Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction

Bournemouth
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Liverpool
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth·Michael Oliver 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.2%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Bournemouth Rest
2 days
Liverpool Rest
4 days

Bournemouth vs Liverpool: result, form and history

Liverpool beat Bournemouth 1-0 in the Premier League on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Liverpool have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 4.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%3.10
X
25%3.80
2
42%2.17
Double Chance
1X
58%1.69
X2
67%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.44
No
36%2.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.31 = 2.92
Over 1.5
81%1.12
Over 2.5
61%1.49
Over 3.5
42%2.23
Under 1.5
19%5.35
Under 2.5
39%2.50
Under 3.5
58%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.7 = 10.6
Over 8.5
76%1.29
Over 9.5
63%1.55
Over 10.5
57%1.95
Under 8.5
24%3.10
Under 9.5
37%2.25
Under 10.5
43%1.81
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.5 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.98
Over 4.5
42%2.85
Under 3.5
39%1.77
Under 4.5
58%1.38

Match Events

46'Dominik SzoboszlaiFoul
57'Alexander Isak
58'Alexander Isak
71'Florian Wirtz INTreymaurice Nyoni out
72'Bradley Barcola INVíctor Muñoz out
75'Adam Smith INLewis Cook out
75'Ryan Christie INDaniel Jebbison out
75'Marcus Tavernier INDavid Brooks out
81'Alexander Isak INLewis Koumas out
81'Dominik Szoboszlai INRyan Gravenberch out
81'Antonio SilvaFoul
88'Tyler Adams INBen Gannon-Doak out
88'Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha INAlex Tóth out

Lineups

Bournemouth
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Rose
Liverpool
4-2-3-1Coach: Andoni Iraola
Avg rating6.42
Avg rating6.99
Đ. Petrović6.31Đ. Petrović
A. Smith6.815A. Smith
J. Hill6.85J. Hill
António Silva6.914A. Silva
A. Truffert6.53A. Truffert
T. Adams6.612T. Adams
A. Scott6.78A. Scott
Rayan6.537Rayan
R. Christie6.110R. Christie
M. Tavernier6.116M. Tavernier
Evanilson6.39Evanilson
Alisson Becker7.11A. Becker
R. Araújo6.933R. Araújo
J. Jacquet7.55J. Jacquet
V. van Dijk7.84V. van Dijk
M. Kerkez6.86M. Kerkez
D. Szoboszlai6.68D. Szoboszlai
A. Mac Allister6.810A. Mac Allister
C. Gakpo7.118C. Gakpo
F. Wirtz6.77F. Wirtz
B. Barcola6.629B. Barcola
A. Isak7.69A. Isak

Bournemouth Substitutes

29D. Jebbison75'for Ryan Christie6.2
27A. Tóth88'for Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha5.9
24Juanlu Sánchez
11B. Doak88'for Tyler Adams6.7
7D. Brooks75'for Marcus Tavernier6.1
4L. Cook75'for Adam Smith6.4
18B. Diakité
6J. Soler
20M. Di Gregorio

Liverpool Substitutes

73R. Ngumoha
67L. Koumas81'for Alexander Isak6.5
23Víctor Muñoz72'for Bradley Barcola6.7
42T. Nyoni71'for Florian Wirtz7.0
38R. Gravenberch81'for Dominik Szoboszlai7.2
30J. Frimpong
21K. Tsimikas
2J. Gomez
25G. Mamardashvili

Match Stats

BournemouthLiverpool
46%Ball Possession54%
3Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
9Total Shots12
2Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal3
5Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots6
11Fouls13
4Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
383Total Passes473
298Passes Accurate386
11Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

BournemouthBournemouth
LiverpoolLiverpool
1891Elo Rating 1938
2.02Attack 2.85
2.03Defense 0.88
69%Hit Rate 83%
19.3Shots per Game 19.7
5.6Shots on Target 6.2
5.7Corners per Game 7.3
2.6Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.93 goals
📈BTTS Trend44% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BournemouthBournemouth
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LiverpoolLiverpool
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

BournemouthBournemouth2Wins · 22%
Draws00%
LiverpoolLiverpool7Wins · 78%
4.1Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
78%3+ goals7 of 9

Previous meetings

Premier League24/01/2026
BournemouthLiverpool
32
Premier League15/08/2025
LiverpoolBournemouth
42
Premier League01/02/2025
BournemouthLiverpool
02
Premier League21/09/2024
LiverpoolBournemouth
30
Premier League21/01/2024
BournemouthLiverpool
04
League Cup01/11/2023
BournemouthLiverpool
12
Premier League19/08/2023
LiverpoolBournemouth
31
Premier League11/03/2023
BournemouthLiverpool
10
Premier League27/08/2022
LiverpoolBournemouth
90

Recent Form

BournemouthBournemouth
4W4D2L
LiverpoolLiverpool
4W4D2L
15/09/2026
LiverpoolTottenham
31
W
12/09/2026
LiverpoolFulham
00
D
09/09/2026
LiverpoolAtletico Madrid
21
W
04/09/2026
IpswichLiverpool
02
W
29/08/2026
LiverpoolNottingham Forest
22
D
23/08/2026
NewcastleLiverpool
22
D
16/08/2026
LiverpoolComo
00
D
09/08/2026
LiverpoolMonaco
23
L
02/08/2026
LiverpoolLeeds
24
L
30/07/2026
LiverpoolWrexham
10
W

Referee Profile

Michael Oliver312 matches

3.92Cards per match
3.78Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Michael Oliver3.93
Other referees3.94

3.93 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.94).

Cards come from 305 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Manchester CityManchester City870120:9+1121LWWWW
2ArsenalArsenal870113:5+821WWWLW
3BrightonBrighton851223:7+1616LWWWW
4LiverpoolLiverpool843111:8+315WWLWD
5ChelseaChelsea841317:15+213LWWLD
6BrentfordBrentford825114:9+511DLDWD
7NewcastleNewcastle832312:14-211WLLWL
8Aston VillaAston Villa83239:12-311WWDWL
9LeedsLeeds72419:6+310DLDWD
10Hull CityHull City82429:8+110DLDLD
11EvertonEverton82428:9-110LLDWD
12IpswichIpswich831412:16-410DLWLW
13BournemouthBournemouth823312:13-19WWLLD
14TottenhamTottenham82338:10-29WWDLD
15FulhamFulham82248:10-28WWLDD
16Manchester UnitedManchester United814310:13-37LDDDL
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace82159:19-107LLWDL
18Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest81346:10-46DLLLW
19CoventryCoventry82066:15-96LLWWL
20SunderlandSunderland71156:14-84LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Manchester CityManchester City820:921
2ArsenalArsenal813:521
3BrightonBrighton823:716
4LiverpoolLiverpool811:815
5ChelseaChelsea817:1513
6BrentfordBrentford814:911
7NewcastleNewcastle812:1411
8Aston VillaAston Villa89:1211
9LeedsLeeds79:610
10Hull CityHull City89:810
11EvertonEverton88:910
12IpswichIpswich812:1610
13BournemouthBournemouth812:139
14TottenhamTottenham88:109
15FulhamFulham88:108
16Manchester UnitedManchester United810:137
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace89:197
18Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest86:106
19CoventryCoventry86:156
20SunderlandSunderland76:144
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Bournemouth vs Liverpool forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bournemouth and Liverpool in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Liverpool are 4th and Bournemouth 13th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Bournemouth 12-13, Liverpool 11-8. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Bournemouth have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.