Bournemouth vs Lincoln Prediction

Bournemouth
4-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Lincoln
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth 08/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel73%SurpriseMediumGap+2.1%
Bournemouth Rest
3 days
Lincoln Rest
3 days

Bournemouth vs Lincoln: the result in context

Bournemouth beat Lincoln 4-0 in the League Cup on 8 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Lincoln had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Bournemouth.

Bournemouth tend to win more corners, 5.5 a game to 2.2 for Lincoln.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
88%1.25
X
2%5.90
2
10%10.90
Double Chance
1X
90%1.05
X2
12%3.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.80
No
48%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.91 + 0.83 = 2.74
Over 1.5
85%1.12
Over 2.5
55%1.41
Over 3.5
36%2.08
Under 1.5
15%6.00
Under 2.5
45%2.75
Under 3.5
64%1.73
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'Ryan ChristieAssist: Ben Gannon-Doak
27'Callum ElderFoul
41'Justin KluivertFoul
48'Dom JefferiesFoul
58'Joshua Honohan INAndrei Coubiș out
58'Mikkel Ladefoged INRobert Nicholas Street out
61'Antonio SilvaFoul
62'Justin Kluivert INAlex Tóth out
67'Daniel OyegokeFoul
69'Ryan ChristieAssist: David Brooks
73'Daniel Oyegoke INBen House out
73'Yunus Konak INDeji Elerewe out
73'Callum Elder INSonny Bradley out
78'Álvaro Rodríguez INDaniel Jebbison out
78'David Brooks INRayan Vitor Simplício Rocha out
78'Ben Gannon-Doak INMarcus Tavernier out
82'Antonio Silva INJuanlu Sánchez out
88'Ryan ChristieAssist: Bafode Diakite
90+4'Rayan Vitor Simplício RochaAssist: Daniel Jebbison

Lineups

Bournemouth
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Rose
Lincoln
4-4-2Coach: Chris Cohen
Avg rating7.22
Avg rating5.89
M. Di Gregorio6.920M. Di Gregorio
J. Hill7.45J. Hill
B. Diakité7.418B. Diakité
António Silva7.114A. Silva
J. Soler7.26J. Soler
L. Cook7.24L. Cook
R. Christie9.710R. Christie
D. Brooks7.57D. Brooks
J. Kluivert6.519J. Kluivert
B. Doak7.711B. Doak
Á. Rodríguez6.630Á. Rodríguez
J. Gauci6.446J. Gauci
D. Jefferies5.316D. Jefferies
D. Oyegoke5.233D. Oyegoke
R. Towler5.76R. Towler
C. Elder5.420C. Elder
C. Ogbene5.427C. Ogbene
T. Bayliss5.88T. Bayliss
Y. Konak6.126Y. Konak
J. Honohan6.023J. Honohan
M. Ladefoged6.811M. Ladefoged
R. Hackett6.27R. Hackett

Bournemouth Substitutes

12T. Adams
16M. Tavernier78'for Ben Gannon-Doak6.5
3A. Truffert
27A. Tóth62'for Justin Kluivert6.8
37Rayan78'for David Brooks90+4'7.7
8A. Scott
1Đ. Petrović
29D. Jebbison78'for Álvaro Rodríguez6.9
24Juanlu Sánchez82'for Antonio Silva6.6

Lincoln Substitutes

15S. Bradley73'for Callum Elder5.7
4A. Coubiș58'for Joshua Honohan5.9
18B. House73'for Daniel Oyegoke6.3
19I. Olaofe
17R. Street58'for Mikkel Ladefoged6.4
24I. Varfolomeev
29E. Wheatley
25D. Elerewe73'for Yunus Konak5.8
1G. Wickens

Match Stats

BournemouthLincoln
60%Ball Possession40%
10Corner Kicks0
2Yellow Cards3
36Total Shots2
8Shots on Goal1
15Shots off Goal1
22Shots Inside Box2
14Shots Outside Box0
13Blocked Shots0
11Fouls8
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
582Total Passes278
518Passes Accurate206
8Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

BournemouthBournemouth
LincolnLincoln
1940Elo Rating 1694
2.83Attack 1.68
3.00Defense 0.32
100%Hit Rate 27%
19.4Shots per Game 12.5
6.1Shots on Target 3.6
5.5Corners per Game 2.2
2.3Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+245 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BournemouthBournemouth
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
LincolnLincoln
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

BournemouthBournemouth
3W5D2L
05/09/2026
NewcastleBournemouth
22
D
29/08/2026
BournemouthEverton
11
D
23/08/2026
Manchester CityBournemouth
21
L
15/08/2026
FSV Mainz 05Bournemouth
21
L
08/08/2026
Real BetisBournemouth
22
D
04/08/2026
BournemouthGenoa
101
W
30/07/2026
FC AugsburgBournemouth
25
W
24/07/2026
BournemouthFC St. Pauli
41
W
24/05/2026
Nottingham ForestBournemouth
11
D
19/05/2026
BournemouthManchester City
11
D
LincolnLincoln
4W2D4L
05/09/2026
LincolnSouthampton
11
D
01/09/2026
LincolnBlackburn
00
D
29/08/2026
BoltonLincoln
01
W
25/08/2026
BlackpoolLincoln
14
W
22/08/2026
LincolnPortsmouth
13
L
15/08/2026
MiddlesbroughLincoln
21
L
08/08/2026
DerbyLincoln
12
W
01/08/2026
BarnsleyLincoln
30
L
01/08/2026
DoncasterLincoln
01
W
28/07/2026
GrimsbyLincoln
51
L

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Bournemouth vs Lincoln forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Bournemouth have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. Bournemouth and Lincoln have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.