Leeds vs Brentford Prediction
England · Regular Season - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Leeds vs Brentford: the result in context
Leeds and Brentford drew 1-1 in the Premier League on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Leeds
Avg ratingAvg rating
1J. Trafford
6J. Rodon
15J. Bijol
5T. Muharemović
2J. Bogle
C4E. Ampadu
18A. Stach
24J. Justin
11B. Aaronson
19N. Okafor
9D. Calvert-Lewin
1C. Kelleher
33M. Kayode
20K. Ajer
C22N. Collins
23K. Lewis-Potter
18M. Sangare
27V. Janelt
19J. Anthony
24M. Damsgaard
7K. Schade
9I. ThiagoLeeds Substitutes
Brentford Substitutes
Match Stats
LeedsBrentford Team Comparison
LeedsBrentfordAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Leeds- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Brentford- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Leeds1Wins · 17%1Wins · 17%Previous meetings
21/03/2026LeedsBrentford14/12/2025BrentfordLeeds22/01/2023LeedsBrentford03/09/2022BrentfordLeeds22/05/2022BrentfordLeeds05/12/2021LeedsBrentfordRecent Form
Leeds
Nottingham ForestLeedsNottingham ForestLeedsLeeds
FC AugsburgLeeds
Manchester UnitedLeeds
RB Leipzig
LiverpoolLeeds
SunderlandLeeds
WrexhamLeeds
West HamLeedsLeeds
BrightonBrentford
BirminghamBrentfordBrentford
TottenhamBrentford
Eintracht Frankfurt
RennesBrentfordLiverpoolBrentfordBrentford
Crystal Palace
Manchester CityBrentfordBrentfordWest HamManchester UnitedBrentfordBrentford
FulhamReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.55 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.74).
Cards come from 141 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24:7 | +17 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:15 | +4 | 16 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 15 | WWLWD |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | +7 | 14 | WDLDW |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | +1 | 12 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 | WWWDL |
| 9 |  Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:10 | +1 | 11 | DDLDL |
| 10 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 11 | LDDLD |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 | WLLWL |
| 12 |  Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 | WWDWL |
| 13 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 14 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 15 |  Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 9 | WLLWW |
| 16 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | LLDDD |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 7 | LLLWD |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 | LDLLL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 5 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 9 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 13:5 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 8 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 9 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 8 | Tottenham | 9 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Hull City | 9 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 10 | Leeds | 9 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 8 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 12 | Aston Villa | 8 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 9 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 14 | Everton | 8 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 15 | Coventry | 9 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 16 | Fulham | 8 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 7:17 | 5 |
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About the Leeds vs Brentford forecast
The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Leeds and Brentford in the Premier League table
In the Premier League table, Brentford are 6th and Leeds 10th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Leeds 9-8, Brentford 16-9. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.