Belgium vs Egypt Prediction

Belgium
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Egypt
Lumen Field, Seattle·Ramon Abatti Abel, Brazil 15/06/2026
BelgiumBelgium
1-1
Finished
EgyptEgypt

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.60
SignalNEUTRALModel76%SurpriseMediumGap-0.5%
Belgium Rest
9 days
Egypt Rest
8 days

Belgium vs Egypt: result, form and history

Belgium and Egypt drew 1-1 in the World Cup on 15 Jun 2026. Belgium had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Egypt.

Egypt tend to win more corners, 5.2 a game to 2.9 for Belgium.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.60
X
24%4.00
2
14%5.72
Double Chance
1X
85%1.14
X2
38%2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.00
No
47%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 1.06 = 2.57
Over 1.5
73%1.30
Over 2.5
46%1.95
Over 3.5
24%3.40
Under 1.5
27%3.45
Under 2.5
54%1.85
Under 3.5
76%1.31
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.3 = 9.5
Over 8.5
53%1.55
Over 9.5
47%1.85
Over 10.5
34%2.35
Under 8.5
47%2.30
Under 9.5
53%1.85
Under 10.5
66%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.9 = 3.7
Over 3.5
58%1.99
Over 4.5
35%2.94
Under 3.5
42%1.74
Under 4.5
65%1.35

Match Events

13'M. AttiaTripping
14'T. CastagneHolding
19'E. AshourAssist: M. Salah
34'A. FatouhTripping
56'T. Castagne INN. Raskin out
56'A. Onana INM. De Cuyper out
66'C. De Ketelaere INR. Lukaku out
66'M. HanyOG
71'E. Ashour INR. Rabia out
75'M. De CuyperHolding
76'M. Ziko INZizo out
76'M. Salah INH. Abdelkarim out
86'J. Doku INM. Fernandez-Pardo out
86'K. De Bruyne INH. Vanaken out
89'H. Fathy INI. Adel out
89'A. Fatouh INK. Hafez out

Lineups

Belgium
4-2-3-1Coach: Rudi Garcia
Egypt
4-2-3-1Coach: Hossam Hassan
Avg rating6.84
Avg rating6.74
Thibaut Courtois6.21T. Courtois
Thomas Meunier6.315T. Meunier
Nathan Ngoy7.025N. Ngoy
Brandon Mechele7.34B. Mechele
Timothy Castagne7.921T. Castagne
Amadou Onana6.924A. Onana
Youri TielemansC7.78Y. Tielemans
Leandro Trossard6.910L. Trossard
Kevin De Bruyne6.37K. De Bruyne
Jérémy Doku6.311J. Doku
Charles De Ketelaere7.217C. De Ketelaere
Mostafa Shobeir6.923M. Shobeir
Mohamed Hany6.23M. Hany
Yasser Ibrahim6.92Y. Ibrahim
Hamdy Fathy6.914H. Fathy
Ahmed Fatouh6.913A. Fatouh
Marwan Attia6.219M. Attia
Mohanad Lasheen7.217M. Lasheen
Mostafa Ziko6.211M. Ziko
Mohamed SalahC6.310M. Salah
Emam Ashour7.98E. Ashour
Omar Marmoush7.022O. Marmoush

Belgium Substitutes

5Maxim De Cuyper56'for A. Onana75'6.3
23Nicolas Raskin56'for T. Castagne7.3
9Romelu Lukaku66'for C. De Ketelaere6.2
12Senne Lammens
13Mike Penders
3Arthur Theate
18Joaquin Seys
16Koni De Winter
22Alexis Saelemaekers
6Axel Witsel
19Diego Moreira
14Dodi Lukebakio
20Hans Vanaken86'for K. De Bruyne
26Matías Fernández-Pardo86'for J. Doku

Egypt Substitutes

16Mahdi Soliman
26Mohamed Alaa
1Mohamed El-Shenawy
4Hossam Abdelmaguid
15Karim Hafez89'for A. Fatouh
6Mohamed Abdelmonem
5Rami Rabia71'for E. Ashour6.6
24Tarek Alaa
12Haissem Hassan
20Ibrahim Adel89'for H. Fathy
21Mahmoud Saber
7Mahmoud Trézéguet
18Nabil Donga
25Zizo76'for M. Ziko6.5
9Hamza Abdelkarim76'for M. Salah6.6

Match Stats

BelgiumEgypt
54%Ball Possession46%
2Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots8
15Fouls15
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
455Total Passes398
391Passes Accurate323
86%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

BelgiumBelgium
EgyptEgypt
1787Elo Rating 1682
1.43Attack 2.04
1.45Defense 2.11
39%Hit Rate 27%
11.4Shots per Game 13.3
4.8Shots on Target 4.5
2.9Corners per Game 5.2
3.0Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+105 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BelgiumBelgium
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
EgyptEgypt
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

BelgiumBelgium
7W3D0L
06/06/2026
BelgiumTunisia
50
W
02/06/2026
CroatiaBelgium
02
W
18/11/2025
BelgiumLiechtenstein
70
W
15/11/2025
KazakhstanBelgium
11
D
13/10/2025
WalesBelgium
24
W
10/10/2025
BelgiumFYR Macedonia
00
D
07/09/2025
BelgiumKazakhstan
60
W
04/09/2025
LiechtensteinBelgium
06
W
09/06/2025
BelgiumWales
43
W
06/06/2025
FYR MacedoniaBelgium
11
D
EgyptEgypt
6W1D3L
07/06/2026
BrazilEgypt
21
L
28/05/2026
EgyptRussia
10
W
17/01/2026
EgyptNigeria
2040
L
14/01/2026
SenegalEgypt
10
L
10/01/2026
EgyptIvory Coast
32
W
05/01/2026
EgyptBenin
3111
W
29/12/2025
AngolaEgypt
00
D
26/12/2025
EgyptSouth Africa
10
W
22/12/2025
EgyptZimbabwe
21
W
12/10/2025
EgyptGuinea-Bissau
10
W

Referee Profile

Ramon Abatti Abel244 matches

4.76Cards per match
4.51Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
29.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ramon Abatti Abel4.76
Other referees5.11

4.76 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.11).

Cards come from 181 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BelgiumBelgium31206:2+45WDD
2EgyptEgypt31205:3+25DWD
3IranIran30303:303DDD
4New ZealandNew Zealand30124:10-61LLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BelgiumBelgium36:25
2EgyptEgypt35:35
3IranIran33:33
4New ZealandNew Zealand34:101

About the Belgium vs Egypt forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Belgium and Egypt in the World Cup table

In the World Cup table, Belgium (1st) and Egypt (2nd) are level on 5 points. League goal record so far: Belgium 6-2, Egypt 5-3. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Belgium have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Egypt have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Belgium and Egypt have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.