Leeds vs Brentford Prediction

Leeds
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Brentford
Elland Road, Leeds· Tony Harrington, England 30/08/2026
LeedsLeeds
1-1
Finished
BrentfordBrentford

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.90
SignalGOODModel38%RiskHighGap+8.8%
Leeds Rest
4 days
Brentford Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.60
X
27%3.40
2
28%2.75
Double Chance
1X
72%1.44
X2
56%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
80%1.67
No
20%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.85 + 1.42 = 3.27
Over 1.5
82%1.28
Over 2.5
58%1.90
Over 3.5
35%3.17
Under 1.5
18%3.60
Under 2.5
42%1.93
Under 3.5
65%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

30'J. AnthonyHolding
34'J. Rodon INN. Elvedi out
41'K. SchadeAssist: K. Lewis-Potter
46'J. Bijol INA. Tanaka out
46'B. Aaronson INH. Wilson out
61'J. Anthony IND. Ouattara out
68'J. Bogle IND. James out
69'N. Okafor INL. Nmecha out
69'M. Damsgaard INY. Yarmolyuk out
74'K. AjerTripping
76'V. JaneltUnsportsmanlike conduct
79'D. Calvert-LewinAssist: L. Nmecha
88'K. Lewis-Potter INR. Henry out
88'M. Kayode INC. Wilson out
88'K. Schade INA. Hickey out
90+3'N. CollinsTripping

Lineups

Leeds
3-4-2-1Coach: Daniel Farke
Brentford
4-2-3-1Coach: Keith Andrews
James Trafford1J. TraffordJames Trafford
Joe Rodon6J. RodonJoe Rodon
Jaka Bijol15J. BijolJaka Bijol
Tarik Muharemović5T. MuharemovićTarik Muharemović
Jayden Bogle2J. BogleJayden Bogle
Ethan Ampadu4E. AmpaduEthan Ampadu
Anton Stach18A. StachAnton Stach
James Justin24J. JustinJames Justin
Brenden Aaronson11B. AaronsonBrenden Aaronson
Noah Okafor19N. OkaforNoah Okafor
Dominic Calvert-Lewin9D. Calvert-LewinDominic Calvert-Lewin
Caoimhin Kelleher1C. KelleherCaoimhin Kelleher
Michael Kayode33M. KayodeMichael Kayode
Kristoffer Ajer20K. AjerKristoffer Ajer
Nathan Collins22N. CollinsNathan Collins
Keane Lewis-Potter23K. Lewis-PotterKeane Lewis-Potter
Mamadou Sangare18M. SangareMamadou Sangare
Vitaly Janelt27V. JaneltVitaly Janelt
Jaidon Anthony19J. AnthonyJaidon Anthony
Mikkel Damsgaard24M. DamsgaardMikkel Damsgaard
Kevin Schade7K. SchadeKevin Schade
Igor Thiago9I. ThiagoIgor Thiago

Leeds Substitutes

30Nico ElvediD
10Harry WilsonF
22Ao TanakaM
7Daniel JamesF
14Lukas NmechaF
21Alex CairnsG
3Gabriel GudmundssonD
8Sean LongstaffM
29Wilfried GnontoF

Brentford Substitutes

11Dango OuattaraF
6Yehor YarmoliukM
12Hákon Rafn ValdimarssonG
2Aaron HickeyD
3Rico HenryD
44Jannik SchusterD
25El Hadji Malick DioufD
13Callum WilsonF
14Fabio CarvalhoM

Match Stats

LeedsBrentford
47%Ball Possession53%
5Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots22
2Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box18
6Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots11
5Fouls13
2Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
365Total Passes417
279Passes Accurate327
76%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

LeedsLeeds
BrentfordBrentford
1882Elo Rating 1856
2.41Attack 2.38
0.99Defense 1.87
41%Hit Rate 31%
13.9Shots per Game 15.1
5.0Shots on Target 4.3
4.8Corners per Game 4.1
1.3Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.26 goals
📈BTTS Trend54% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LeedsLeeds
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BrentfordBrentford
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Leeds 14%Draw 69%17% Brentford
2.04Avg Goals
54%BTTS Rate
31%Over 2.5

Recent Form

LeedsLeeds
5W0D0L
25/08/2026
Nottingham ForestLeeds
02
W
22/08/2026
Nottingham ForestLeeds
01
W
15/08/2026
LeedsFC Augsburg
40
W
12/08/2026
LeedsManchester United
5141
W
08/08/2026
LeedsRB Leipzig
20
W
BrentfordBrentford
4W1D0L
25/08/2026
BirminghamBrentford
16
W
22/08/2026
BrentfordTottenham
30
W
15/08/2026
BrentfordEintracht Frankfurt
70
W
08/08/2026
RennesBrentford
24
W
24/05/2026
LiverpoolBrentford
11
D

Referee Profile

Tony Harrington, England · 12 matches analysed

3.5Avg Yellows
3.7Avg Cards
22.2Avg Fouls
Stricter than 9% of referees analysed

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArsenalArsenal44008:1+712WWWW
2Manchester CityManchester City44008:2+612WWWW
3LeedsLeeds42207:3+48WDDW
4Hull CityHull City42205:2+38DDWW
5BrightonBrighton421113:5+87WDLW
6ChelseaChelsea421110:9+17DLWW
7BrentfordBrentford41307:4+36DDDW
8LiverpoolLiverpool41306:4+26DWDD
9EvertonEverton41305:3+26DDDW
10IpswichIpswich42027:10-36WLLW
11Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest41214:405WDDL
12NewcastleNewcastle41217:8-15LDWD
13Manchester UnitedManchester United41127:704LDWL
14SunderlandSunderland41123:5-24LDWL
15BournemouthBournemouth40316:7-13DDDL
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace41036:11-53LWLL
17TottenhamTottenham40220:5-52DDLL
18FulhamFulham40134:7-31DLLL
19Aston VillaAston Villa40131:7-61LDLL
20CoventryCoventry40040:10-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ArsenalArsenal48:112
2Manchester CityManchester City48:212
3LeedsLeeds47:38
4Hull CityHull City45:28
5BrightonBrighton413:57
6ChelseaChelsea410:97
7BrentfordBrentford47:46
8LiverpoolLiverpool46:46
9EvertonEverton45:36
10IpswichIpswich47:106
11Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest44:45
12NewcastleNewcastle47:85
13Manchester UnitedManchester United47:74
14SunderlandSunderland43:54
15BournemouthBournemouth46:73
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace46:113
17TottenhamTottenham40:52
18FulhamFulham44:71
19Aston VillaAston Villa41:71
20CoventryCoventry40:100
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Leeds vs Brentford Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premier League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premier League

ScorePredicts covers England football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Leeds have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Brentford have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Leeds and Brentford have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.04 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.