Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna Prediction

Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv· Lyuboslav Lyubomirov, Bulgaria 01/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.75
SignalGOODModel41%RiskHighGap+7.8%
Botev Plovdiv Rest
5 days
Cherno More Varna Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.83
X
27%3.45
2
19%4.10
Double Chance
1X
81%1.20
X2
46%1.88
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%1.85
No
58%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 0.93 = 2.31
Over 1.5
66%1.30
Over 2.5
40%2.00
Over 3.5
22%3.50
Under 1.5
34%3.17
Under 2.5
60%1.75
Under 3.5
78%1.27
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'I. Videv
23'A. Chandarov(Penalty)
24'C. Algarra INM. Rodrigues out
35'A. Kolev
46'I. Videv INN. Soldo out
58'D. Teles
60'M. Barandas INN. Zlatev out
61'O. M. Chidera INMascote out
62'C. Sidney
64'M. Rodrigues
72'E. Nyagolov INV. Kerchev out
72'V. Panayotov INI. Bounaas out
72'C. Sidney ING. Lazarov out
76'M. Achi INP. Andreev out
83'C. Meotti INN. Iliev out
90+2'V. Mendes

Lineups

Botev Plovdiv
4-2-3-1Coach: Stanislav Genchev
Cherno More Varna
4-2-3-1Coach: Ilian Iliev
Daniel Naumov29D. NaumovDaniel Naumov
Vladimir Mendes82V. MendesVladimir Mendes
Simeon Petrov87S. PetrovSimeon Petrov
Ivaylo Videv6I. VidevIvaylo Videv
Bryan-Anthony Chibuike Hein27B. Chibuike HeinBryan-Anthony Chibuike Hein
Carlos Algarra López14C. Algarra LópezCarlos Algarra López
Lucas Araujo77L. AraujoLucas Araujo
Carlos Meotti66C. MeottiCarlos Meotti
Asen Chandarov10A. ChandarovAsen Chandarov
Samuel Kalu90S. KaluSamuel Kalu
Chidera Micheal Okoh9C. Micheal OkohChidera Micheal Okoh
Kristian Tomov81K. TomovKristian Tomov
Ertan Tombak50E. TombakErtan Tombak
Zhivko Atanasov3Z. AtanasovZhivko Atanasov
Luciano Squadrone5L. SquadroneLuciano Squadrone
Celso Sidney10C. SidneyCelso Sidney
Vasil Panayotov71V. PanayotovVasil Panayotov
David Teles24D. TelesDavid Teles
Miguel Barandas7M. BarandasMiguel Barandas
Mohamed Achi11M. AchiMohamed Achi
Emanuil Nyagolov13E. NyagolovEmanuil Nyagolov
Aleksandar Kolev20A. KolevAleksandar Kolev

Botev Plovdiv Substitutes

19Mauro RodriguesM
4Nikola SoldoD
30Franklin MascoteF
7Nikola IlievM
21Nikolay PrandzhevG
15Bogdan KostovD
22Marvin SengerD
16Veliyan VidolovM
23Dimitar TonevM
45Edson SilvaM
88Williams Chimezie OluebubeF

Cherno More Varna Substitutes

39Nikolay ZlatevM
37Ventsislav KerchevD
19Georgi LazarovF
18Petar AndreevM
70Antoan ManasievG
26João BandaroD
93Georgi VentsislavovD
29Berk BeyhanM
14Aleksandar TodorovM
22Nikolay Petrov KostadinovM
99Idris BounaasM

Team Comparison

Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
1542Elo Rating 1463
1.42Attack 1.37
1.51Defense 0.92
50%Hit Rate 17%
7.4Shots per Game 12.0
5.0Shots on Target 4.9
2.0Corners per Game 6.2
2.3Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Botev Plovdiv 46%Draw 14%39% Cherno More Varna
3.17Avg Goals
50%BTTS Rate
63%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
2W1D2L
27/07/2026
CSKA SofiaBotev Plovdiv
32
L
21/07/2026
Botev PlovdivLokomotiv Sofia
11
D
12/07/2026
Botev PlovdivBeroe
40
W
04/07/2026
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
10
W
04/07/2026
Botev PlovdivEtar Veliko Tarnovo
12
L
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
1W3D1L
26/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaSpartak Varna
03
L
19/07/2026
Botev VratsaCherno More Varna
11
D
11/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaDunav Ruse
11
D
08/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaDobrudzha
22
D
08/07/2026
Farul ConstantaCherno More Varna
01
W

Referee Profile

Lyuboslav Lyubomirov, Bulgaria · 8 matches analysed

4.3Avg Yellows
4.5Avg Cards
22.7Avg Fouls
Stricter than 40% of referees analysed

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia981021:4+1725DWWWW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia972023:6+1723WWDWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets972016:7+923WWDDW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 1948961217:9+819WLWLW
5Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali951314:11+316LLWWW
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv941413:14-113WWLLL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia92528:6+211DWLDD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna924310:14-410DDDLL
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa92257:17-108DWLWL
10Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia92258:15-78LLDWW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv92074:12-86LWLLL
12Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna912610:19-95DLLWL
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia904510:18-84LDLDL
14Dunav RuseDunav Ruse91178:17-94LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia921:425
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia923:623
3LudogoretsLudogorets916:723
4CSKA 1948CSKA 1948917:919
5Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali914:1116
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv913:1413
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia98:611
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna910:1410
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa97:178
10Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia98:158
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv94:126
12Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna910:195
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia910:184
14Dunav RuseDunav Ruse98:174
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Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this First League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About First League

ScorePredicts covers Bulgaria football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Botev Plovdiv and Cherno More Varna have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.17 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.