Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction

First LeagueBulgaria Bulgaria · Regular Season - 4
Levski Sofia
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Georgi Asparuhov Stadium, Sofia 07/08/2026
Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
2-0
Finished
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.35
SignalHIGHModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+3.1%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.81
SignalSOLIDModel55%SurpriseMediumGap+6.6%
Levski Sofia Rest
3 days
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Rest
4 days

Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: the result in context

Levski Sofia beat Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0 in the First League on 7 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Levski Sofia have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game. Levski Sofia tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 2.0 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
77%1.35
X
13%4.58
2
10%8.10
Double Chance
1X
90%1.05
X2
23%3.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%2.15
No
45%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.39 + 0.95 = 3.34
Over 1.5
80%1.25
Over 2.5
58%1.81
Over 3.5
29%3.05
Under 1.5
20%3.60
Under 2.5
42%1.91
Under 3.5
71%1.34
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'D. Kusso
42'E. Ali
53'M. Moubarik
57'A. Oko-Flex INEverton Bala out
57'A. Mitkov INSerginho out
64'A. Velev INC. Longville out
66'C. Longville
67'M. Soula ING. Trdin out
67'J. Perea INReinaldo out
69'T. Pavlov
73'I. Ivanov
78'D. Kusso INA. Neves out
83'C. Itu IND. Ali out
83'M. Trdan INJ. Lamy out
90+4'Reinaldo

Lineups

Levski Sofia
Coach: Julio Velazquez
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Coach: Dusan Kosic

Levski Sofia Starting XI

92Svetoslav Vutsov
50Kristian Dimitrov
20Álex Centelles
2Hevertton Santos
4Christian Makoun
10Asen Ivanov Mitkov57'replaced by Serginho
11Armstrong Oko-Flex57'replaced by Everton Bala
22Mazire Soula67'replaced by G. Trdin
27David Kusso6'78'replaced by A. Neves
19El Mehdi Moubarik53'
9Juan Perea67'replaced by Reinaldo

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Starting XI

1Bojan Milosavljević
2Adrián Cova
4Andrei Chindriş
13Lucas Ryan
5Todor Pavlov69'
12Efe Ali42'
7Sevi Idriz
94Cătălin Itu83'for D. Ali
6Miha Trdan83'replaced by J. Lamy
22Ivaylo Ivanov73'
9Axel Velev64'replaced by C. Longville

Levski Sofia Substitutes

35Serginho57'for A. Mitkov
17Everton Bala57'for A. Oko-Flex
78Martin Lukov
1Ognyan Vladimirov
21Aldair78'for D. Kusso
31Nikola Serafimov
18Gašper Trdin67'for M. Soula
77Adrian Raychev
7Reinaldo67'for J. Perea90+4'
28Steven Stoyanchov

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Substitutes

40Petar Zovko
26Denis Kirashki
3Dalil Ali
44Milan Petrovic
99Julien Lamy83'for M. Trdan
30Alexander Alexandrov
29Christ Longville64'for A. Velev66'
10Yoan Dzhelepov

Team Comparison

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
1757Elo Rating 1487
1.31Attack 0.67
2.64Defense 2.05
81%Hit Rate 36%
13.4Shots per Game 8.7
4.7Shots on Target 1.9
5.9Corners per Game 2.0
1.9Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+269 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.35 goals

Game State Tendencies

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv3Wins · 30%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

First League09/03/2026
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
First League26/09/2025
Lokomotiv PlovdivLevski Sofia
10
First League04/12/2024
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
21
First League02/08/2024
Lokomotiv PlovdivLevski Sofia
02
First League18/05/2024
Lokomotiv PlovdivLevski Sofia
12
First League02/12/2023
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
30
First League06/08/2023
Lokomotiv PlovdivLevski Sofia
21
First League21/05/2023
Lokomotiv PlovdivLevski Sofia
03
First League08/05/2023
Lokomotiv PlovdivLevski Sofia
10
First League22/10/2022
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
11

Recent Form

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
7W3D0L
04/08/2026
Levski SofiaKairat Almaty
10
W01/08/2026
Levski SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
30
W29/07/2026
Universitatea CraiovaLevski Sofia
22
D25/07/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaLevski Sofia
12
W22/07/2026
Levski SofiaUniversitatea Craiova
10
W17/07/2026
Levski SofiaDunav Ruse
21
W
14/07/2026
Levski SofiaBorac Banja Luka
40
W
07/07/2026
Borac Banja LukaLevski Sofia
11
D
30/06/2026
Levski SofiaRadnik Surdulica
50
W
27/06/2026
Levski SofiaBotev Vratsa
11
D
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
4W0D6L
03/08/2026
Spartak VarnaLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
L26/07/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
21
W
18/07/2026
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
L
08/07/2026
Rilski SportistLokomotiv Plovdiv
02
W
04/07/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
20
W
29/05/2026
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
3010
L
25/05/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
21
W
20/05/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA Sofia
3141
L
16/05/2026
Arda KardzhaliLokomotiv Plovdiv
40
L
12/05/2026
Cherno More VarnaLokomotiv Plovdiv
20
L

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia12102025:5+2032WDWDW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1394029:9+2031DWWDW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1393126:11+1530DWLWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481492333:16+1729DWWLW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1472523:21+223DWLWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1463520:22-221LWDLD
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1444615:25-1016WLLWL
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia142849:9014DDDLL
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1434714:22-813DWWLD
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1433816:23-712DLWWD
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv143388:18-1012WLDDD
12Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1432912:25-1311WLLLL
13Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1424811:24-1310LLDLD
14Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1416715:26-119LLDDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1225:532
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1329:931
3LudogoretsLudogorets1326:1130
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481433:1629
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1423:2123
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1420:2221
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1415:2516
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia149:914
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1414:2213
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1416:2312
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv148:1812
12Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1412:2511
13Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1411:2410
14Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1415:269
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About the Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Levski Sofia and Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the First League table

The table shows a wide gap: Levski Sofia are 1st in the First League, while Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 11th, 20 points behind. League goal record so far: Levski Sofia 25-5, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 8-18. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.