Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv Prediction

Ludogorets
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Botev Plovdiv
Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad·Dragomir Draganov, Bulgaria 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.43
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+9.6%
Ludogorets Rest
6 days
Botev Plovdiv Rest
5 days

Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv: result, form and history

Ludogorets beat Botev Plovdiv 2-0 in the First League on 15 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Ludogorets have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game. Referee Dragomir Draganov averages 4.62 cards a game, 0.62 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.57
X
26%4.00
2
11%5.20
Double Chance
1X
89%1.13
X2
37%2.27
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.71
No
51%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 0.98 = 2.65
Over 1.5
71%1.20
Over 2.5
47%1.68
Over 3.5
26%2.65
Under 1.5
29%4.05
Under 2.5
53%2.11
Under 3.5
74%1.43
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

32'T. AwanyOG
34'Rwan CruzAssist: B. Tekpetey
46'N. Iliev ING. Milanov out
46'T. Awany INM. Senger out
60'Mascote INO. M. Chidera out
71'A. Salido Tajero IND. Duarte out
71'M. Rodrigues IND. Tonev out
71'A. Chandarov INE. Silva out
79'Rwan Cruz
80'Rwan Cruz INK. Duah out
80'S. Shishkov INVinicius Nogueira out
80'B. Tekpetey INE. Bile out
90'A. Camara INA. Marinov out

Lineups

Ludogorets
4-2-3-1Coach: Thomas Reis
Botev Plovdiv
4-2-3-1Coach: Stanislav Genchev
Hendrik Bonmann39H. Bonmann
Joel Andersson2J. Andersson
Edvin Kurtulus15E. Kurtulus
Anton Nedyalkov3A. Nedyalkov
Simeon Shishkov42S. Shishkov
Ivajlo Chochev18I. Chochev
Filip Kaloč26F. Kaloč
Alberto Salido7A. Salido
Aguibou Camara20A. Camara
Bernard Tekpetey37B. Tekpetey
Rwan Cruz12R. Cruz
Daniel Naumov29D. Naumov
Vladimir Mendes82V. Mendes
Simeon Petrov87S. Petrov
Timothy Awany20T. Awany
Bryan-Anthony Chibuike Hein27B. Chibuike Hein
Lucas Araujo77L. Araujo
Asen Chandarov10A. Chandarov
Mauro Rodrigues19M. Rodrigues
Nikola Iliev7N. Iliev
Samuel Kalu90S. Kalu
Franklin Mascote30F. Mascote

Ludogorets Substitutes

23Deroy Duarte71'for A. Salido Tajero
27Vinicius Nogueira80'for S. Shishkov
29Yves Erick Bile80'for B. Tekpetey
9Kwadwo Duah80'for Rwan Cruz
1Sergio Padt
22Mihail Polendakov
55Idan Nachmias
17Son
5Georgi Terziev
82Ivan Yordanov
40Aleksandar Marinov90'for A. Camara

Botev Plovdiv Substitutes

22Marvin Senger46'for T. Awany
17Georgi Milanov46'for N. Iliev
9Chidera Micheal Okoh60'for Mascote
23Dimitar Tonev71'for M. Rodrigues
45Edson Silva71'for A. Chandarov
21Nikolay Prandzhev
15Bogdan Kostov
6Ivaylo Videv
16Veliyan Vidolov
28Henrique Jocu
13Samuil Tsonov

Team Comparison

LudogoretsLudogorets
Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
1664Elo Rating 1592
2.27Attack 2.60
2.15Defense 1.54
73%Hit Rate 77%
14.0Shots per Game 12.3
5.2Shots on Target 5.6
6.5Corners per Game 4.8
2.3Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LudogoretsLudogorets
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LudogoretsLudogorets6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv2Wins · 20%
3.3Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

First League23/02/2026
Botev PlovdivLudogorets
21
First League31/08/2025
LudogoretsBotev Plovdiv
21
Cup27/02/2025
LudogoretsBotev Plovdiv
1000
Super Cup04/02/2025
LudogoretsBotev Plovdiv
32
First League19/12/2024
Botev PlovdivLudogorets
24
First League08/12/2024
LudogoretsBotev Plovdiv
30
Cup15/05/2024
LudogoretsBotev Plovdiv
23
First League10/03/2024
Botev PlovdivLudogorets
02
First League16/09/2023
LudogoretsBotev Plovdiv
22
First League07/05/2023
Botev PlovdivLudogorets
02

Recent Form

LudogoretsLudogorets
7W2D1L
09/08/2026
Cherno More VarnaLudogorets
23
W
02/08/2026
LudogoretsBotev Vratsa
21
W
30/07/2026
LudogoretsHapoel Tel Aviv
22
D
27/07/2026
Dunav RuseLudogorets
02
W
23/07/2026
Hapoel Tel AvivLudogorets
20
L
18/07/2026
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
W
10/07/2026
LudogoretsTeuta Durrës
10
W
10/07/2026
LudogoretsSeptemvri Sofia
10
W
04/07/2026
LudogoretsFC Botosani
22
D
26/06/2026
LudogoretsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
74
W
Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
7W1D2L
10/08/2026
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
32
W
01/08/2026
Botev PlovdivCherno More Varna
10
W
27/07/2026
CSKA SofiaBotev Plovdiv
32
L
21/07/2026
Botev PlovdivLokomotiv Sofia
11
D
12/07/2026
Botev PlovdivBeroe
40
W
04/07/2026
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
10
W
04/07/2026
Botev PlovdivEtar Veliko Tarnovo
12
L
01/07/2026
Botev PlovdivChernomorets 1919 Burgas
40
W
26/06/2026
Botev PlovdivArda Kardzhali
21
W
23/06/2026
Botev PlovdivSpartak Pleven
40
W

Referee Profile

Dragomir Draganov128 matches

4.62Cards per match
4.34Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Dragomir Draganov4.62
Other referees5.24

4.62 cards a match, 0.62 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.24).

Cards come from 74 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia12102025:5+2032WDWDW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1394029:9+2031DWWDW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1292124:9+1529WLWWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481391331:14+1728WWLWW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1371522:20+222WLWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1253416:18-218DLDLL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia132749:9013DDLLD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1334612:23-1113LLWLD
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1332815:22-711LWWDL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv132386:17-119LDDDL
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1316615:25-109LDDWL
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1225:532
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1329:931
3LudogoretsLudogorets1224:929
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481331:1428
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1322:2022
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1216:1818
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia139:913
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1312:2313
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1315:2211
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv136:179
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1315:259
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ludogorets and Botev Plovdiv in the First League table

Ludogorets and Botev Plovdiv are close in the First League table, 3rd and 5th, with 7 points between them. League goal record so far: Ludogorets 24-9, Botev Plovdiv 22-20. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Botev Plovdiv have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.