Dundee vs Aberdeen Prediction

Dundee
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Aberdeen
Dens Park, Dundee·C. Scott 08/08/2026
DundeeDundee
2-0
Finished
AberdeenAberdeen

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 9.5
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+8.9%
Dundee Rest
4 days
Aberdeen Rest
6 days

Dundee vs Aberdeen: the result in context

Dundee beat Aberdeen 2-0 in the Premiership on 8 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Aberdeen had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Dundee.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.2 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7. Referee C. Scott averages 3.58 cards a game, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%2.70
X
29%3.40
2
38%2.52
Double Chance
1X
62%1.49
X2
67%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.63
No
45%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.36 = 2.85
Over 1.5
82%1.25
Over 2.5
57%1.85
Over 3.5
32%3.10
Under 1.5
18%3.65
Under 2.5
43%1.94
Under 3.5
68%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 5.2 = 10.5
Over 8.5
72%1.43
Over 9.5
62%1.73
Over 10.5
51%2.15
Under 8.5
28%2.55
Under 9.5
38%1.98
Under 10.5
49%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 1.9 = 3.3
Over 3.5
37%1.59
Over 4.5
17%2.05
Under 3.5
63%2.19
Under 4.5
83%1.64

Match Events

9'J. WestleyAssist: J. Bevan
12'Alexander BriedlFoul
38'Lewis MayoFoul
44'Joe WestleyFoul
46'A. Aremu INL. Smith out
46'T. Yogane INA. Mouloua out
56'J. Bevan
65'C. Reilly INF. Robertson out
65'S. Murray INA. Hay out
65'L. Mayo INJ. Milne out
65'A. Briedl INF. Marshall out
77'J. Bevan INA. Forrest out
81'R. Finnigan INZ. Besir out
81'J. Westley INB. Halliday out
87'T. Olusanya INA. Fasanya out
90'Jack MilneFoul

Lineups

Dundee
4-2-3-1Coach: Steven Pressley
Aberdeen
4-2-3-1Coach: Stephen Robinson
Avg rating7.14
Avg rating6.61
O. Goodman7.91O. Goodman
D. Wright7.27D. Wright
R. Astley6.94R. Astley
O. Bevan5O. Bevan
I. Odutayo7.33I. Odutayo
R. Finnigan7.28R. Finnigan
E. Hamilton7.348E. Hamilton
J. Bevan8.227J. Bevan
J. Westley7.019J. Westley
C. Reilly7.018C. Reilly
S. MurrayC6.615S. Murray
M. Muller7.027M. Muller
C. Cadden6.028C. Cadden
L. Mayo6.523L. Mayo
D. Happe7.726D. Happe
N. Guinness-Walker7.524N. Guinness-Walker
S. Armstrong6.617S. Armstrong
A. Aremu6.332A. Aremu
T. Olusanya5.920T. Olusanya
A. Briedl5.910A. Briedl
T. Yogane6.27T. Yogane
K. NisbetC6.315K. Nisbet

Dundee Substitutes

13K. O'Hara
17Z. Besir81'for R. Finnigan6.9
14A. Forrest77'for J. Bevan6.7
2B. Halliday81'for J. Westley6.9
10F. Robertson65'for C. Reilly
11A. Hay65'for S. Murray
58E. Crombie
60R. Bland
52C. Oosenbrugh

Aberdeen Substitutes

1D. Mitov
2N. Devlin
11L. Smith46'for A. Aremu6.5
21G. Molloy
48C. Masson
9A. Mouloua46'for T. Yogane6.9
22J. Milne65'for L. Mayo90'6.9
40F. Marshall65'for A. Briedl
53A. Fasanya87'for T. Olusanya6.7

Match Stats

DundeeAberdeen
47%Ball Possession53%
5Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
18Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal4
15Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots2
9Fouls12
0Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves5
362Total Passes410
255Passes Accurate290
70%Pass Accuracy71%

Team Comparison

DundeeDundee
AberdeenAberdeen
1585Elo Rating 1539
2.04Attack 0.89
1.58Defense 1.61
58%Hit Rate 17%
15.1Shots per Game 18.1
5.9Shots on Target 4.9
6.5Corners per Game 6.7
1.2Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

DundeeDundee
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
AberdeenAberdeen
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

DundeeDundee3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
AberdeenAberdeen5Wins · 50%
3.2Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership17/05/2026
DundeeAberdeen
32
Premiership21/02/2026
AberdeenDundee
23
Premiership06/12/2025
DundeeAberdeen
13
Premiership05/10/2025
AberdeenDundee
40
Premiership15/02/2025
DundeeAberdeen
12
Premiership09/11/2024
AberdeenDundee
41
Premiership28/09/2024
DundeeAberdeen
12
Premiership13/04/2024
AberdeenDundee
00
Premiership13/03/2024
DundeeAberdeen
10
Premiership30/01/2024
AberdeenDundee
11

Recent Form

DundeeDundee
5W1D4L
03/08/2026
CelticDundee
10
L
25/07/2026
DundeeClyde
40
W
21/07/2026
Ross CountyDundee
7161
L
18/07/2026
DundeeEverton
04
L
14/07/2026
Annan AthleticDundee
05
W
11/07/2026
DundeeAirdrie United
42
W
08/07/2026
BrechinDundee
11
D
02/07/2026
PaksDundee
12
W
27/06/2026
LivingstonDundee
20
L
17/05/2026
DundeeAberdeen
32
W
AberdeenAberdeen
7W0D3L
01/08/2026
AberdeenHeart Of Midlothian
21
W
25/07/2026
AberdeenKelty Hearts
30
W
22/07/2026
Queen of the SouthAberdeen
14
W
18/07/2026
AberdeenQueen's Park
21
W
14/07/2026
Brora RangersAberdeen
02
W
11/07/2026
LinfieldAberdeen
02
W
04/07/2026
TwenteAberdeen
10
L
27/06/2026
Cove RangersAberdeen
01
W
17/05/2026
DundeeAberdeen
32
L
12/05/2026
AberdeenST Mirren
02
L

Referee Profile

C. Scott178 matches

3.58Cards per match
3.36Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
21.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

C. Scott3.58
Other referees4.08

3.58 cards a match, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.08).

Cards come from 33 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic13101228:10+1831WLDWW
2RangersRangers1283121:9+1227WDWDW
3FalkirkFalkirk1363420:14+621WWWWW
4Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1262426:22+420LDWLW
5DundeeDundee1252518:15+317LWLDW
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1245317:17017DDWDW
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1345417:20-317WDDLD
8ST MirrenST Mirren1342712:22-1014LLDWL
9MotherwellMotherwell1334615:21-613DWDLL
10HibernianHibernian1232715:17-211WDLLL
11AberdeenAberdeen1232712:18-611LLLWL
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1323813:29-169LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1328:1031
2RangersRangers1221:927
3FalkirkFalkirk1320:1421
4Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1226:2220
5DundeeDundee1218:1517
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1217:1717
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1317:2017
8ST MirrenST Mirren1312:2214
9MotherwellMotherwell1315:2113
10HibernianHibernian1215:1711
11AberdeenAberdeen1212:1811
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1313:299
PromotionRelegation

About the Dundee vs Aberdeen forecast

The forecasts for this Premiership match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dundee and Aberdeen in the Premiership table

In the Premiership table, Dundee are 5th and Aberdeen 11th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Dundee 18-15, Aberdeen 12-18. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.