Mexico vs South Korea Prediction

Mexico
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
South Korea
Estadio Akron, Guadalajara· Gustavo Tejera, Uruguay 19/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.39
SignalSOLIDModel16%RiskHighGap+5.4%
Mexico Rest
7 days
South Korea Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.09
X
26%3.25
2
33%3.90
Double Chance
1X
68%1.25
X2
59%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.92
No
47%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.25 = 2.57
Over 1.5
72%1.39
Over 2.5
45%2.25
Over 3.5
24%4.10
Under 1.5
28%2.92
Under 2.5
55%1.66
Under 3.5
76%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 5.2 = 10
Over 8.5
53%1.87
Over 9.5
47%2.40
Over 10.5
34%3.20
Under 8.5
47%1.87
Under 9.5
53%1.50
Under 10.5
66%1.28
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
59%2.10
Over 4.5
36%3.20
Under 3.5
41%1.69
Under 4.5
64%1.32

Match Events

4'Lee Kang-InFoul
50'L. Romo
57'Lee Jae-Sung INHwang Hee-Chan out
57'Son Heung-Min INOh Hyeon-Gyu out
58'Paik Seung-HoFoul
71'B. Gutierrez INO. Pineda out
71'L. Romo INO. Vargas out
71'Seol Young-Woo INYang Hyun-Jun out
71'Kim Moon-Hwan INEom Ji-Sung out
77'Paik Seung-Ho INCho Gue-Sung out
80'R. Jimenez INS. Gimenez out
80'R. Alvarado INI. Reyes out
84'J. Quinones INC. S. Huerta Valera out

Lineups

Mexico
4-3-3Coach: Javier Aguirre
South Korea
3-4-2-1Coach: Myung-Bo Hong
Raúl Rangel1R. RangelRaúl Rangel
Jorge Sánchez2J. SánchezJorge Sánchez
Edson Álvarez4E. ÁlvarezEdson Álvarez
Johan Vásquez5J. VásquezJohan Vásquez
Jesús Gallardo23J. GallardoJesús Gallardo
Brian Gutiérrez26B. GutiérrezBrian Gutiérrez
Erik Lira6E. LiraErik Lira
Luis Romo7L. RomoLuis Romo
Roberto Alvarado25R. AlvaradoRoberto Alvarado
Raúl Jiménez9R. JiménezRaúl Jiménez
Julián Quiñones16J. QuiñonesJulián Quiñones
Kim Seung-gyu1K. Seung-gyuKim Seung-gyu
Han-Beom Lee2H. LeeHan-Beom Lee
Kim Min-jae4K. Min-jaeKim Min-jae
Gi-Hyuk Lee3G. LeeGi-Hyuk Lee
Kim Moon-hwan15K. Moon-hwanKim Moon-hwan
Hwang In-beom6H. In-beomHwang In-beom
Seung Ho Paik8S. Ho PaikSeung Ho Paik
Young-woo Seol22Y. SeolYoung-woo Seol
Kang-in Lee19K. LeeKang-in Lee
Jae-sung Lee10J. LeeJae-sung Lee
Son Heung-min7S. Heung-minSon Heung-min

Mexico Substitutes

17Orbelín PinedaM
18Obed VargasM
15Israel ReyesD
11Santiago GiménezF
21César HuertaM
12Carlos AcevedoG
13Guillermo OchoaG
20Mateo ChávezD
8Álvaro FidalgoM
19Gilberto MoraM
24Luis ChávezM
10Alexis VegaF
14Armando GonzálezF
22Guillermo MartínezF

South Korea Substitutes

11Hwang Hee-chanF
18Hyeon-gyu OhF
25Ji-sung EomF
20Yang Hyun-JunF
9Gue-sung ChoF
12Song Bum-keunG
21Jo HyeonwooG
5Kim Tae-hyeonD
14Wi-je ChoD
13Lee Tae-seokD
16Jin-seob ParkM
23Jens CastropM
17Jun-Ho BaeM
24Jin-gyu KimM
26Dong-gyeong LeeM

Match Stats

MexicoSouth Korea
42%Ball Possession58%
0Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards2
8Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal4
5Shots Inside Box6
3Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots3
9Fouls7
3Offsides6
2Goalkeeper Saves3
429Total Passes579
350Passes Accurate486
82%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

MexicoMexico
South KoreaSouth Korea
1779Elo Rating 1716
2.03Attack 1.33
2.19Defense 2.31
73%Hit Rate 50%
12.5Shots per Game 12.9
4.0Shots on Target 4.7
1.8Corners per Game 6.4
0.7Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

MexicoMexico
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
South KoreaSouth Korea
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 1 historical meeting

Mexico 100%Draw 0%0% South Korea
3Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

MexicoMexico
5W0D0L
11/06/2026
MexicoSouth Africa
20
W
05/06/2026
MexicoSerbia
51
W
31/05/2026
MexicoAustralia
10
W
23/05/2026
MexicoGhana
20
W
07/07/2025
USAMexico
12
W
South KoreaSouth Korea
5W0D0L
12/06/2026
South KoreaCzechia
21
W
04/06/2026
South KoreaEl Salvador
10
W
31/05/2026
South KoreaTrinidad and Tobago
50
W
10/06/2025
South KoreaKuwait
40
W
05/06/2025
IraqSouth Korea
02
W

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MexicoMexico33006:0+69WWW
2South AfricaSouth Africa31112:3-14WDL
3South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
4CzechiaCzechia30122:6-41LDL
#TeamMPGPts
1MexicoMexico36:09
2South AfricaSouth Africa32:34
3South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
4CzechiaCzechia32:61

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

Mexico vs South Korea Prediction

As a knockout-stage World Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About World Cup

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Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Mexico and South Korea have met 1 times recently, averaging 3 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.