Cardiff vs Watford Prediction
England · Regular Season - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Cardiff vs Watford: the result in context
Cardiff beat Watford 5-1 in the Championship on 13 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Cardiff
Avg ratingAvg rating
1N. Trott
38P. Ng
48D. Lawlor
4G. Osho
3J. Bagan
18A. Robertson
45C. Ashford
11O. Tanner
27J. Colwill
16C. Willock
8J. Moylan
1F. Ravaglia
23O. Traoré
6M. Pollock
4K. Keben
33J. Zemura
39E. Kayembe
5H. Kyprianou
7O. Maamma
22M. Payero
45S. Mavididi
10M. BoaduCardiff Substitutes
Watford Substitutes
Match Stats
CardiffWatford Team Comparison
CardiffWatfordAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Cardiff- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
Watford- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Cardiff4Wins · 50%2Wins · 25%Previous meetings
14/01/2025CardiffWatford29/12/2024WatfordCardiff03/02/2024WatfordCardiff07/10/2023CardiffWatford19/04/2023WatfordCardiff02/11/2022CardiffWatford13/03/2021CardiffWatford05/12/2020WatfordCardiffRecent Form
Cardiff
BlackburnCardiffCardiff
Charlton
BoltonCardiffCardiff
Stoke City
PortsmouthCardiff
QPRCardiffCardiff
Sheffield UtdCardiff
Norwich
DerbyCardiffCardiff
WrexhamWatfordWatford
Burnley
Bristol CityWatfordWatfordStoke CityWatford
Preston
West BromWatford
SwanseaWatfordWatford
West HamWatford
PeterboroughWrexhamWatfordWatford
SouthamptonReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.68 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.80).
Cards come from 197 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27:17 | +10 | 25 | WDWWD |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 23 | LLWWW |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 32:15 | +17 | 22 | LWWDD |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:16 | +4 | 21 | WDWLL |
| 5 | West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 21 | DWWLL |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:12 | +12 | 20 | WDWWL |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | LWWWD |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | WLWDD |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:16 | +2 | 20 | DWLWW |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 18 | WLWWD |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 18 | WDWWL |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 16 | DWLWL |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 15 | LDLWD |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 15 | DLLDW |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 15 | WDLLL |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19:17 | +2 | 14 | WDWLW |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 14 | LWLDW |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:23 | -7 | 14 | LDWLW |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:18 | -7 | 14 | LLDDL |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 12 | WLLLL |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 | LWLLL |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17:25 | -8 | 8 | LLDWD |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 7 | DLLDD |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:25 | -15 | 5 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 | Wolves | 12 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 | West Brom | 12 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 10:25 | 5 |
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This match
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About the Cardiff vs Watford forecast
The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Cardiff and Watford in the Championship table
In the Championship table, Cardiff are 16th and Watford 21st, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Cardiff 19-17, Watford 10-20. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Cardiff have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.