Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction

Newcastle
2-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Liverpool
St James' Park, Newcastle· Stuart Attwell, England 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.44
SignalGOODModel44%RiskMediumGap+2.7%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.44
SignalGOODModel38%RiskHighGap+8.0%
Newcastle Rest
7 days
Liverpool Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%3.95
X
25%3.83
2
43%1.88
Double Chance
1X
58%1.91
X2
68%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
72%1.44
No
28%2.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.78 + 1.44 = 3.22
Over 1.5
83%1.15
Over 2.5
60%1.50
Over 3.5
36%2.30
Under 1.5
17%5.05
Under 2.5
40%2.50
Under 3.5
64%1.64
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'A. ElangaAssist: W. Osula
25'Y. WissaHolding
30'M. KerkezTripping
30'J. FrimpongHolding
34'L. MileyRoughing
55'C. GakpoAssist: R. Gravenberch
56'W. Osula INJ. Willock out
56'S. Steur INJ. Ramsey out
57'J. WillockAssist: Y. Wissa
63'F. Wirtz INA. Mac Allister out
63'R. Ngumoha INV. Munoz out
65'J. RamseyTripping
70'J. Jacquet INR. Araujo out
76'L. Miley INA. Bamba out
76'A. Elanga INJ. Murphy out
78'R. Gravenberch INL. Koumas out
79'J. MurphyTripping
90'V. van DijkTripping
90+3'L. HornicekUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+5'Y. Wissa INF. Schar out
90'D. Szoboszlai(Penalty)

Lineups

Newcastle
4-2-3-1Coach: Matthias Jaissle
Liverpool
4-2-3-1Coach: Andoni Iraola
L. Hornicek21L. HornicekL. Hornicek
A. Dedic37A. DedicA. Dedic
M. Thiaw12M. ThiawM. Thiaw
S. Botman4S. BotmanS. Botman
L. Hall3L. HallL. Hall
S. Steur14S. SteurS. Steur
L. Miley67L. MileyL. Miley
A. Elanga19A. ElangaA. Elanga
Y. Wissa9Y. WissaY. Wissa
H. Barnes11H. BarnesH. Barnes
W. Osula10W. OsulaW. Osula
Alisson1AlissonAlisson
J. Frimpong30J. FrimpongJ. Frimpong
J. Jacquet5J. JacquetJ. Jacquet
V. van Dijk4V. van DijkV. van Dijk
M. Kerkez6M. KerkezM. Kerkez
D. Szoboszlai8D. SzoboszlaiD. Szoboszlai
R. Gravenberch38R. GravenberchR. Gravenberch
R. Ngumoha73R. NgumohaR. Ngumoha
F. Wirtz7F. WirtzF. Wirtz
C. Gakpo18C. GakpoC. Gakpo
A. Isak9A. IsakA. Isak

Newcastle Substitutes

24E. JaouenG
51L. ShaharD
5F. ScharD
28J. WillockM
41J. RamseyM
8A. BambaM
17B. ToureF
23J. MurphyM
27N. WoltemadeF

Liverpool Substitutes

25G. MamardashviliG
21K. TsimikasD
33R. AraujoD
10A. Mac AllisterM
3W. EndoM
53J. McConnellM
42T. NyoniM
67L. KoumasF
23V. MunozF

Match Stats

NewcastleLiverpool
39%Ball Possession61%
2Corner Kicks6
5Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots27
4Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal4
6Shots Inside Box16
7Shots Outside Box11
4Blocked Shots16
16Fouls15
2Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves3
293Total Passes440
223Passes Accurate370
76%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

NewcastleNewcastle
LiverpoolLiverpool
1835Elo Rating 1889
1.64Attack 1.46
1.25Defense 2.16
54%Hit Rate 42%
13.2Shots per Game 14.9
4.4Shots on Target 5.0
7.6Corners per Game 4.9
1.9Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.22 goals
📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

NewcastleNewcastle
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
LiverpoolLiverpool
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Newcastle 19%Draw 14%66% Liverpool
4.25Avg Goals
83%BTTS Rate
83%Over 2.5

Recent Form

NewcastleNewcastle
1W0D4L
16/08/2026
NewcastleStrasbourg
2131
L
15/08/2026
NewcastleBayer Leverkusen
12
L
12/08/2026
NewcastleEverton
13
L
08/08/2026
ValenciaNewcastle
12
W
29/07/2026
Bristol CityNewcastle
41
L
LiverpoolLiverpool
2W1D2L
16/08/2026
LiverpoolComo
00
D
09/08/2026
LiverpoolMonaco
23
L
02/08/2026
LiverpoolLeeds
24
L
30/07/2026
LiverpoolWrexham
10
W
26/07/2026
LiverpoolSunderland
42
W

Referee Profile

Stuart Attwell, England · 26 matches analysed

4.6Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
22.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 85% of referees analysed

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArsenalArsenal44008:1+712WWWW
2Manchester CityManchester City44008:2+612WWWW
3LeedsLeeds42207:3+48WDDW
4Hull CityHull City42205:2+38DDWW
5BrightonBrighton421113:5+87WDLW
6ChelseaChelsea421110:9+17DLWW
7BrentfordBrentford41307:4+36DDDW
8LiverpoolLiverpool41306:4+26DWDD
9EvertonEverton41305:3+26DDDW
10IpswichIpswich42027:10-36WLLW
11Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest41214:405WDDL
12NewcastleNewcastle41217:8-15LDWD
13Manchester UnitedManchester United41127:704LDWL
14SunderlandSunderland41123:5-24LDWL
15BournemouthBournemouth40316:7-13DDDL
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace41036:11-53LWLL
17TottenhamTottenham40220:5-52DDLL
18FulhamFulham40134:7-31DLLL
19Aston VillaAston Villa40131:7-61LDLL
20CoventryCoventry40040:10-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ArsenalArsenal48:112
2Manchester CityManchester City48:212
3LeedsLeeds47:38
4Hull CityHull City45:28
5BrightonBrighton413:57
6ChelseaChelsea410:97
7BrentfordBrentford47:46
8LiverpoolLiverpool46:46
9EvertonEverton45:36
10IpswichIpswich47:106
11Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest44:45
12NewcastleNewcastle47:85
13Manchester UnitedManchester United47:74
14SunderlandSunderland43:54
15BournemouthBournemouth46:73
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace46:113
17TottenhamTottenham40:52
18FulhamFulham44:71
19Aston VillaAston Villa41:71
20CoventryCoventry40:100
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premier League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premier League

ScorePredicts covers England football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Newcastle and Liverpool have met 5 times recently, averaging 4.25 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.