Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets Prediction

Ticha Stadium, Varna· Ventsislav Mitrev, Bulgaria 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.80
SignalGOODModel45%RiskMediumGap+7.6%
Cherno More Varna Rest
7 days
Ludogorets Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
16%4.65
X
24%3.54
2
60%1.70
Double Chance
1X
40%2.02
X2
84%1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%1.88
No
58%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.84 + 1.58 = 2.42
Over 1.5
68%1.30
Over 2.5
45%1.99
Over 3.5
25%3.35
Under 1.5
32%3.20
Under 2.5
55%1.78
Under 3.5
75%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

28'A. Nedyalkov
30'G. LazarovAssist: E. Tombak
34'M. Achi
39'E. Kurtulus
46'A. Salido Tajero INNathan Fernandes out
46'P. Stanic INA. Camara out
48'Rwan Cruz
51'Rwan Cruz
53'I. ChochevAssist: S. Shishkov
63'Z. Atanasov INN. Zlatev out
64'V. Panayotov INC. Sidney out
64'G. Lazarov INB. Beyhan out
65'J. Andersson INM. Polendakov out
68'N. Zlatev
68'Nathan Fernandes
74'Rwan Cruz INK. Duah out
77'A. Kolev INJ. Padilla out
77'M. Achi INI. Bounaas out
82'B. Beyhan
84'N. Zlatev
87'B. Tekpetey IND. Duarte out

Lineups

Cherno More Varna
3-5-2Coach: Ilian Iliev
Ludogorets
4-2-3-1Coach: Thomas Reis
Kristian Tomov81K. TomovKristian Tomov
Zhivko Atanasov3Z. AtanasovZhivko Atanasov
Luciano Squadrone5L. SquadroneLuciano Squadrone
João Bandaro26J. BandaroJoão Bandaro
Ertan Tombak50E. TombakErtan Tombak
Vasil Panayotov71V. PanayotovVasil Panayotov
David Teles24D. TelesDavid Teles
Mohamed Achi11M. AchiMohamed Achi
Emanuil Nyagolov13E. NyagolovEmanuil Nyagolov
Georgi Lazarov19G. LazarovGeorgi Lazarov
Aleksandar Kolev20A. KolevAleksandar Kolev
Hendrik Bonmann39H. BonmannHendrik Bonmann
Joel Andersson2J. AnderssonJoel Andersson
Edvin Kurtulus15E. KurtulusEdvin Kurtulus
Anton Nedyalkov3A. NedyalkovAnton Nedyalkov
Simeon Shishkov42S. ShishkovSimeon Shishkov
Ivajlo Chochev18I. ChochevIvajlo Chochev
Filip Kaloč26F. KaločFilip Kaloč
Alberto Salido7A. SalidoAlberto Salido
Petar Stanić14P. StanićPetar Stanić
Bernard Tekpetey37B. TekpeteyBernard Tekpetey
Rwan Cruz12R. CruzRwan Cruz

Cherno More Varna Substitutes

29Berk BeyhanM
39Nikolay ZlatevM
10Celso SidneyF
31Damyan HristovG
37Ventsislav KerchevD
93Georgi VentsislavovD
23Martin BanevM
99Idris BounaasM
22Nikolay Petrov KostadinovM
14Aleksandar TodorovM
9Jorge PadillaF

Ludogorets Substitutes

20Aguibou CamaraM
10Nathan FernandesF
22Mihail PolendakovD
9Kwadwo DuahF
1Sergio PadtG
24Olivier VerdonD
27Vinicius NogueiraD
23Deroy DuarteM
40Aleksandar MarinovM
82Ivan YordanovM
29Yves Erick BileF

Team Comparison

Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
LudogoretsLudogorets
1463Elo Rating 1677
1.37Attack 1.64
0.92Defense 2.14
17%Hit Rate 64%
12.0Shots per Game 15.4
4.9Shots on Target 7.1
6.2Corners per Game 5.9
3.2Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend14% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LudogoretsLudogorets
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Cherno More Varna 19%Draw 64%17% Ludogorets
1Avg Goals
14%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
0W3D2L
LudogoretsLudogorets
3W1D1L
02/08/2026
LudogoretsBotev Vratsa
21
W
30/07/2026
LudogoretsHapoel Tel Aviv
22
D
27/07/2026
Dunav RuseLudogorets
02
W
23/07/2026
Hapoel Tel AvivLudogorets
20
L
18/07/2026
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
W

Referee Profile

Ventsislav Mitrev, Bulgaria · 9 matches analysed

5.0Avg Yellows
5.2Avg Cards
23.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 89% of referees analysed

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia981021:4+1725DWWWW
2LudogoretsLudogorets972016:7+923WWDDW
3CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia862021:6+1520WDWWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 1948961217:9+819WLWLW
5Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali951314:11+316LLWWW
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv941413:14-113WWLLL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia92528:6+211DWLDD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna924310:14-410DDDLL
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa92257:17-108DWLWL
10Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia92258:15-78LLDWW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv92074:12-86LWLLL
12Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna912610:19-95DLLWL
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia804410:16-64DLDLL
14Dunav RuseDunav Ruse91178:17-94LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia921:425
2LudogoretsLudogorets916:723
3CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia821:620
4CSKA 1948CSKA 1948917:919
5Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali914:1116
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv913:1413
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia98:611
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna910:1410
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa97:178
10Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia98:158
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv94:126
12Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna910:195
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia810:164
14Dunav RuseDunav Ruse98:174
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this First League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About First League

ScorePredicts covers Bulgaria football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Cherno More Varna and Ludogorets have met 5 times recently, averaging 1 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.