Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna Prediction

Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalNEUTRALModel43%RiskMediumGap+0.8%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Rest
8 days
Cherno More Varna Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.58
X
31%3.00
2
26%2.80
Double Chance
1X
74%1.40
X2
57%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.94
No
48%1.76
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1.15 = 2.54
Over 1.5
74%1.41
Over 2.5
46%2.30
Over 3.5
26%4.45
Under 1.5
26%2.65
Under 2.5
54%1.55
Under 3.5
74%1.18
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Christ Longville
21'Ryan LeijtenAssist: Parvizdzhon Umarbaev
46'Miguel barandas INAleksandar Kolev out
55'sevi idriz
68'Aleksandar Kolev
70'Ivan·Tasev INIdris·Bounaas out
70'emanuil nyagolov INbandaro joao out
71'Adrián Cova
76'Ryan Leijten INali dalil out
76'Parvizdzhon Umarbaev INMiha·Trdan out
83'David Teles INPadilla Jorge out
83'Vasil Panayotov INPetar Dimitrov Andreev out
87'Ryan lucas
87'celso sidney
89'Ivaylo Ivanov INAxel Velev out
89'Milan petrovic INAndrei Chindriş out
90+1'Asen Donchev

Lineups

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4-1-4-1Coach: D. Kosič
Cherno More Varna
4-2-3-1Coach: Ilian Iliev
B. Milosavljevic1B. MilosavljevicB. Milosavljevic
Adrián Cova2A. CovaAdrián Cova
A. Chindriş4A. ChindrişA. Chindriş
Lucas Ryan13L. RyanLucas Ryan
T. Pavlov5T. PavlovT. Pavlov
E. Ali12E. AliE. Ali
Sevi Idriz7S. IdrizSevi Idriz
I. Ivanov22I. IvanovI. Ivanov
P. Umarbayev39P. UmarbayevP. Umarbayev
D. Ali3D. AliD. Ali
Christ Longville29C. LongvilleChrist Longville
D. Hristov31D. HristovD. Hristov
E. Tombak50E. TombakE. Tombak
Z. Atanasov3Z. AtanasovZ. Atanasov
L. Squadrone5L. SquadroneL. Squadrone
V. Kerchev37V. KerchevV. Kerchev
V. Panayotov71V. PanayotovV. Panayotov
David Teles24D. TelesDavid Teles
A. Donchev8A. DonchevA. Donchev
M. Achi11M. AchiM. Achi
Celso Sidney10C. SidneyCelso Sidney
G. Lazarov19G. LazarovG. Lazarov

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Substitutes

40P. ZovkoG
30A. AleksandrovM
10Yoan Dzhelepov
26D. Kirashki
11R. LeijtenM
44M. PetrovićD
6M. TrdanM
9A. VelevF

Cherno More Varna Substitutes

29B. BeyhanM
99I. BounaasM
26João BandaróD
22N. KostadinovM
13E. NyagolovD
9Jorge PadillaF
14A. TodorovD
81K. TomovG
7M. BarandasF
18P. AndreevM
53M. BanevM

Match Stats

Lokomotiv PlovdivCherno More Varna
39%Ball Possession61%
3Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards3
8Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal6
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
1488Elo Rating 1463
0.37Attack 1.37
1.62Defense 0.92
23%Hit Rate 17%
7.5Shots per Game 12.0
3.5Shots on Target 4.9
5.2Corners per Game 6.2
2.5Cards per Game 3.2

Game State Tendencies

Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 14%Draw 36%50% Cherno More Varna
1.91Avg Goals
50%BTTS Rate
14%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
0W0D5L
28/08/2026
CSKA 1948Lokomotiv Plovdiv
20
L
24/08/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
01
L
16/08/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivDunav Ruse
12
L
07/08/2026
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
20
L
03/08/2026
Spartak VarnaLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
L
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
1W0D4L
30/08/2026
CSKA SofiaCherno More Varna
31
L
21/08/2026
Cherno More VarnaDunav Ruse
31
W
14/08/2026
CSKA 1948Cherno More Varna
41
L
09/08/2026
Cherno More VarnaLudogorets
23
L
01/08/2026
Botev PlovdivCherno More Varna
10
L

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia981021:4+1725DWWWW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia972023:6+1723WWDWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets972016:7+923WWDDW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 1948961217:9+819WLWLW
5Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali951314:11+316LLWWW
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv941413:14-113WWLLL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia92528:6+211DWLDD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna924310:14-410DDDLL
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa92257:17-108DWLWL
10Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia92258:15-78LLDWW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv92074:12-86LWLLL
12Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna912610:19-95DLLWL
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia904510:18-84LDLDL
14Dunav RuseDunav Ruse91178:17-94LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia921:425
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia923:623
3LudogoretsLudogorets916:723
4CSKA 1948CSKA 1948917:919
5Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali914:1116
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv913:1413
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia98:611
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna910:1410
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa97:178
10Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia98:158
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv94:126
12Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna910:195
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia910:184
14Dunav RuseDunav Ruse98:174
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Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this First League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About First League

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Key Factors for This Match

Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Cherno More Varna have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.91 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.