Watford vs Burnley Prediction
England · Regular Season - 9
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Watford vs Burnley: the result in context
Burnley beat Watford 4-0 in the Championship on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Watford
Avg ratingAvg rating
1F. Ravaglia
23O. Traoré
6M. Pollock
29B. Mlačić
3S. Coulibaly
39E. Kayembe
5H. Kyprianou
20M. Doumbia
17I. Bravo
21A. Nabizada
9L. Kjerrumgaard
37G. Coudert
2K. Walker
15A. Ahmedhodžić
44Igor
23L. Pires
29J. Laurent
3M. Alleyne
7J. Bruun Larsen
5R. Hatate
19L. Ramazani
11Z. AmdouniWatford Substitutes
Burnley Substitutes
Match Stats
WatfordBurnley Team Comparison
WatfordBurnleyAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Watford- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Burnley- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Watford1Wins · 17%3Wins · 50%Previous meetings
18/04/2025WatfordBurnley21/12/2024BurnleyWatford14/02/2023BurnleyWatford12/08/2022WatfordBurnley
30/04/2022WatfordBurnley05/02/2022BurnleyWatfordRecent Form
Watford
Bristol CityWatfordWatford
Stoke CityWatford
Preston
West BromWatford
SwanseaWatfordWatford
West HamWatford
Peterborough
WrexhamWatfordWatford
SouthamptonWatford
Crawley TownBurnleyBurnley
DerbySwanseaBurnleyWrexhamBurnleyBurnleyBristol CityBurnley
Middlesbrough
NorwichBurnley
BradfordBurnleyWest BromBurnleyBurnleyWest HamBurnley
Notts CountyLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27:17 | +10 | 25 | WDWWD |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 23 | LLWWW |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 32:15 | +17 | 22 | LWWDD |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:16 | +4 | 21 | WDWLL |
| 5 | West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 21 | DWWLL |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:12 | +12 | 20 | WDWWL |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | LWWWD |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | WLWDD |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:16 | +2 | 20 | DWLWW |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 18 | WLWWD |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 18 | WDWWL |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 16 | DWLWL |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 15 | LDLWD |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 15 | DLLDW |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 15 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19:17 | +2 | 14 | WDWLW |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 14 | LWLDW |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:23 | -7 | 14 | LDWLW |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:18 | -7 | 14 | LLDDL |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 12 | WLLLL |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 | LWLLL |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17:25 | -8 | 8 | LLDWD |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 7 | DLLDD |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:25 | -15 | 5 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 | Wolves | 12 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 | West Brom | 12 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 10:25 | 5 |
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This match
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About the Watford vs Burnley forecast
The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Watford and Burnley in the Championship table
Watford and Burnley are close in the Championship table, 21st and 22nd, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Watford 10-20, Burnley 17-25. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Burnley have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.