Millwall vs Swansea Prediction

Millwall
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Swansea
The Den, London·Edward Duckworth 13/10/2026
MillwallMillwall
0-1
Finished
SwanseaSwansea

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.39
SignalSOLIDModel39%SurpriseHighGap-2.4%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+4.3%
Millwall Rest
3 days
Swansea Rest
3 days

Millwall vs Swansea: result, form and history

Swansea beat Millwall 1-0 in the Championship on 13 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Swansea had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Millwall.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.9 goals a game across 10 matches. Millwall tend to win more corners, 7.7 a game to 4.4 for Swansea.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.40
X
29%3.31
2
31%2.88
Double Chance
1X
69%1.39
X2
60%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.77
No
45%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.12 = 2.58
Over 1.5
72%1.33
Over 2.5
48%2.01
Over 3.5
27%3.50
Under 1.5
28%3.25
Under 2.5
52%1.76
Under 3.5
73%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 5 = 10.1
Over 8.5
67%1.35
Over 9.5
55%1.63
Over 10.5
45%2.02
Under 8.5
33%2.83
Under 9.5
45%2.13
Under 10.5
55%1.71
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%1.57
Over 4.5
38%2.20
Under 3.5
42%2.33
Under 4.5
62%1.63

Match Events

15'Jay FultonFoul
23'Derek Mazou SackoFoul
23'Vitor MatosDissent
44'Lyndon DykesFoul
51'Zak SturgeFoul
64'Jordi Osei-Tutu INTristan Crama out
64'Jenson Metcalfe INLuke Cundle out
65'Kyrell Lisbie INYanis Ali Issoufou out
65'Zan Vipotnik INRoss Stewart out
65'Elijah Just INmelker widell out
65'Jay Fulton INGoncalo Franco out
77'Jenson Seelt INStephen Welsh out
83'Filip LissahFoul
84'Mark Sykes INAlfie Doughty out
84'Moussa Kounfolo Yeo INRonald Pereira Martins out
90'Ronald Pereira MartinsAssist: Joseph Amankwaah Opoku
90+2'Camiel Neghli IND. Kelly out

Lineups

Millwall
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Neil
Swansea
4-3-3Coach: Vítor Matos
Avg rating6.32
Avg rating6.89
F. Marschall6.234F. Marschall
J. Osei-Tutu6.72J. Osei-Tutu
C. Taylor7.06C. Taylor
J. Cooper6.25J. Cooper
Zak Norton Sturge5.33Z. Norton Sturge
D. Mazou-Sacko5.849D. Mazou-Sacko
Jenson Metcalfe7.014J. Metcalfe
M. Sykes6.417M. Sykes
C. Neghli6.310C. Neghli
K. Lisbie6.522K. Lisbie
L. Dykes5.913L. Dykes
L. Vigouroux6.622L. Vigouroux
F. Lissah6.926F. Lissah
B. Cabango7.55B. Cabango
J. Seelt7.33J. Seelt
J. Tymon7.214J. Tymon
E. Just6.58E. Just
J. Fulton6.54J. Fulton
M. Stamenić7.06M. Stamenić
M. Yeo6.749M. Yeo
Z. Vipotnik6.39Z. Vipotnik
Joseph Okopu7.130J. Okopu

Millwall Substitutes

25L. Cundle64'for Jenson Metcalfe6.4
45A. Doughty84'for Mark Sykes6.6
16D. Kelly90+2'for Camiel Neghli
35Y. Issoufou65'for Kyrell Lisbie6.1
12E. Baggott
18R. Leonard
4T. Crama64'for Jordi Osei-Tutu6.5
15M. Crocombe
29Z. Lovelace

Swansea Substitutes

1A. Fisher
33A. Idah
16Tom Iorpenda
35Ronald84'for Moussa Kounfolo Yeo90'7.7
31R. Stewart65'for Zan Vipotnik6.3
23S. Welsh77'for Jenson Seelt7.1
7M. Widell65'for Elijah Just6.9
10Eom Ji-Sung
17Gonçalo Franco65'for Jay Fulton6.8

Match Stats

MillwallSwansea
50%Ball Possession50%
13Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards2
8Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal2
2Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box9
2Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots7
10Fouls11
3Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves3
326Total Passes349
228Passes Accurate269
70%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

MillwallMillwall
SwanseaSwansea
1654Elo Rating 1673
1.18Attack 0.81
1.53Defense 1.12
17%Hit Rate 50%
12.9Shots per Game 10.5
3.9Shots on Target 3.1
7.7Corners per Game 4.4
2.8Cards per Game 1.5

Game State Tendencies

MillwallMillwall
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
SwanseaSwansea
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MillwallMillwall5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
SwanseaSwansea2Wins · 20%
1.9Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Championship04/01/2026
MillwallSwansea
21
Championship27/09/2025
SwanseaMillwall
11
Championship26/04/2025
MillwallSwansea
10
Championship26/10/2024
SwanseaMillwall
01
Championship04/05/2024
SwanseaMillwall
01
Championship30/09/2023
MillwallSwansea
03
Championship14/03/2023
MillwallSwansea
21
Championship16/08/2022
SwanseaMillwall
22
Championship05/04/2022
MillwallSwansea
01
Championship15/09/2021
SwanseaMillwall
00

Recent Form

MillwallMillwall
4W2D4L
10/10/2026
PrestonMillwall
01
W
19/09/2026
MillwallWest Ham
22
D
15/09/2026
MiddlesbroughMillwall
22
D
12/09/2026
BlackburnMillwall
31
L
08/09/2026
MillwallNewcastle
01
L
05/09/2026
MillwallBolton
40
W
02/09/2026
MillwallWrexham
03
L
29/08/2026
SouthamptonMillwall
51
L
25/08/2026
Cambridge UnitedMillwall
01
W
22/08/2026
MillwallNorwich
30
W
SwanseaSwansea
6W2D2L
10/10/2026
SwanseaNorwich
21
W
19/09/2026
LincolnSwansea
12
W
12/09/2026
SwanseaBurnley
31
W
08/09/2026
SouthamptonSwansea
31
L
05/09/2026
SwanseaWrexham
00
D
01/09/2026
SwanseaWatford
20
W
29/08/2026
DerbySwansea
03
W
22/08/2026
SwanseaSheffield Utd
00
D
15/08/2026
Stoke CitySwansea
12
W
08/08/2026
SwanseaBirmingham
01
L

Referee Profile

Edward Duckworth145 matches

4.40Cards per match
4.22Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Edward Duckworth4.40
Other referees4.00

4.40 cards a match, 0.40 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.00).

Cards come from 95 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
3West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
4WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
5West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220:12+820LWWWD
8QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418:16+220DWLWW
10BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
15LincolnLincoln1243513:20-715WDLLL
16CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
17WrexhamWrexham1235415:18-314LWLDW
18BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
19CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
20NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
21WatfordWatford1232710:20-1011LWLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston1212910:25-155DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
3West HamWest Ham1232:1522
4WolvesWolves1220:1621
5West BromWest Brom1216:1321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
7BirminghamBirmingham1220:1220
8QPRQPR1220:1220
9Stoke CityStoke City1218:1620
10BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
15LincolnLincoln1213:2015
16CardiffCardiff1219:1714
17WrexhamWrexham1215:1814
18BoltonBolton1216:2314
19CharltonCharlton1211:1814
20NorwichNorwich1220:2212
21WatfordWatford1210:2011
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1210:255
PromotionRelegation

About the Millwall vs Swansea forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Millwall and Swansea in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Swansea are 2nd and Millwall 13th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Millwall 19-20, Swansea 16-13. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.