Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia Prediction

Ticha Stadium, Varna·Radoslav Gidzhenov 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
57%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.61
SignalNEUTRALModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-5.5%
Cherno More Varna Rest
7 days
Levski Sofia Rest
23 days

Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia: result, form and history

Levski Sofia beat Cherno More Varna 2-0 in the First League on 11 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Levski Sofia had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Cherno More Varna.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
18%5.72
X
25%3.61
2
57%1.61
Double Chance
1X
43%2.20
X2
82%1.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.15
No
54%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.04 + 1.28 = 2.32
Over 1.5
70%1.36
Over 2.5
41%2.25
Over 3.5
22%4.00
Under 1.5
30%2.81
Under 2.5
59%1.62
Under 3.5
78%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'Gasper Trdin
27'Mehdi Moubarik
38'Mustapha Sangaré INÁlex Centelles out
57'Mohamed Achi Bouakline INIvan·Tasev out
60'Gasper Trdin INKristian Dimitrov out
60'Wabo Oliver Kamdem INAldair out
60'L. Squadrone
63'Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno
71'Vasil Panayotov INPadilla Jorge out
71'Idris·Bounaas INBerk Beyhan out
78'celso sidney INMiguel barandas out
78'Georgi ventsislavov INNestorly lumbu out
81'Padilla Jorge
84'Ertan Tombak
87'Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno INJuan Perea out
87'bala everton INSteven Stoyanchov out

Lineups

Cherno More Varna
4-2-3-1Coach: Ilian Iliev
Levski Sofia
4-3-3Coach: Julio Velázquez
D. Hristov31D. Hristov
V. Kerchev37V. Kerchev
G. Ventsislavov93G. Ventsislavov
L. Squadrone5L. Squadrone
E. Tombak50E. Tombak
David Teles24D. Teles
I. Bounaas99I. Bounaas
M. Achi11M. Achi
V. Panayotov71V. Panayotov
A. Donchev8A. Donchev
Celso Sidney10C. Sidney
O. Vladimirov1O. Vladimirov
O. Kamdem71O. Kamdem
G. Trdin18G. Trdin
C. Makoun4C. Makoun
Maicon3Maicon
M. Grujić8M. Grujić
E. El Moubarik19E. El Moubarik
Serginho35Serginho
Reinaldo7Reinaldo
M. Sangaré12M. Sangaré
Everton Bala17E. Bala

Cherno More Varna Substitutes

6M. Banev
7M. Barandas78'for celso sidney
29B. Beyhan71'for Idris·Bounaas
26João Bandaró
22N. Kostadinov
34K. Mihaylov
9J. Padilla71'for Vasil Panayotov81'
17I. Tasev57'for Mohamed Achi Bouakline
14A. Todorov
81K. Tomov
44Nestorly lumbu78'replaced by Georgi ventsislavov

Levski Sofia Substitutes

92S. Vutsov
28S. Stoyanchov87'for bala everton
77A. Raychev
9J. Perea87'for Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno
11A. Oko-Flex
21Aldair60'for Wabo Oliver Kamdem
27David Kusso
55P. Hristov
2Hevertton Santos
50K. Dimitrov60'for Gasper Trdin
20Álex Centelles38'for Mustapha Sangaré

Match Stats

Cherno More VarnaLevski Sofia
34%Ball Possession66%
2Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards1
7Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal9
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
1452Elo Rating 1729
1.13Attack 1.16
1.89Defense 2.61
23%Hit Rate 46%
9.1Shots per Game 10.6
4.3Shots on Target 1.6
4.6Corners per Game 3.9
3.3Cards per Game 0.5

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
  • No tendency data available
Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Levski SofiaLevski Sofia4Wins · 40%
2.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

First League21/03/2026
Levski SofiaCherno More Varna
21
First League19/10/2025
Cherno More VarnaLevski Sofia
13
First League26/05/2025
Cherno More VarnaLevski Sofia
00
First League10/05/2025
Levski SofiaCherno More Varna
20
First League13/04/2025
Levski SofiaCherno More Varna
12
Cup26/02/2025
Cherno More VarnaLevski Sofia
10
First League03/11/2024
Cherno More VarnaLevski Sofia
21
First League12/05/2024
Levski SofiaCherno More Varna
00
First League13/04/2024
Cherno More VarnaLevski Sofia
31
First League22/10/2023
Levski SofiaCherno More Varna
10

Recent Form

Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
1W2D7L
Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
5W2D3L
17/09/2026
Levski SofiaRed Bull Salzburg
01
L
13/09/2026
Botev VratsaLevski Sofia
00
D
09/09/2026
Levski SofiaCSKA Sofia
24
L
05/09/2026
Levski SofiaCSKA 1948
10
W
02/09/2026
Slavia SofiaLevski Sofia
12
W
30/08/2026
Botev PlovdivLevski Sofia
13
W
26/08/2026
AEK Athens FCLevski Sofia
40
L
22/08/2026
Levski SofiaSpartak Varna
60
W
18/08/2026
Levski SofiaAEK Athens FC
00
D
11/08/2026
Kairat AlmatyLevski Sofia
01
W

Referee Profile

Radoslav Gidzhenov135 matches

5.20Cards per match
4.92Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
26.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Radoslav Gidzhenov5.20
Other referees5.09

5.20 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.09).

Cards come from 79 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1091023:4+1928WDWWW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1183027:9+1827WDWWD
3LudogoretsLudogorets1082021:7+1426WWWDD
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481281325:13+1225WLWWL
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1261517:18-119LWWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1152415:17-217LDLLW
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1134411:15-413WLDDD
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia112549:9011LLDWL
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa112369:20-119LDDWL
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1122713:21-88WDLLD
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv112276:14-88DDLWL
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1115512:19-78DWLDL
13Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1122710:21-118LLLLD
14Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1113711:22-116LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1023:428
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1127:927
3LudogoretsLudogorets1021:726
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481225:1325
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1217:1819
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1115:1717
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1111:1513
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia119:911
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa119:209
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1113:218
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv116:148
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1112:198
13Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1110:218
14Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1111:226
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cherno More Varna and Levski Sofia in the First League table

The table shows a wide gap: Levski Sofia are 1st in the First League, while Cherno More Varna sit 14th, 22 points behind. League goal record so far: Cherno More Varna 11-22, Levski Sofia 23-4. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.