Carrarese vs Modena Prediction

Carrarese
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Modena
Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara·Federico La Penna 17/10/2026
CarrareseCarrarese
2-1
Finished
ModenaModena

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.19
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-8.1%
Carrarese Rest
5 days
Modena Rest
5 days

Carrarese vs Modena: result, form and history

Carrarese beat Modena 2-1 in the Serie B on 17 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Modena had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Carrarese.

Modena have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. Modena tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 3.9 for Carrarese.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%4.33
X
27%3.60
2
48%1.79
Double Chance
1X
52%1.99
X2
75%1.19
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.70
No
44%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1.4 = 2.60
Over 1.5
76%1.22
Over 2.5
52%1.82
Over 3.5
30%3.00
Under 1.5
24%3.80
Under 2.5
48%1.98
Under 3.5
70%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 5 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.50
Over 9.5
51%1.86
Over 10.5
39%2.36
Under 8.5
37%2.36
Under 9.5
49%1.91
Under 10.5
61%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.67
Over 4.5
41%-
Under 3.5
40%2.10
Under 4.5
59%-

Match Events

1'Fabio abiusoAssist: Gabriele parlanti
25'Fabio AndreaFoul
28'Jonas RouhiFoul
51'Fabio abiusoTime wasting
52'Tommaso RubinoAssist: Fabio abiuso
56'Gastón Brugman INAndrea Belotti out
56'Francesco Zampano INGiacomo Olzer out
56'Steven Nador INFrancesco Folino out
61'Tommaso Rubino INJacopo Martini out
71'Fabio abiuso ING. Marconi out
76'Andrea BelottiAssist: Giacomo Olzer
81'Gabriele parlanti INLuka Topalovic out
81'Niccolò Belloni INT. Guercio out
85'Paulo Azzi INDaniele Montevago out
88'Guido PagliucaAbusive Language
90'Giuseppe CasoFoul
90+1'Simone SantoroFoul
90+4'G. MarconiFoul

Lineups

Carrarese
3-5-2Coach: G. Pagliuca
Modena
3-5-2Coach: D. Galloppa
Avg rating6.83
Avg rating6.49
S. Pizzignacco6.61S. Pizzignacco
F. Ruggeri6.613F. Ruggeri
F. Oliana7.26F. Oliana
F. Reale7.033F. Reale
N. Belloni6.47N. Belloni
G. Parlanti7.477G. Parlanti
Nicolás Schiavi6.418N. Schiavi
M. Braunöder6.623M. Braunöder
J. Rouhi6.573J. Rouhi
F. Abiuso7.99F. Abiuso
T. Rubino8.210T. Rubino
L. Chichizola6.31L. Chichizola
D. Tonoli6.477D. Tonoli
S. Nador6.66S. Nador
B. Nieling7.020B. Nieling
Paulo Azzi6.227P. Azzi
S. Santoro6.48S. Santoro
G. Brugman6.516G. Brugman
A. Bianco7.242A. Bianco
F. Zampano7.07F. Zampano
G. Caso5.410G. Caso
G. Ambrosino6.270G. Ambrosino

Carrarese Substitutes

28J. Martini61'for Tommaso Rubino6.2
91G. Marconi71'for Fabio abiuso90+4'6.1
66P. Pinelli
41L. Romani
17L. Topalović81'for Gabriele parlanti6.8
11M. Cissé
70N. Cudrig
32M. Finotto
12G. Garofani
78Tommaso Guercio81'for Niccolò Belloni6.7
8Y. Khafi
5T. Macchioni

Modena Substitutes

29L. Bacchin
11A. Belotti56'for Gastón Brugman76'7.3
17K. Bozhanaj
22L. Consiglio
23F. Folino56'for Steven Nador 6.6
26A. Imputato
25A. Laidani
9D. Montevago85'for Paulo Azzi6.3
15Martino Odero
72G. Olzer56'for Francesco Zampano6.1
34Diego Ronco
32W. Acquah

Match Stats

CarrareseModena
42%Ball Possession58%
2Corner Kicks8
4Yellow Cards2
9Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box8
2Shots Outside Box6
0Blocked Shots6
19Fouls14
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
359Total Passes497
288Passes Accurate428
12Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

CarrareseCarrarese
ModenaModena
1545Elo Rating 1633
1.00Attack 2.09
2.23Defense 1.85
50%Hit Rate 63%
10.3Shots per Game 18.7
3.6Shots on Target 5.6
3.9Corners per Game 5.9
2.5Cards per Game 1.3

Game State Tendencies

CarrareseCarrarese
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ModenaModena
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 75% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

CarrareseCarrarese1Wins · 17%
Draws117%
ModenaModena4Wins · 66%
2.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

Serie B14/02/2026
ModenaCarrarese
20
Serie B01/10/2025
CarrareseModena
00
Serie B04/05/2025
CarrareseModena
21
Serie B09/11/2024
ModenaCarrarese
20
Serie C - Girone B12/03/2022
CarrareseModena
23
Serie C - Girone B31/10/2021
ModenaCarrarese
20

Recent Form

CarrareseCarrarese
2W1D7L
11/10/2026
PadovaCarrarese
02
W
19/09/2026
CarrareseBenevento
01
L
12/09/2026
CatanzaroCarrarese
10
L
05/09/2026
CarrareseEmpoli
01
L
29/08/2026
AscoliCarrarese
11
D
22/08/2026
CarrareseMantova
12
L
15/08/2026
TorinoCarrarese
10
L
08/08/2026
Virtus EntellaCarrarese
01
W
26/07/2026
NapoliCarrarese
20
L
08/05/2026
Virtus EntellaCarrarese
21
L
ModenaModena
6W1D3L
11/10/2026
ModenaHellas Verona
32
W
20/09/2026
ModenaEmpoli
21
W
12/09/2026
SudtirolModena
11
D
06/09/2026
ModenaAvellino
01
L
28/08/2026
CremoneseModena
03
W
22/08/2026
BeneventoModena
12
W
15/08/2026
VeneziaModena
32
L
01/08/2026
TrentoModena
01
W
28/07/2026
CagliariModena
10
L
25/07/2026
ModenaVirtus Bolzano
50
W

Referee Profile

Federico La Penna98 matches

4.86Cards per match
4.59Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
27.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Federico La Penna4.86
Other referees4.49

4.86 cards a match, 0.37 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.49).

Cards come from 96 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalermoPalermo871018:8+1022WWWWD
2ModenaModena961217:9+819WWLWW
3AscoliAscoli953116:6+1018WWDDW
4MantovaMantova952214:10+417LWLWD
5BeneventoBenevento943214:8+615DWDWW
6PisaPisa842215:10+514DWWDL
7PadovaPadova94149:10-113WWLLL
8SudtirolSudtirol934210:9+113LDLDW
9AvellinoAvellino933313:10+312DLDWL
10CesenaCesena925210:13-311WLDLD
11Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella924311:10+110DLWDD
12ArezzoArezzo83148:17-910LWDLW
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona823315:13+29DDLWL
14CremoneseCremonese92348:11-39WLLDD
15Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus923412:17-59LWDLL
16Juve StabiaJuve Stabia83329:8+18WWDDD
17EmpoliEmpoli92168:15-77LLDLL
18CarrareseCarrarese82157:9-27LWWLL
19SampdoriaSampdoria91268:18-105LDLLW
20CatanzaroCatanzaro912610:21-115DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PalermoPalermo818:822
2ModenaModena917:919
3AscoliAscoli916:618
4MantovaMantova914:1017
5BeneventoBenevento914:815
6PisaPisa815:1014
7PadovaPadova99:1013
8SudtirolSudtirol910:913
9AvellinoAvellino913:1012
10CesenaCesena910:1311
11Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella911:1010
12ArezzoArezzo88:1710
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona815:139
14CremoneseCremonese98:119
15Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus912:179
16Juve StabiaJuve Stabia89:88
17EmpoliEmpoli98:157
18CarrareseCarrarese87:97
19SampdoriaSampdoria98:185
20CatanzaroCatanzaro910:215
PromotionRelegation

About the Carrarese vs Modena forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Carrarese and Modena in the Serie B table

The table shows a wide gap: Modena are 2nd in the Serie B, while Carrarese sit 18th, 12 points behind. League goal record so far: Carrarese 7-9, Modena 17-9. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.