Avellino
GenoaAscoliAscoli
Potenza
SudtirolAscoli00
D19/09/2026AscoliAvellino31
W12/09/2026
PadovaAscoli
PadovaAscoli10
L05/09/2026Ascoli
Benevento
AscoliBenevento10
W29/08/2026Ascoli
Carrarese
AscoliCarrarese11
D23/08/2026
Hellas VeronaAscoli
16/08/2026Hellas VeronaAscoli12
WGenoaAscoli41
L08/08/2026AscoliPotenza31
W02/08/2026Ascoli
Lazio
AscoliLazio12
L26/07/2026
FrosinoneAscoli
FrosinoneAscoli10
LEmpoli3W2D5L
10/10/2026Empoli
Palermo
ModenaEmpoliEmpoli
ArezzoEmpoli
Cremonese
PisaEmpoli
EmpoliPalermo24
L20/09/2026ModenaEmpoli21
L11/09/2026EmpoliArezzo01
L05/09/2026CarrareseEmpoli
CarrareseEmpoli01
W30/08/2026
MantovaEmpoli
22/08/2026MantovaEmpoli31
LEmpoliCremonese10
W17/08/2026PisaEmpoli4131
L08/08/2026
LivornoEmpoli
LivornoEmpoli11
D01/08/2026Empoli
Spezia
EmpoliSpezia11
D25/07/2026Empoli
Virtus Entella
EmpoliVirtus Entella10
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:8 | +10 | 22 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | +6 | 17 | WLWDW |
| 3 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 16 | WLWWD |
| 4 | Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | +8 | 15 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 14 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Pisa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | +5 | 14 | DWWDL |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | +3 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 11 | LDWLD |
| 9 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 10 | LWDLW |
| 11 | Hellas Verona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | +2 | 9 | DDLWL |
| 12 | Virtus Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 9 | LWDDW |
| 13 |  Vicenza Virtus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 | WDLLD |
| 14 |  Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 8 | WWDDD |
| 15 |  Cesena | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 | LDLDD |
| 16 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 | LDLLL |
| 17 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 | LWWLL |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 | LLDDD |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 5 | DLLWL |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 4 | LDLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 8 | 18:8 | 22 |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 3 | Modena | 8 | 15:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 8 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | 13:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Pisa | 8 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 8 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | 12:9 | 11 |
| 9 | Padova | 8 | 7:10 | 10 |
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | 8:17 | 10 |
| 11 | Hellas Verona | 8 | 15:13 | 9 |
| 12 | Virtus Entella | 8 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 13 | Vicenza Virtus | 8 | 11:15 | 9 |
| 14 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 9:8 | 8 |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 16 | Empoli | 8 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 8 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 8 | 8:16 | 5 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | 9:20 | 4 |
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About the Ascoli vs Empoli forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Ascoli and Empoli in the Serie B table
In the Serie B table, Ascoli are 4th and Empoli 16th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Ascoli 14-6, Empoli 7-13. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Ascoli and Empoli have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.