Chaves vs Penafiel Prediction
Portugal · Regular Season - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Chaves vs Penafiel: result, form and history
Penafiel beat Chaves 3-2 in the Segunda Liga on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.9 goals a game across 8 matches.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Chaves
1J. Valido
23L. Alabá
34R. Alves
14N. Araújo
3A. Romero
42A. Tavares
19G. García
10A. Rodrigues
7R. Esajas
1M. Oliveira
14J. Meré
6A. Pica
3C. Silva
7D. Borel
17J. Pinto
21P. Sá
2I. Imbene
11J. Fuentes
9M. Svensson
33R. SchutteChaves Substitutes
Penafiel Substitutes
Match Stats
ChavesPenafiel Team Comparison
ChavesPenafielAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Chaves- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Penafiel- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Chaves3Wins · 38%4Wins · 50%Previous meetings
06/02/2026ChavesPenafiel30/08/2025PenafielChaves15/05/2025PenafielChaves04/01/2025ChavesPenafiel06/03/2022PenafielChaves10/10/2021ChavesPenafiel29/03/2021ChavesPenafiel09/11/2020PenafielChavesRecent Form
Chaves
Benfica BChavesChaves
VizelaChaves
Os Marialvas
Lusitânia LourosaChaves
FarenseChaves
GuardaChavesChaves
Feirense
Felgueiras 1932ChavesChaves
AVS
Sporting CP BChavesPenafielPenafielFeirenseFarensePenafielPenafiel
LeçaPenafielAVS
OliveirensePenafielFelgueiras 1932PenafielPenafiel
Academica
FC Porto BPenafielPenafielSporting CP B
TorreensePenafielReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.92 cards a match, 0.27 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.19).
Cards come from 38 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penafiel | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:10 | +12 | 22 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16:8 | +8 | 22 | DWWWL |
| 3 | Benfica B | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:8 | +6 | 20 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | +6 | 19 | LDDDW |
| 5 |  União de Leiria | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 17 | WWDLD |
| 6 | Academica | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:13 | +3 | 16 | DLWWL |
| 7 |  Tondela | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 16 | DWLWW |
| 8 | Farense | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | +3 | 15 | LDLWW |
| 9 | Vizela | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | 15 | DWLLD |
| 10 |  Portimonense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 14 | WDLWL |
| 11 | AVS | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | +1 | 13 | DLWWD |
| 12 |  Leixoes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 11 | DLLLD |
| 13 | Torreense | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 | LDWLD |
| 14 |  Amarante | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 | DWLLD |
| 15 | Felgueiras 1932 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 8 | DLDLL |
| 16 | FC Porto B | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 8 | LLDWD |
| 17 | Chaves | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 | LLWDL |
| 18 | Feirense | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 | WLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penafiel | 10 | 22:10 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 10 | 16:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Benfica B | 10 | 14:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 10 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 5 | União de Leiria | 10 | 16:13 | 17 |
| 6 | Academica | 10 | 16:13 | 16 |
| 7 | Tondela | 10 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Farense | 10 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 9 | Vizela | 10 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 10 | 7:10 | 14 |
| 11 | AVS | 10 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 10 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 13 | Torreense | 10 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Amarante | 10 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 15 | Felgueiras 1932 | 10 | 12:15 | 8 |
| 16 | FC Porto B | 10 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 17 | Chaves | 10 | 11:21 | 8 |
| 18 | Feirense | 10 | 3:11 | 5 |
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About the Chaves vs Penafiel forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Chaves and Penafiel in the Segunda Liga table
The table shows a wide gap: Penafiel are 1st in the Segunda Liga, while Chaves sit 17th, 14 points behind. League goal record so far: Chaves 11-21, Penafiel 22-10. The full standings are on the Segunda Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.