Club Nacional vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction

Primera DivisiónUruguay Uruguay · Clausura - 11
Club Nacional
3-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado
Gran Parque Central, Montevideo·Mathias De Armas 20/10/2026
Club NacionalClub Nacional
3-2
Finished
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-4.2%
Club Nacional Rest
4 days
Deportivo Maldonado Rest
4 days

Club Nacional vs Deportivo Maldonado: result, form and history

Club Nacional beat Deportivo Maldonado 3-2 in the Primera División on 20 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them. Referee Mathias De Armas averages 4.73 cards a game, 1.23 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.84
X
27%3.42
2
21%3.90
Double Chance
1X
78%1.20
X2
48%1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.80
No
49%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 0.98 = 2.44
Over 1.5
71%1.29
Over 2.5
48%1.93
Over 3.5
27%3.30
Under 1.5
29%3.30
Under 2.5
52%1.79
Under 3.5
73%1.29
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

14'Lucas Rodríguez
27'Camilo Cándido
35'Francisco Calvo
58'Camilo Cándido INTomas Viera out
58'Lucas Rodríguez INSantiago Silva out
68'Santiago Cartagena INCamilo Mayada out
70'Christian Tabó
73'Juan Ramos
78'Luciano Boggio
79'Maximiliano Gómez INSilvio Alejandro Martínez out
79'luciano gonzalez INMaximiliano Joaquin·Silvera Cabo out
81'Francisco Calvo
84'Juan Martin·Ginzo INHernan Petrik out
84'maxiliano alis sequeira noble INGuillermo López Matturo out
84'Juan Ramos INLautaro Ibanez out
84'Santiago Ramírez INLucas·Nunez out
85'Santiago Silva
86'tiziano correa INBruno Zuculini out
86'Guillermo López Matturo
90'Sebastián Coates
90'David Maximiliano Gonzalez
90+3'Renato Cesar

Lineups

Club Nacional
3-4-1-2Coach: D. Carreño
Deportivo Maldonado
4-3-3Coach: Gabriel Di Noia
A. Martín Arias22A. Martín Arias
3737L. Rodriguez
S. Coates4S. Coates
F. Calvo5F. Calvo
G. Martirena15G. Martirena
L. Rodríguez23L. Rodríguez
L. Boggio6L. Boggio
C. Cándido21C. Cándido
L. Gonzalez39L. Gonzalez
T. Correa29T. Correa
M. Gómez9M. Gómez
A. Freitas1A. Freitas
N. Fuica2N. Fuica
Juan Martín Ginzo4J. Martín Ginzo
F. Tealde19F. Tealde
J. Ramos22J. Ramos
M. González8M. González
Santiago Ramírez17S. Ramírez
S. Cartagena28S. Cartagena
A. M. Noble Sequeira10A. M. Noble Sequeira
C. Tabó14C. Tabó
R. César16R. César

Club Nacional Substitutes

36B. Zuculini86'for tiziano correa
32T. Viera58'for Camilo Cándido
11M. Silvera79'for luciano gonzalez
8S. Silva58'for Lucas Rodríguez85'
2A. Rogel
31R. Martinez
14A. Martínez79'for Maximiliano Gómez
20R. Botta
40J. Bianchi
13E. Ancheta

Deportivo Maldonado Substitutes

30L. Ibanez84'for Juan Ramos
34N. Forastiero
42J. Fernández
31F. Marino
11G. López84'for maxiliano alis sequeira noble86'
18C. Mayada68'for Santiago Cartagena
29E. Mozzone
5L. Núñez84'for Santiago Ramírez
32H. Petryk84'for Juan Martin·Ginzo
27G. Sosa

Match Stats

Club NacionalDeportivo Maldonado
45%Ball Possession55%
8Corner Kicks11
4Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots5
5Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal2
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Club NacionalClub Nacional
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
1666Elo Rating 1669
2.30Attack 2.43
2.46Defense 1.77
100%Hit Rate 54%
9.4Shots per Game 5.5
4.1Shots on Target 2.7
6.6Corners per Game 6.4
3.4Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend25% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Club NacionalClub Nacional
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Club NacionalClub Nacional3Wins · 38%
Draws225%
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3Wins · 37%
2.8Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored2 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Primera División - Apertura31/05/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoClub Nacional
30
Primera División - Apertura12/04/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoClub Nacional
42
Copa De La Liga Auf14/01/2026
Club NacionalDeportivo Maldonado
4030
Primera División - Apertura21/05/2024
Deportivo MaldonadoClub Nacional
02
Primera División - Apertura17/06/2023
Club NacionalDeportivo Maldonado
40
Primera División - Apertura18/03/2023
Deportivo MaldonadoClub Nacional
00
Primera División - Apertura07/02/2022
Club NacionalDeportivo Maldonado
23
Primera División - Apertura02/08/2021
Club NacionalDeportivo Maldonado
20

Recent Form

Club NacionalClub Nacional
8W2D0L
16/10/2026
Club NacionalRentistas
30
W
11/10/2026
Central EspanolClub Nacional
01
W
06/10/2026
Club NacionalAtletico Torque
20
W
26/09/2026
Cerro LargoClub Nacional
02
W20/09/2026
Club NacionalDefensor Sporting
32
W
16/09/2026
ProgresoClub Nacional
01
W
12/09/2026
WanderersClub Nacional
11
D
06/09/2026
Club NacionalJuventud
22
D
03/09/2026
CA River PlateClub Nacional
23
W
30/08/2026
PenarolClub Nacional
01
W
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
8W1D1L
15/10/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoAlbion FC
41
W10/10/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoLiverpool Montevideo
11
D03/10/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoCentral Espanol
30
W27/09/2026
Atletico TorqueDeportivo Maldonado
02
W
24/09/2026
CerroDeportivo Maldonado
12
W
19/09/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoCerro Largo
20
W13/09/2026
Defensor SportingDeportivo Maldonado
10
L
10/09/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoWanderers
41
W
05/09/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoWanderers
20
W
02/09/2026
CerritoDeportivo Maldonado
02
W

Referee Profile

Mathias De Armas119 matches

4.73Cards per match
4.54Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mathias De Armas4.73
Other referees5.96

4.73 cards a match, 1.23 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.96).

Cards come from 26 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol34198751:27+2464DLWLW
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262DWWLW
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque341861057:40+1760DLDLL
4Club NacionalClub Nacional341841251:41+1058WLLWW
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo341512742:30+1257DWWWD
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo341511845:31+1456LWLDD
7WanderersWanderers341481241:43-250LLLWL
8Albion FCAlbion FC341371447:44+346WWDDW
9JuventudJuventud3410111337:41-441DWLLL
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol341081633:47-1438LDWWD
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo349101532:38-637LDDWL
12Boston RiverBoston River341071733:45-1237WLWWL
13CerroCerro341071728:51-2337DDWLW
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting348121433:43-1036DWLDD
15ProgresoProgreso341051931:47-1635WLLDD
16DanubioDanubio346141428:43-1532DDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol3451:2764
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3454:3262
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque3457:4060
4Club NacionalClub Nacional3451:4158
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo3442:3057
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo3445:3156
7WanderersWanderers3441:4350
8Albion FCAlbion FC3447:4446
9JuventudJuventud3437:4141
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol3433:4738
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo3432:3837
12Boston RiverBoston River3433:4537
13CerroCerro3428:5137
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting3433:4336
15ProgresoProgreso3431:4735
16DanubioDanubio3428:4332

Primera: Promedios

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol71431414117:61+56143DLWLW
2Club NacionalClub Nacional71421415127:74+53137WLLWW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262DWWLW
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7133221696:68+28121LWLDD
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7129231981:68+13110DWWWD
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque71311624111:91+20109DLDLL
7JuventudJuventud7128182582:80+2102DWLLL
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7126192675:81-697DWLDD
9Albion FCAlbion FC341371447:44+346WWDDW
10Boston RiverBoston River7124202783:84-192WLWWL
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7121232773:79-686LDDWL
12CerroCerro7122183161:93-3283DDWLW
13WanderersWanderers7120213066:90-2481LLLWL
14Central EspanolCentral Espanol341081633:47-1438LDWWD
15DanubioDanubio7116272869:84-1575DDDLD
16ProgresoProgreso7120143769:107-3874WLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol71117:61143
2Club NacionalClub Nacional71127:74137
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3454:3262
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7196:68121
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7181:68110
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque71111:91109
7JuventudJuventud7182:80102
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7175:8197
9Albion FCAlbion FC3447:4446
10Boston RiverBoston River7183:8492
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7173:7986
12CerroCerro7161:9383
13WanderersWanderers7166:9081
14Central EspanolCentral Espanol3433:4738
15DanubioDanubio7169:8475
16ProgresoProgreso7169:10774

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1WanderersWanderers743012:4+815LLLWL
2Club NacionalClub Nacional74128:8013WLLWW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado733112:6+612DWWLW
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque740311:11012DLDLL
5JuventudJuventud72238:11-38DWLLL
6Albion FCAlbion FC71336:8-26WWDDW
7ProgresoProgreso72056:11-56WLLDD
8DanubioDanubio70435:9-44DDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1WanderersWanderers712:415
2Club NacionalClub Nacional78:813
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado712:612
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque711:1112
5JuventudJuventud78:118
6Albion FCAlbion FC76:86
7ProgresoProgreso76:116
8DanubioDanubio75:94

Primera: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1594223:14+931DWWWD
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1592424:16+829DWWLW
3Albion FCAlbion FC1584326:16+1028WWDDW
4PenarolPenarol1583423:16+727DLWLW
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1573523:22+124LDWWD
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1565422:16+623DLDLL
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1571726:21+522WLLWW
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1556413:11+221DWLDD
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1555520:18+220LWLDD
10WanderersWanderers1562716:21-520LLLWL
11DanubioDanubio1546517:21-418DDDLD
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1552816:19-317LDDWL
13Boston RiverBoston River1552814:20-617WLWWL
14JuventudJuventud1543817:22-515DWLLL
15ProgresoProgreso1524912:23-1110WLLDD
16CerroCerro152498:24-1610DDWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1523:1431
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1524:1629
3Albion FCAlbion FC1526:1628
4PenarolPenarol1523:1627
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1523:2224
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1522:1623
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1526:2122
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1513:1121
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1520:1820
10WanderersWanderers1516:2120
11DanubioDanubio1517:2118
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1516:1917
13Boston RiverBoston River1514:2017
14JuventudJuventud1517:2215
15ProgresoProgreso1512:2310
16CerroCerro158:2410

Primera: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1283120:8+1227LWLDD
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1281324:13+1125DLDLL
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1272317:12+523WLLWW
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1263318:10+821DWWLW
5PenarolPenarol1264216:8+821DLWLW
6ProgresoProgreso1261513:13019WLLDD
7JuventudJuventud1246212:8+418DWLLL
8CerroCerro1253414:17-318DDWLW
9Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1244415:13+216DWWWD
10Boston RiverBoston River1243514:15-115WLWWL
11WanderersWanderers1243513:18-515LLLWL
12Albion FCAlbion FC1240815:20-512WWDDW
13DanubioDanubio122466:13-710DDDLD
14Cerro LargoCerro Largo121659:14-59LDDWL
15Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1223714:23-99DWLDD
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol121296:21-155LDWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1220:827
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1224:1325
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1217:1223
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1218:1021
5PenarolPenarol1216:821
6ProgresoProgreso1213:1319
7JuventudJuventud1212:818
8CerroCerro1214:1718
9Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1215:1316
10Boston RiverBoston River1214:1515
11WanderersWanderers1213:1815
12Albion FCAlbion FC1215:2012
13DanubioDanubio126:1310
14Cerro LargoCerro Largo129:149
15Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1214:239
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol126:215
PromotionRelegation

Explore more predictions

This match

More Primera División matches

All predictions

About the Club Nacional vs Deportivo Maldonado forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Club Nacional and Deportivo Maldonado in the Primera División table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Deportivo Maldonado are 2nd in the Primera División, 4 points ahead of Club Nacional in 4th. League goal record so far: Club Nacional 51-41, Deportivo Maldonado 54-32. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Club Nacional have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.