Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna Prediction

Arena Arda, Kardzhali

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.15
SignalSOLIDModel65%RiskMediumGap-4.6%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.75
SignalHIGHModel61%RiskMediumGap+5.5%
Arda Kardzhali Rest
6 days
Cherno More Varna Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.75
X
24%3.38
2
15%4.61
Double Chance
1X
85%1.15
X2
39%1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.02
No
50%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 0.87 = 2.51
Over 1.5
73%1.36
Over 2.5
48%2.20
Over 3.5
25%3.88
Under 1.5
27%2.80
Under 2.5
52%1.64
Under 3.5
75%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
1592Elo Rating 1463
1.71Attack 1.37
1.09Defense 0.92
50%Hit Rate 17%
13.0Shots per Game 12.0
7.4Shots on Target 4.9
4.8Corners per Game 6.2
3.4Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+129 Elo
📈BTTS Trend58% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Arda Kardzhali 50%Draw 31%19% Cherno More Varna
3.51Avg Goals
58%BTTS Rate
66%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
3W0D2L
12/09/2026
CSKA SofiaArda Kardzhali
41
L
04/09/2026
Arda KardzhaliBotev Plovdiv
23
L
31/08/2026
Arda KardzhaliBotev Vratsa
20
W
24/08/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
01
W
17/08/2026
Arda KardzhaliLokomotiv Sofia
31
W
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
1W1D3L
11/09/2026
Cherno More VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
22
D
06/09/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivCherno More Varna
10
L
30/08/2026
CSKA SofiaCherno More Varna
31
L
21/08/2026
Cherno More VarnaDunav Ruse
31
W
14/08/2026
CSKA 1948Cherno More Varna
41
L

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia981021:4+1725DWWWW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia972023:6+1723WWDWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets972016:7+923WWDDW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 1948961217:9+819WLWLW
5Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali951314:11+316LLWWW
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv941413:14-113WWLLL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia92528:6+211DWLDD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna924310:14-410DDDLL
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa92257:17-108DWLWL
10Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia92258:15-78LLDWW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv92074:12-86LWLLL
12Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna912610:19-95DLLWL
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia904510:18-84LDLDL
14Dunav RuseDunav Ruse91178:17-94LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia921:425
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia923:623
3LudogoretsLudogorets916:723
4CSKA 1948CSKA 1948917:919
5Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali914:1116
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv913:1413
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia98:611
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna910:1410
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa97:178
10Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia98:158
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv94:126
12Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna910:195
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia910:184
14Dunav RuseDunav Ruse98:174
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this First League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About First League

ScorePredicts covers Bulgaria football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Arda Kardzhali and Cherno More Varna have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.51 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.