Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth Prediction

UEFA Europa LeagueWorld World · League Stage - 1
Cup
Real Sociedad
1-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Bournemouth
Anoeta, San Sebastian· P. Raczkowski 17/09/2026
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
1-2
Finished
BournemouthBournemouth

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.36
SignalGOODModel52%RiskHighGap+4.3%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.83
SignalHIGHModel62%RiskHighGap+11.1%
Real Sociedad Rest
4 days
Bournemouth Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
14%3.00
X
32%3.60
2
54%2.25
Double Chance
1X
46%1.67
X2
86%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.53
No
37%2.37
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.63 = 2.96
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
57%1.67
Over 3.5
35%2.60
Under 1.5
21%4.50
Under 2.5
43%2.25
Under 3.5
65%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.5 = 9.3
Over 8.5
59%1.32
Over 9.5
46%1.60
Over 10.5
36%2.00
Under 8.5
41%2.96
Under 9.5
54%2.20
Under 10.5
64%1.74
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.59
Over 4.5
38%1.83
Under 3.5
43%2.30
Under 4.5
62%1.83

Match Events

11'Justin KluivertAssist: Adrien Truffert
13'Goal confirmedJustin Kluivert
20'Rayan Vitor Simplício RochaAssist: Alex Scott
24'Benat TurrientesFoul
33'Ander BarrenetxeaFoul
42'Justin KluivertFoul
45'Hector Fort INGonçalo Guedes out
52'Adrien TruffertFoul
57'Sergio GómezAssist: Luken Beitia Aguirregomezcorta
58'Benat Turrientes INJon Gorrotxategi out
63'Adam Smith INBafode Diakite out
63'Tyler Adams INRyan Christie out
69'Bafode DiakiteFoul
71'Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha INBen Gannon-Doak out
71'Francisco Evanilson INÁlvaro Rodríguez out
73'Mikel Oyarzabal INLuka Sučić out
75'Orri Steinn ÓskarssonFoul
83'Justin Kluivert INDavid Brooks out
83'Ander Barrenetxea INTakefusa Kubo out
84'Yangel Herrera INArsen Zakharyan out

Lineups

Real Sociedad
4-4-2Coach: P. Matarazzo
Bournemouth
4-4-2Coach: M. Rose
Unai Marrero13U. MarreroUnai Marrero
Luken Beitia34L. BeitiaLuken Beitia
Jon Martín6J. MartínJon Martín
M. Sarr19M. SarrM. Sarr
Sergio Gómez17S. GómezSergio Gómez
Héctor Fort22H. FortHéctor Fort
Beñat Turrientes8B. TurrientesBeñat Turrientes
Y. Herrera21Y. HerreraY. Herrera
Barrenetxea7BarrenetxeaBarrenetxea
Mikel Oyarzabal10M. OyarzabalMikel Oyarzabal
O. Óskarsson9O. ÓskarssonO. Óskarsson
Đ. Petrović1Đ. PetrovićĐ. Petrović
A. Smith15A. SmithA. Smith
J. Hill5J. HillJ. Hill
António Silva14A. SilvaAntónio Silva
A. Truffert3A. TruffertA. Truffert
Rayan37RayanRayan
A. Scott8A. ScottA. Scott
T. Adams12T. AdamsT. Adams
M. Tavernier16M. TavernierM. Tavernier
Evanilson9EvanilsonEvanilson
J. Kluivert19J. KluivertJ. Kluivert

Real Sociedad Substitutes

14T. KuboF
4Jon GorrotxategiM
29Alex GarciaF
15Pablo MarínM
3Aihen MuñozD
12J. OchiengF
16Jon PachecoD
1Álex RemiroG
18Carlos SolerM
24L. SučićM
23A. ZakharyanM
11Gonçalo GuedesF

Bournemouth Substitutes

7D. BrooksM
10R. ChristieM
4L. CookM
18B. DiakitéD
20M. Di GregorioG
11B. DoakF
30Á. RodríguezF
6J. SolerD
27A. TóthM
55M. AllanG

Match Stats

Real SociedadBournemouth
54%Ball Possession46%
10Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box8
10Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots2
14Fouls13
1Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves4
580Total Passes368
488Passes Accurate282
13Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Real SociedadReal Sociedad
BournemouthBournemouth
1747Elo Rating 1867
1.16Attack 2.15
1.00Defense 1.62
39%Hit Rate 23%
12.7Shots per Game 20.2
5.2Shots on Target 6.9
8.3Corners per Game 5.5
2.1Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Real SociedadReal Sociedad
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BournemouthBournemouth
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Real SociedadReal Sociedad
2W1D2L
13/09/2026
Real SociedadAtletico Madrid
03
L07/09/2026
ElcheReal Sociedad
23
W03/09/2026
Real SociedadCelta Vigo
00
D29/08/2026
Real SociedadEspanyol
21
W26/08/2026
Real MadridReal Sociedad
41
L
BournemouthBournemouth
1W3D1L
12/09/2026
BournemouthBrentford
22
D08/09/2026
BournemouthLincoln
40
W05/09/2026
NewcastleBournemouth
22
D29/08/2026
BournemouthEverton
11
D23/08/2026
Manchester CityBournemouth
21
L

Referee Profile

P. Raczkowski · 20 matches analysed

4.9Avg Yellows
5.1Avg Cards
23.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 89% of referees analysed

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sparta PrahaSparta Praha11004:1+33W
2BenficaBenfica11002:0+23W
3Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen11002:0+23W
4OFIOFI11002:0+23W
5LyonLyon11002:1+13W
6Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus11002:1+13W
7Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg11001:0+13W
8Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia11001:0+13W
9SunderlandSunderland11001:0+13W
10Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb10100:001D
11Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva10100:001D
12RennesRennes10100:001D
13Sturm GrazSturm Graz10100:001D
14BeşiktaşBeşiktaş00000:000-
15BournemouthBournemouth00000:000-
16CelticCeltic00000:000-
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace00000:000-
18Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC00000:000-
19JuventusJuventus00000:000-
20Lech PoznanLech Poznan00000:000-
21LillestromLillestrom00000:000-
22MarseilleMarseille00000:000-
23NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen00000:000-
24Real SociedadReal Sociedad00000:000-
25TorreenseTorreense00000:000-
26Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise00000:000-
27PlzenPlzen00000:000-
28JagielloniaJagiellonia10011:2-10L
29AnderlechtAnderlecht10011:2-10L
30AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar10010:1-10L
31Celta VigoCelta Vigo10010:1-10L
32Levski SofiaLevski Sofia10010:1-10L
33CeljeCelje10010:2-20L
341899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim10010:2-20L
35AC MilanAC Milan10010:2-20L
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia10011:4-30L
#TeamMPGPts
1Sparta PrahaSparta Praha14:13
2BenficaBenfica12:03
3Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen12:03
4OFIOFI12:03
5LyonLyon12:13
6Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus12:13
7Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg11:03
8Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia11:03
9SunderlandSunderland11:03
10Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb10:01
11Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva10:01
12RennesRennes10:01
13Sturm GrazSturm Graz10:01
14BeşiktaşBeşiktaş00:00
15BournemouthBournemouth00:00
16CelticCeltic00:00
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace00:00
18Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC00:00
19JuventusJuventus00:00
20Lech PoznanLech Poznan00:00
21LillestromLillestrom00:00
22MarseilleMarseille00:00
23NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen00:00
24Real SociedadReal Sociedad00:00
25TorreenseTorreense00:00
26Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise00:00
27PlzenPlzen00:00
28JagielloniaJagiellonia11:20
29AnderlechtAnderlecht11:20
30AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar10:10
31Celta VigoCelta Vigo10:10
32Levski SofiaLevski Sofia10:10
33CeljeCelje10:20
341899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim10:20
35AC MilanAC Milan10:20
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia11:40

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Anderlecht
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Beşiktaş
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Benfica
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Anderlecht
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Beşiktaş
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Benfica
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded

Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth Prediction

As a knockout-stage UEFA Europa League fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa League

ScorePredicts covers UEFA Europa League across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Bournemouth have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Real Sociedad and Bournemouth have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.