Brighton vs Leeds Prediction

Brighton
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Leeds
American Express Stadium, Falmer· Stuart Attwell, England 05/09/2026
BrightonBrighton
1-1
Finished
LeedsLeeds

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.70
SignalGOODModel41%RiskHighGap+10.9%
Brighton Rest
6 days
Leeds Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%2.00
X
22%3.50
2
30%3.85
Double Chance
1X
70%1.25
X2
52%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.70
No
35%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.38 = 3.02
Over 1.5
82%1.27
Over 2.5
59%1.89
Over 3.5
36%3.10
Under 1.5
18%3.60
Under 2.5
41%1.93
Under 3.5
64%1.34
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'Jayden BogleFoul
15'J. BogleAssist: A. Tanaka
38'Pascal GroßFoul
49'Maxim De CuyperFoul
61'J. Bogle INJ. Bijol out
62'N. Okafor INB. Aaronson out
64'Dominic Calvert-LewinFoul
71'L. VuskovicAssist: M. De Cuyper
73'A. Tanaka INH. Wilson out
74'D. Calvert-Lewin INL. Nmecha out
77'M. De Cuyper INP. David out
78'F. Kadioglu INCostinha out
85'Harry WilsonFoul
88'Promise DavidFoul
90+3'O. Boscagli INP. Struijk out

Lineups

Brighton
4-2-3-1Coach: Fabian Hurzeler
Leeds
3-5-2Coach: Daniel Farke
B. Verbruggen1B. VerbruggenB. Verbruggen
F. Kadioglu24F. KadiogluF. Kadioglu
L. Vuskovic44L. VuskovicL. Vuskovic
L. Dunk5L. DunkL. Dunk
O. Boscagli21O. BoscagliO. Boscagli
P. Gross13P. GrossP. Gross
Y. Ayari26Y. AyariY. Ayari
D. Gomez25D. GomezD. Gomez
M. Yalcouye35M. YalcouyeM. Yalcouye
M. De Cuyper29M. De CuyperM. De Cuyper
C. Kostoulas19C. KostoulasC. Kostoulas
J. Trafford1J. TraffordJ. Trafford
J. Justin24J. JustinJ. Justin
N. Elvedi30N. ElvediN. Elvedi
T. Muharemovic5T. MuharemovicT. Muharemovic
J. Bogle2J. BogleJ. Bogle
A. Stach18A. StachA. Stach
E. Ampadu4E. AmpaduE. Ampadu
A. Tanaka22A. TanakaA. Tanaka
G. Gudmundsson3G. GudmundssonG. Gudmundsson
D. Calvert-Lewin9D. Calvert-LewinD. Calvert-Lewin
N. Okafor19N. OkaforN. Okafor

Brighton Substitutes

23J. SteeleG
20CostinhaD
3J. HadjamD
4P. StruijkD
33M. O'RileyM
14C. AndresM
12P. DavidF
49N. OriolaF
15I. OsmanF

Leeds Substitutes

16M. ZettererG
15J. BijolD
26M. BardD
7D. JamesF
10H. WilsonF
23J. BahoyaF
8S. LongstaffM
11B. AaronsonM
14L. NmechaF

Match Stats

BrightonLeeds
67%Ball Possession33%
7Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards3
20Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box10
9Shots Outside Box0
7Blocked Shots1
13Fouls16
4Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves4
522Total Passes252
437Passes Accurate171
84%Pass Accuracy68%

Team Comparison

BrightonBrighton
LeedsLeeds
1867Elo Rating 1882
3.39Attack 2.41
1.99Defense 0.99
58%Hit Rate 41%
19.5Shots per Game 13.9
6.2Shots on Target 5.0
5.6Corners per Game 4.8
1.6Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
📈BTTS Trend34% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BrightonBrighton
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 1.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
LeedsLeeds
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Brighton 39%Draw 34%27% Leeds
2.18Avg Goals
34%BTTS Rate
42%Over 2.5

Recent Form

LeedsLeeds
4W1D0L
30/08/2026
LeedsBrentford
11
D
25/08/2026
Nottingham ForestLeeds
02
W
22/08/2026
Nottingham ForestLeeds
01
W
15/08/2026
LeedsFC Augsburg
40
W
12/08/2026
LeedsManchester United
5141
W

Referee Profile

Stuart Attwell, England · 26 matches analysed

4.6Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
22.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 85% of referees analysed

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArsenalArsenal44008:1+712WWWW
2Manchester CityManchester City44008:2+612WWWW
3LeedsLeeds42207:3+48WDDW
4Hull CityHull City42205:2+38DDWW
5BrightonBrighton421113:5+87WDLW
6ChelseaChelsea421110:9+17DLWW
7BrentfordBrentford41307:4+36DDDW
8LiverpoolLiverpool41306:4+26DWDD
9EvertonEverton41305:3+26DDDW
10IpswichIpswich42027:10-36WLLW
11Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest41214:405WDDL
12NewcastleNewcastle41217:8-15LDWD
13Manchester UnitedManchester United41127:704LDWL
14SunderlandSunderland41123:5-24LDWL
15BournemouthBournemouth40316:7-13DDDL
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace41036:11-53LWLL
17TottenhamTottenham40220:5-52DDLL
18FulhamFulham40134:7-31DLLL
19Aston VillaAston Villa40131:7-61LDLL
20CoventryCoventry40040:10-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ArsenalArsenal48:112
2Manchester CityManchester City48:212
3LeedsLeeds47:38
4Hull CityHull City45:28
5BrightonBrighton413:57
6ChelseaChelsea410:97
7BrentfordBrentford47:46
8LiverpoolLiverpool46:46
9EvertonEverton45:36
10IpswichIpswich47:106
11Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest44:45
12NewcastleNewcastle47:85
13Manchester UnitedManchester United47:74
14SunderlandSunderland43:54
15BournemouthBournemouth46:73
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace46:113
17TottenhamTottenham40:52
18FulhamFulham44:71
19Aston VillaAston Villa41:71
20CoventryCoventry40:100
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Brighton vs Leeds Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premier League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premier League

ScorePredicts covers England football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Brighton have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Leeds have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Brighton and Leeds have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.18 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.