Brazil vs Morocco Prediction

Brazil
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Morocco
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford·Slavko Vinčić, Slovenia 14/06/2026
BrazilBrazil
1-1
Finished
MoroccoMorocco

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.25
SignalHIGHModel10%SurpriseHighGap-3.4%
Brazil Rest
7 days
Morocco Rest
6 days

Brazil vs Morocco: result, form and history

Brazil and Morocco drew 1-1 in the World Cup on 13 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%1.67
X
28%3.70
2
37%5.50
Double Chance
1X
63%1.15
X2
65%2.19
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.07
No
48%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.94 + 1.47 = 2.41
Over 1.5
72%1.37
Over 2.5
45%2.19
Over 3.5
23%3.92
Under 1.5
28%3.00
Under 2.5
55%1.69
Under 3.5
77%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.7 + 5.3 = 9
Over 8.5
52%2.00
Over 9.5
47%2.64
Over 10.5
34%3.55
Under 8.5
48%1.73
Under 9.5
53%1.43
Under 10.5
66%1.24
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.8 = 3.7
Over 3.5
59%1.78
Over 4.5
35%2.50
Under 3.5
41%1.95
Under 4.5
65%1.47

Match Events

21'Ismael SaibariAssist: Brahim Díaz
32'Vinícius JúniorAssist: Bruno Guimarães
37'CasemiroFoul
43'Roger IbañezFoul
46'Roger Ibañez INDanilo out
46'Casemiro INFabinho out
61'Igor Thiago INLuiz Henrique out
61'Lucas Paquetá INMatheus Cunha out
64'Azzedine Ounahi INSamir El Mourabet out
64'Brahim Díaz INChemsdine Talbi out
80'Bruno Guimarães INDanilo Santos out
80'Bilal El Khannouss INAyoube Amaimouni Echghouyab out
80'Noussair Mazraoui INAnass Salah-Eddine out
89'Ismael Saibari INSoufiane Rahimi out

Lineups

Brazil
4-2-3-1Coach: Carlo Ancelotti
Morocco
4-2-3-1Coach: Mohamed Ouahbi
Avg rating6.78
Avg rating6.75
Alisson6.51Alisson
Roger Ibañez6.324R. Ibañez
MarquinhosC7.34Marquinhos
Gabriel Magalhães7.23G. Magalhães
Douglas Santos7.216D. Santos
Casemiro6.65Casemiro
Bruno Guimarães6.98B. Guimarães
Lucas Paquetá6.920L. Paquetá
Raphinha6.311Raphinha
Vinícius Júnior8.07V. Júnior
Igor Thiago6.325I. Thiago
Bono6.91Bono
Achraf HakimiC7.02A. Hakimi
Issa Diop6.314I. Diop
Chadi Riad6.318C. Riad
Noussair Mazraoui6.93N. Mazraoui
Neil El Aynaoui7.024N. El Aynaoui
Ayyoub Bouaddi7.06A. Bouaddi
Brahim Díaz6.910B. Díaz
Azzedine Ounahi6.68A. Ounahi
Bilal El Khannouss7.023B. El Khannouss
Ismael Saibari7.711I. Saibari

Brazil Substitutes

13Danilo46'for Roger Ibañez6.6
17Fabinho46'for Casemiro6.3
21Luiz Henrique61'for Igor Thiago6.9
9Matheus Cunha61'for Lucas Paquetá6.9
18Danilo Santos80'for Bruno Guimarães6.3
23Ederson
12Weverton
6Alex Sandro
14Bremer
15Léo Pereira
26Rayan
2Éderson
19Endrick
22Gabriel Martinelli

Morocco Substitutes

7Chemsdine Talbi64'for Brahim Díaz6.3
15Samir El Mourabet64'for Azzedine Ounahi6.3
26Anass Salah-Eddine80'for Noussair Mazraoui6.3
21Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab80'for Bilal El Khannouss6.7
9Soufiane Rahimi89'for Ismael Saibari
12Munir El Kajoui
22Ahmed Reda Tagnaouti
5Marwane Saadane
25Redouane Halhal
13Zakaria El Ouahdi
19Youssef Belammari
17Amine Sbai
16Gessime Yassine
4Sofyan Amrabat
20Ayoub El Kaabi

Match Stats

BrazilMorocco
51%Ball Possession49%
6Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards0
12Total Shots14
5Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots6
16Fouls14
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
514Total Passes486
449Passes Accurate419
87%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

BrazilBrazil
MoroccoMorocco
1791Elo Rating 1850
1.95Attack 1.64
2.09Defense 2.47
59%Hit Rate 66%
15.2Shots per Game 12.2
6.0Shots on Target 3.7
5.4Corners per Game 4.7
1.6Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BrazilBrazil
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
MoroccoMorocco
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

BrazilBrazil
5W3D2L
07/06/2026
BrazilEgypt
21
W
31/05/2026
BrazilPanama
62
W
10/09/2025
BoliviaBrazil
10
L
05/09/2025
BrazilChile
30
W
11/06/2025
BrazilParaguay
10
W
06/06/2025
EcuadorBrazil
00
D
26/03/2025
ArgentinaBrazil
41
L
21/03/2025
BrazilColombia
21
W
20/11/2024
BrazilUruguay
11
D
14/11/2024
VenezuelaBrazil
11
D
MoroccoMorocco
8W2D0L
07/06/2026
MoroccoNorway
11
D
02/06/2026
MoroccoMadagascar
40
W
26/05/2026
MoroccoBurundi
50
W
18/01/2026
SenegalMorocco
0030
W
14/01/2026
NigeriaMorocco
2040
W
09/01/2026
CameroonMorocco
02
W
04/01/2026
MoroccoTanzania
10
W
29/12/2025
ZambiaMorocco
03
W
26/12/2025
MoroccoMali
11
D
21/12/2025
MoroccoComoros
20
W

Referee Profile

Slavko Vinčić209 matches

4.28Cards per match
4.14Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
26.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Slavko Vinčić4.28
Other referees4.22

4.28 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).

Cards come from 127 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BrazilBrazil32107:1+67WWD
2MoroccoMorocco32106:3+37WWD
3ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
4HaitiHaiti30032:8-60LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BrazilBrazil37:17
2MoroccoMorocco36:37
3ScotlandScotland31:43
4HaitiHaiti32:80

About the Brazil vs Morocco forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Brazil and Morocco in the World Cup table

In the World Cup table, Brazil (1st) and Morocco (2nd) are level on 7 points. League goal record so far: Brazil 7-1, Morocco 6-3. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Brazil and Morocco have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.