Celtic vs Dundee Prediction

Celtic
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Dundee
Celtic Park, Glasgow·M. MacDermid 03/08/2026
CelticCeltic
1-0
Finished
DundeeDundee

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Over 1.5
1.96
SignalNEUTRALModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+9.0%
Celtic Rest
9 days
Dundee Rest
9 days

Celtic vs Dundee: result, form and history

Celtic beat Dundee 1-0 in the Premiership on 3 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Dundee had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Celtic.

Celtic have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
81%1.18
X
15%7.40
2
4%12.50
Double Chance
1X
97%1.03
X2
19%4.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.81
No
45%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.36 + 0.89 = 3.25
Over 1.5
85%1.10
Over 2.5
66%1.33
Over 3.5
44%1.87
Under 1.5
15%7.00
Under 2.5
34%3.20
Under 3.5
56%1.91
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.4 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.24
Over 9.5
50%1.42
Over 10.5
39%1.70
Under 8.5
38%3.30
Under 9.5
50%2.53
Under 10.5
61%2.05
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.5
47%1.97
Over 4.5
31%2.69
Under 3.5
53%1.73
Under 4.5
69%1.36

Match Events

52'B. NygrenAssist: K. Tierney
60'C. Reilly INF. Robertson out
60'S. Murray INA. Hay out
78'C. Duran INJ. Forrest out
78'Yang Hyun-Jun INS. Tounekti out
80'J. Bevan INA. Forrest out
80'D. Wright INB. Halliday out
83'B. Nygren INL. McCowan out
83'K. Tierney INC. Donovan out
90'Ashley HayFoul
90+1'Arne EngelsFoul

Lineups

Celtic
4-2-3-1Coach: Martin O'Neill
Dundee
4-4-2Coach: Steven Pressley
Avg rating7.25
Avg rating6.58
V. Sinisalo7.91V. Sinisalo
A. Johnston7.02A. Johnston
C. Carter-Vickers8.320C. Carter-Vickers
A. Trusty7.36A. Trusty
K. Tierney8.263K. Tierney
C. McGregorC7.542C. McGregor
A. Engels6.727A. Engels
C. Duran6.911C. Duran
B. Nygren8.38B. Nygren
Yang Hyun-Jun7.313Y. Hyun-Jun
K. Hogh6.09K. Hogh
O. Goodman6.61O. Goodman
D. Wright6.07D. Wright
R. Astley6.94R. Astley
O. Bevan5O. Bevan
I. Odutayo6.33I. Odutayo
J. Bevan6.527J. Bevan
E. Hamilton6.248E. Hamilton
R. Finnigan7.58R. Finnigan
C. Reilly6.318C. Reilly
J. Westley6.319J. Westley
S. MurrayC6.515S. Murray

Celtic Substitutes

31R. Doohan
49J. Forrest78'for C. Duran6.9
17S. Tounekti78'for Yang Hyun-Jun6.3
21A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
41R. Hatate
14L. McCowan83'for B. Nygren6.9
47D. Murray
19C. Osmand
51C. Donovan83'for K. Tierney7.2

Dundee Substitutes

13K. O'Hara
17Z. Besir
14A. Forrest80'for J. Bevan6.3
2B. Halliday80'for D. Wright6.6
10F. Robertson60'for C. Reilly
11A. Hay60'for S. Murray
58E. Crombie
60R. Bland
52C. Oosenbrugh

Match Stats

CelticDundee
65%Ball Possession35%
9Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots3
9Fouls7
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
653Total Passes341
563Passes Accurate249
86%Pass Accuracy73%

Team Comparison

CelticCeltic
DundeeDundee
1739Elo Rating 1585
2.49Attack 2.04
1.11Defense 1.58
39%Hit Rate 58%
17.8Shots per Game 15.1
6.5Shots on Target 5.9
7.1Corners per Game 6.5
2.5Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+155 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.25 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

CelticCeltic
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
DundeeDundee
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CelticCeltic7Wins · 70%
Draws220%
DundeeDundee1Wins · 10%
3.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership05/04/2026
DundeeCeltic
12
FA Cup07/02/2026
CelticDundee
2111
Premiership03/12/2025
CelticDundee
10
Premiership19/10/2025
DundeeCeltic
20
Premiership05/02/2025
CelticDundee
60
Premiership14/01/2025
DundeeCeltic
33
Premiership30/10/2024
CelticDundee
20
Premiership28/04/2024
DundeeCeltic
12
Premiership28/02/2024
CelticDundee
71
Premiership26/12/2023
DundeeCeltic
03

Recent Form

CelticCeltic
6W3D1L
25/07/2026
CelticAC Milan
22
D
18/07/2026
CelticMiddlesbrough
11
D
14/07/2026
Sporting CPCeltic
41
L
07/07/2026
ShelbourneCeltic
11
D
23/05/2026
CelticDunfermline
31
W
16/05/2026
CelticHeart Of Midlothian
31
W
13/05/2026
MotherwellCeltic
23
W
10/05/2026
CelticRangers
31
W
03/05/2026
HibernianCeltic
12
W
25/04/2026
CelticFalkirk
31
W
DundeeDundee
5W1D4L
25/07/2026
DundeeClyde
40
W
21/07/2026
Ross CountyDundee
7161
L
18/07/2026
DundeeEverton
04
L
14/07/2026
Annan AthleticDundee
05
W
11/07/2026
DundeeAirdrie United
42
W
08/07/2026
BrechinDundee
11
D
02/07/2026
PaksDundee
12
W
27/06/2026
LivingstonDundee
20
L
17/05/2026
DundeeAberdeen
32
W
12/05/2026
KilmarnockDundee
31
L

Referee Profile

M. MacDermid42 matches

4.09Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. MacDermid4.09
Other referees4.27

4.09 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.27).

Cards come from 33 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1291227:10+1728LDWWW
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4FalkirkFalkirk1253415:12+318WWWWL
5DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1235415:19-414DDLDW
8ST MirrenST Mirren1242612:20-814LDWLL
9MotherwellMotherwell1233614:20-612WDLLL
10AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
11KilmarnockKilmarnock1223713:28-159DLLWL
12HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1227:1028
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4FalkirkFalkirk1215:1218
5DundeeDundee1117:1317
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1215:1914
8ST MirrenST Mirren1212:2014
9MotherwellMotherwell1214:2012
10AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
11KilmarnockKilmarnock1213:289
12HibernianHibernian1111:178
PromotionRelegation

About the Celtic vs Dundee forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Celtic and Dundee in the Premiership table

In the Premiership table, Celtic are 1st and Dundee 5th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Celtic 27-10, Dundee 17-13. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.