Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
World · League Stage - 1
Anfield, Liverpool· D. Massa 09/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.41SignalGOODModel70%RiskMediumGap+3.8%
Liverpool Rest
5 days
Atletico Madrid Rest
4 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
156%1.75
X22%4.00
222%4.42
Double Chance
1X78%1.20
X244%2.09
Both Teams to Score
Yes55%1.53
No45%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.85 + 1.16 = 3.01
Over 1.576%1.16
Over 2.556%1.53
Over 3.536%2.38
Under 1.524%5.00
Under 2.544%2.40
Under 3.564%1.59
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.3 = 8.6
Over 8.552%1.60
Over 9.541%2.01
Over 10.532%2.60
Under 8.548%2.19
Under 9.559%1.71
Under 10.568%1.43
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.8 = 3.6
Over 3.549%1.81
Over 4.530%2.66
Under 3.551%1.94
Under 4.570%1.41
Match Events
17'Marcos LlorenteAssist: Julián Álvarez
28'Alexis Mac AllisterFoul
40'Dominik SzoboszlaiAssist: Ronald Araujo
50'Alexis Mac AllisterAssist: Alexander Isak
51'Marc PubillFoul
59'Lee Kang-In INAlejandro Grimaldo out
59'Koke INAdemola Lookman out
60'Rio Ngumoha INJeremie Frimpong out
60'Bradley Barcola INVíctor Muñoz out
69'Alexis Mac Allister INRyan Gravenberch out
73'Alejandro Baena Rodríguez INJonathan David out
77'Cristian Romero INRobin Le Normand out
77'Pablo Barrios Rivas INMorten Hjulmand out
88'Alexander Isak INLewis Koumas out
88'Milos Kerkez INKonstantinos Tsimikas out
Lineups
LiverpoolAtletico Madrid
3-4-2-1Coach: D. Simeone
1A. BeckerAlisson Becker
33R. AraújoR. Araújo
5J. JacquetJ. Jacquet
4V. van DijkV. van Dijk
6M. KerkezM. Kerkez
8D. SzoboszlaiD. Szoboszlai
10A. Mac AllisterA. Mac Allister
29B. BarcolaB. Barcola
7F. WirtzF. Wirtz
73R. NgumohaR. Ngumoha
9A. IsakA. Isak
13J. OblakJ. Oblak
18M. PubillMarc Pubill
21C. RomeroC. Romero
17D. HanckoD. Hancko
14M. LlorenteMarcos Llorente
8P. BarriosPablo Barrios
6KokeKoke
20G. SimeoneG. Simeone
7L. Kang-InLee Kang-In
10Á. BaenaÁlex Baena
19J. ÁlvarezJ. ÁlvarezLiverpool Substitutes
44L. ChambersD
76J. DannsF
30J. FrimpongD
38R. GravenberchM
67L. KoumasF
25G. MamardashviliG
53J. McConnellM
23Víctor MuñozF
42T. NyoniM
21K. TsimikasD
28F. WoodmanG
Atletico Madrid Substitutes
3O. VargasM
1J. MussoG
4Rodrigo MendozaM
11A. LookmanF
24Robin Le NormandD
23M. HjulmandM
22Álex GrimaldoD
27J. DominguezD
15J. DavidF
5J. CardosoM
46J. CastilloM
30Dani MartÃnezD
Match Stats
LiverpoolAtletico Madrid 45%Ball Possession55%
7Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal4
12Shots Inside Box4
2Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots1
11Fouls10
3Offsides5
3Goalkeeper Saves3
420Total Passes516
355Passes Accurate439
9Free Kicks9
Team Comparison
LiverpoolAtletico Madrid1889Elo Rating 1876
1.46Attack 1.82
2.16Defense 1.51
42%Hit Rate 44%
14.9Shots per Game 13.2
5.0Shots on Target 4.6
4.9Corners per Game 4.5
1.9Cards per Game 1.4
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3 goals
📈BTTS Trend46% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Liverpool- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Atletico Madrid- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Based on 5 historical meetings
Liverpool 86%Draw 0%14% Atletico Madrid
3.09Avg Goals
46%BTTS Rate
46%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Liverpool1W3D1L
04/09/2026
IpswichLiverpool
29/08/2026IpswichLiverpool02
WLiverpool
Nottingham Forest22
D23/08/2026
NewcastleLiverpool22
D16/08/2026Liverpool
Como
LiverpoolComo00
D09/08/2026Liverpool
Monaco
LiverpoolMonaco23
LAtletico Madrid3W1D1L
05/09/2026
Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid
SevillaAtletico MadridAtletico Madrid
VillarrealAtletico Madrid
Malaga
Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid30
L29/08/2026SevillaAtletico Madrid13
W23/08/2026Atletico MadridVillarreal22
D19/08/2026Atletico MadridMalaga20
W14/08/2026
MarseilleAtletico Madrid
MarseilleAtletico Madrid12
WReferee Profile
D. Massa · 43 matches analysed
4.0Avg Yellows
4.3Avg Cards
22.2Avg Fouls
Stricter than 31% of referees analysed
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | +5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Manchester United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 3 | W |
| 5 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 3 | W |
| 7 |  Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 3 | W |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 | W |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 10 |  Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 11 |  Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 14 |  Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 15 |  Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  AEK Athens FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 17 |  AS Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 19 |  PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 20 |  Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 22 |  Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 23 |  Slavia Praha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 24 |  Club Brugge KV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 25 |  Inter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 26 | Atletico Madrid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 |  Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 |  Lask Linz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 29 |  Viking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 30 |  Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 |  FC Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 |  Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Sabah FA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 6:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern München | 1 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 1 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 1 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Como | 1 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 1 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 1 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 10 | Lens | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Real Betis | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 12 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 14 | Real Madrid | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 16 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 | AS Roma | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 18 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 19 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 20 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 22 | Lille | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 23 | Slavia Praha | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 24 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 25 | Inter | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 26 | Atletico Madrid | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 28 | Lask Linz | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 29 | Viking | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 30 | Galatasaray | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 31 | FC Porto | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 34 | Sabah FA | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Champions League
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
AEK Athens FCViking
CelticLask Linz
Sparta Praha
Lyon
Union St. GilloiseBodo/Glimt
Olympiakos Piraeus
NEC Nijmegen
Mjallby AIFSlovan Bratislava
Aarhus
Lech Poznan
FC Thun
Dinamo ZagrebFenerbahçe
Gornik Zabrze
Sturm Graz
Heart Of Midlothian
Hapoel Beer Sheva
FK Crvena Zvezda
Omonia Nicosia
CeljeAEK Athens FCVikingCelticLask LinzSparta PrahaLyonUnion St. GilloiseBodo/GlimtOlympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenAEK Athens FCVikingCelticLask LinzAEK Athens FCVikingCelticLask LinzSparta PrahaLyonUnion St. GilloiseBodo/GlimtOlympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenMjallby AIFSlovan BratislavaAarhusLech PoznanFC ThunDinamo ZagrebFenerbahçeGornik ZabrzeSturm GrazHeart Of MidlothianHapoel Beer ShevaFK Crvena ZvezdaOmonia NicosiaCeljeLiverpool vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
As a knockout-stage UEFA Champions League fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Champions League
ScorePredicts covers UEFA Champions League across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Liverpool and Atletico Madrid have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.09 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.