Haiti vs Scotland Prediction

World CupWorld World · Group Stage - 1
Cup
Haiti
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Scotland
Gillette Stadium, Boston·Mustapha Ghorbal, Algeria 14/06/2026
HaitiHaiti
0-1
Finished
ScotlandScotland

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel99%SurpriseMediumGap+3.8%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.47
SignalHIGHModel89%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
Haiti Rest
8 days
Scotland Rest
7 days

Haiti vs Scotland: the result in context

Scotland beat Haiti 1-0 in the World Cup on 14 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Mustapha Ghorbal averages 4.63 cards a game, 0.85 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
11%6.00
X
20%4.37
2
69%1.53
Double Chance
1X
31%2.50
X2
89%1.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.73
No
48%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.83 + 1.71 = 2.54
Over 1.5
73%1.20
Over 2.5
47%1.66
Over 3.5
25%2.65
Under 1.5
27%4.40
Under 2.5
53%2.23
Under 3.5
75%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.5 + 5.5 = 9
Over 8.5
52%1.54
Over 9.5
47%1.84
Over 10.5
34%2.35
Under 8.5
48%2.35
Under 9.5
53%1.86
Under 10.5
66%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.9 = 3.8
Over 3.5
59%1.72
Over 4.5
35%2.45
Under 3.5
41%2.00
Under 4.5
65%1.49

Match Events

28'J. McGinn
39'J. BellegardeTripping
46'A. HickeyHolding
61'L. Deedson INJ. Casimir out
75'B. Gannon-Doak INR. Christie out
75'A. Hickey INN. Patterson out
75'C. Adams INL. Dykes out
76'W. Isidor INL. Joseph out
83'J. McGinn INF. Curtis out
83'L. Shankland INK. McLean out
85'R. Providence INY. Fortune out
90+1'F. CurtisRoughing
90+5'K. McLeanRoughing

Lineups

Haiti
4-4-2Coach: Sebastien Migne
Scotland
4-4-2Coach: Steve Clarke
Avg rating6.70
Avg rating6.98
Johny PlacideC6.91J. Placide
Carlens Arcus6.22C. Arcus
Ricardo Adé7.04R. Adé
Hannes Delcroix6.95H. Delcroix
Martin Expérience7.08M. Expérience
Louicius Don Deedson6.311L. Don Deedson
Danley Jean Jacques7.017D. Jean Jacques
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde7.510J. Bellegarde
Ruben Providence6.615R. Providence
Frantzdy Pierrot6.620F. Pierrot
Wilson Isidor6.318W. Isidor
Angus Gunn7.51A. Gunn
Aaron Hickey7.22A. Hickey
Grant Hanley7.75G. Hanley
Jack Hendry7.213J. Hendry
Andy RobertsonC7.23A. Robertson
Ben Gannon-Doak7.217B. Gannon-Doak
Scott McTominay6.74S. McTominay
Lewis Ferguson7.719L. Ferguson
John McGinn7.57J. McGinn
Lawrence Shankland6.520L. Shankland
Che Adams6.510C. Adams

Haiti Substitutes

21Josué Casimir61'for L. Deedson6.6
16Lenny Joseph76'for W. Isidor6.2
19Yassin Fortune85'for R. Providence6.7
12Alexandre Pierre
23Josué Duverger
3Keeto Thermoncy
13Duke Lacroix
14Garven-Michee Metusala
22Jean-Kévin Duverne
24Wilguens Paugain
6Carl Fred Sainté
25Dominique Simon
26Woodensky Pierre
7Derrick Etienne
9Duckens Nazon

Scotland Substitutes

22Nathan Patterson75'for A. Hickey6.9
11Ryan Christie75'for B. Gannon-Doak6.6
9Lyndon Dykes75'for C. Adams6.3
23Kenny McLean83'for L. Shankland90+5'6.7
25Findlay Curtis83'for J. McGinn90+1'6.2
12Liam Kelly
21Craig Gordon
6Kieran Tierney
15John Souttar
16Dominic Hyam
24Tony Ralston
26Scott McKenna
8Tyler Fletcher
14Ross Stewart
18George Hirst

Match Stats

HaitiScotland
54%Ball Possession46%
4Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards3
15Total Shots9
2Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box8
7Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots2
23Fouls21
3Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
431Total Passes374
367Passes Accurate307
85%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

HaitiHaiti
ScotlandScotland
1518Elo Rating 1602
2.08Attack 0.73
1.34Defense 1.45
59%Hit Rate 23%
8.9Shots per Game 14.1
3.8Shots on Target 5.4
3.9Corners per Game 4.4
2.4Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

HaitiHaiti
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
ScotlandScotland
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

HaitiHaiti
4W3D3L
06/06/2026
HaitiPeru
12
L
03/06/2026
HaitiNew Zealand
40
W
19/11/2025
HaitiNicaragua
20
W
14/11/2025
HaitiCosta Rica
10
W
14/10/2025
HondurasHaiti
30
L
10/10/2025
NicaraguaHaiti
03
W
10/09/2025
Costa RicaHaiti
33
D
06/09/2025
HaitiHonduras
00
D
23/06/2025
USAHaiti
21
L
20/06/2025
Trinidad and TobagoHaiti
11
D
ScotlandScotland
7W1D2L
06/06/2026
BoliviaScotland
04
W
30/05/2026
ScotlandCuraçao
41
W
18/11/2025
ScotlandDenmark
42
W
15/11/2025
GreeceScotland
32
L
12/10/2025
ScotlandBelarus
21
W
09/10/2025
ScotlandGreece
31
W
08/09/2025
BelarusScotland
02
W
05/09/2025
DenmarkScotland
00
D
23/03/2025
ScotlandGreece
03
L
20/03/2025
GreeceScotland
01
W

Referee Profile

Mustapha Ghorbal114 matches

4.65Cards per match
4.44Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
35.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mustapha Ghorbal4.63
Other referees3.78

4.63 cards a match, 0.85 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.78).

Cards come from 43 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group C

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BrazilBrazil32107:1+67WWD
2MoroccoMorocco32106:3+37WWD
3ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
4HaitiHaiti30032:8-60LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BrazilBrazil37:17
2MoroccoMorocco36:37
3ScotlandScotland31:43
4HaitiHaiti32:80

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

Explore more predictions

This match

More World Cup matches

All predictions

About the Haiti vs Scotland forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Haiti and Scotland in the World Cup table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Scotland are 3rd in the World Cup, 3 points ahead of Haiti in 4th. League goal record so far: Haiti 2-8, Scotland 1-4. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Haiti and Scotland have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.