Club America vs Monterrey Prediction

Club America
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Monterrey
Estadio Banorte, Mexico City·Oscar Mejia Garcia 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
Club America Rest
6 days
Monterrey Rest
7 days

Club America vs Monterrey: result, form and history

Club America and Monterrey drew 1-1 in the Liga MX on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.86
X
25%3.67
2
22%3.87
Double Chance
1X
78%1.24
X2
47%1.88
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.53
No
41%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.01 + 0.94 = 2.95
Over 1.5
80%1.17
Over 2.5
58%1.59
Over 3.5
38%2.38
Under 1.5
20%4.80
Under 2.5
42%2.30
Under 3.5
62%1.52
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.44
Over 9.5
50%1.80
Over 10.5
38%2.25
Under 8.5
36%2.52
Under 9.5
50%1.93
Under 10.5
62%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.6 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%1.19
Over 4.5
44%1.40
Under 3.5
37%4.30
Under 4.5
56%2.82

Match Events

3'Cristian BorjaFoul
18'Diego RossiAssist: Orbelín Pineda
45+4'Santiago Bueno
57'Raphael Veiga INMiguel Borja out
57'Israel Reyes INEdwin Cerrillo out
59'Ricardo Chávez INLucas Ocampos out
59'Óliver Torres INErick Aguirre out
62'César GarzaFoul
66'Álex Zendejas INCarlos Álvarez out
67'César Garza INFidel Ambriz out
68'Jesús Corona INC. Reyes out
74'Cristian Borja INOscar Andres Perea Abonce out
74'Henry Martin INKevin Alvarez out
86'Card upgrade confirmedMiguel Borja
87'Miguel BorjaViolent conduct
88'Diego Rossi INIker Fimbres out

Lineups

Club America
4-2-3-1Coach: G. Almada
Monterrey
4-1-4-1Coach: M. Almeyda
Avg rating6.53
Avg rating6.46
L. Malagón6.81L. Malagón
D. Espinoza6.534D. Espinoza
S. Bueno7.514S. Bueno
S. Ramos6.715S. Ramos
C. Borja6.126C. Borja
É. Sánchez6.628É. Sánchez
I. Reyes6.53I. Reyes
A. Zendejas6.110A. Zendejas
Raphael Veiga6.223R. Veiga
B. Rodríguez6.47B. Rodríguez
H. Martín6.99H. Martín
E. Andrada7.61E. Andrada
R. Chávez6.02R. Chávez
V. Guzmán6.24V. Guzmán
C. Salcedo6.413C. Salcedo
G. Arteaga6.13G. Arteaga
Cesar Garza Cantu6.618C. Garza Cantu
D. Rossi7.59D. Rossi
Óliver Torres6.78Ó. Torres
O. Pineda7.125O. Pineda
J. Corona6.017J. Corona
H. Cuypers6.699H. Cuypers

Club America Substitutes

Monterrey Substitutes

22L. Cárdenas
5F. Ambríz67'for César Garza5.9
14É. Aguirre59'for Óliver Torres5.9
19A. Aceves
11Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa88'for Diego Rossi6.3
7L. Ocampos59'for Ricardo Chávez6.3
194C. Reyes68'for Jesús Corona6.2
21L. Reyes
30J. Rodríguez
27R. de la Rosa

Match Stats

Club AmericaMonterrey
59%Ball Possession41%
6Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
14Total Shots7
8Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal1
6Shots Inside Box4
8Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots4
12Fouls15
0Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves5
475Total Passes330
378Passes Accurate242
14Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Club AmericaClub America
MonterreyMonterrey
1754Elo Rating 1628
3.11Attack 1.32
0.68Defense 1.72
46%Hit Rate 44%
18.1Shots per Game 13.0
8.5Shots on Target 4.6
4.8Corners per Game 5.0
2.4Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+126 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.95 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Club AmericaClub America
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 1.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
MonterreyMonterrey
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Club AmericaClub America4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
MonterreyMonterrey2Wins · 20%
2.5Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Leagues Cup03/09/2026
Club AmericaMonterrey
4252
Liga MX08/02/2026
Club AmericaMonterrey
10
Liga MX30/11/2025
Club AmericaMonterrey
21
Liga MX27/11/2025
MonterreyClub America
20
Liga MX21/09/2025
MonterreyClub America
22
Liga MX17/04/2025
MonterreyClub America
10
Liga MX16/12/2024
MonterreyClub America
11
Liga MX13/12/2024
Club AmericaMonterrey
21
Liga MX28/10/2024
Club AmericaMonterrey
21
Liga MX04/02/2024
Club AmericaMonterrey
11

Referee Profile

Oscar Mejia Garcia122 matches

4.47Cards per match
4.17Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Oscar Mejia Garcia4.47
Other referees4.72

4.47 cards a match, 0.25 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.72).

Cards come from 121 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1283132:16+1627WWDWD
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1365220:12+823WDDLD
3Cruz AzulCruz Azul1372429:22+723WWDDL
4TolucaToluca1364328:18+1022DDLDL
5Club LeonClub Leon1363420:17+321DWDLW
6AtlasAtlas1363421:23-221LWDWD
7MonterreyMonterrey1262423:17+620WWDLW
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1262416:15+120LLWWD
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1361619:16+319WWWWW
10Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1245317:16+117DDDLD
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1344519:22-316LWDLD
12Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1344518:22-416WDLWW
13PueblaPuebla1344513:17-416LDDLD
14Tigres UANLTigres UANL1335514:18-414LDWWL
15Atlante FCAtlante FC1335514:19-514WLLWD
16CF PachucaCF Pachuca1334620:18+213LLDLD
17NecaxaNecaxa1323815:26-119LLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1311118:32-244LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1232:1627
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1320:1223
3Cruz AzulCruz Azul1329:2223
4TolucaToluca1328:1822
5Club LeonClub Leon1320:1721
6AtlasAtlas1321:2321
7MonterreyMonterrey1223:1720
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1216:1520
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1319:1619
10Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1217:1617
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1319:2216
12Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1318:2216
13PueblaPuebla1313:1716
14Tigres UANLTigres UANL1314:1814
15Atlante FCAtlante FC1314:1914
16CF PachucaCF Pachuca1320:1813
17NecaxaNecaxa1315:269
18FC JuarezFC Juarez138:324
Promotion

About the Club America vs Monterrey forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Club America and Monterrey in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Club America are 1st and Monterrey 7th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Club America 32-16, Monterrey 23-17. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.