Coquimbo Unido vs U. Catolica Prediction

Coquimbo Unido
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
U. Catolica
Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo· Cristian Garay, Chile 27/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.35
SignalNEUTRALModel43%RiskHighGap+4.3%
Value Analysis
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.35
SignalGOODModel41%RiskHighGap+9.3%
Coquimbo Unido Rest
3 days
U. Catolica Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.15
X
31%3.20
2
27%3.40
Double Chance
1X
73%1.29
X2
58%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.84
No
37%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 1.3 = 2.84
Over 1.5
77%1.35
Over 2.5
58%2.12
Over 3.5
35%3.73
Under 1.5
23%3.04
Under 2.5
42%1.69
Under 3.5
65%1.24
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.2 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.58
Over 9.5
52%1.95
Over 10.5
35%2.57
Under 8.5
38%2.15
Under 9.5
48%1.75
Under 10.5
65%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.8 = 5.3
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
55%-
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
45%-

Match Events

31'D. SanchezUnsportsmanlike conduct
40'N. JohansenAssist: F. Salinas
45+2'A. CamargoFoul
46'C. CuevasFoul
60'C. Cuevas INA. Canales out
60'J. Giani IND. Corral out
65'D. GarneroUnsportsmanlike conduct
67'P. Rodriguez INS. Cordero out
69'F. ZampedriAssist: D. Corral
73'C. Montes INM. Gomez out
77'N. Johansen INF. Pons out
77'A. Camargo INB. Chandia out
79'M. GomezAssist: F. Zampedri
83'S. Arancibia IND. Gonzalez out
84'J. A. Martinez INA. Farias out
85'L. Riveros IND. Pereira out

Lineups

Coquimbo Unido
4-4-2Coach: Hernan Caputto
U. Catolica
4-2-3-1Coach: Daniel Garnero
Diego Sánchez13D. SánchezDiego Sánchez
Francisco Salinas17F. SalinasFrancisco Salinas
Elvis Hernández4E. HernándezElvis Hernández
Benjamín Gazzolo2B. GazzoloBenjamín Gazzolo
Juan Cornejo16J. CornejoJuan Cornejo
Cristián Zavala15C. ZavalaCristián Zavala
Sebastián Galani7S. GalaniSebastián Galani
Alejandro Camargo8A. CamargoAlejandro Camargo
Luis Riveros27L. RiverosLuis Riveros
Nicolás Johansen9N. JohansenNicolás Johansen
Pablo Rodríguez18P. RodríguezPablo Rodríguez
Vicente Bernedo1V. BernedoVicente Bernedo
Sebastián Arancibia6S. ArancibiaSebastián Arancibia
Branco Ampuero19B. AmpueroBranco Ampuero
Agustín García Basso21A. García BassoAgustín García Basso
Eugenio Mena3E. MenaEugenio Mena
Jhojan Valencia20J. ValenciaJhojan Valencia
Jimmy Martínez14J. MartínezJimmy Martínez
Clemente Montes11C. MontesClemente Montes
Justo Giani7J. GianiJusto Giani
Cristián Cuevas15C. CuevasCristián Cuevas
Fernando Zampedri9F. ZampedriFernando Zampedri

Coquimbo Unido Substitutes

14Salvador CorderoM
1Gonzalo FloresG
26Lukas SozaD
28Sebastián CabreraD
11Alejandro AzócarF
10Guido VadaláM
30Benjamín ChandíaF
31Dixon PereiraF
29Facundo PonsF

U. Catolica Substitutes

25Diego CorralF
13Alfred CanalesM
12Francisco ValdésG
28Bernardo CerezoD
2Daniel GonzálezD
22Martín GómezM
5Agustín FaríasM
17Gary MedelD
43Amaro PérezF

Match Stats

Coquimbo UnidoU. Catolica
49%Ball Possession51%
6Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots5
1Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box3
0Shots Outside Box2
0Blocked Shots0
11Fouls7
3Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves1
424Total Passes455
351Passes Accurate359
83%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido
U. CatolicaU. Catolica
1610Elo Rating 1711
1.50Attack 2.09
0.80Defense 1.62
19%Hit Rate 86%
12.4Shots per Game 10.9
4.4Shots on Target 3.7
6.8Corners per Game 4.6
2.7Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend41% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
U. CatolicaU. Catolica
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.9 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Coquimbo Unido 50%Draw 23%27% U. Catolica
2.25Avg Goals
41%BTTS Rate
61%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Cristian Garay, Chile · 26 matches analysed

4.7Avg Yellows
5.0Avg Cards
23.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 75% of referees analysed

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo23173348:22+2654DDWWD
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica23133750:33+1742WWWWL
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile23126535:19+1642WWLLW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina23106737:25+1236WLWWD
5PalestinoPalestino23113936:33+336LWLWW
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache231031043:35+833LWWLW
7NublenseNublense2388728:31-332LLLLW
8ConcepciónConcepción23941025:26-131DLWDW
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2379734:38-430LWWDW
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2285931:31029LLLWL
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2377926:31-528WWLDD
12O'HigginsO'Higgins23831228:36-827LWLLD
13HuachipatoHuachipato21741029:39-1025WDLLL
14CobresalCobresal23731334:44-1024WLWDL
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion22641217:37-2022LLWLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera23451419:40-2117WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2348:2254
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica2350:3342
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2335:1942
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2337:2536
5PalestinoPalestino2336:3336
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2343:3533
7NublenseNublense2328:3132
8ConcepciónConcepción2325:2631
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2334:3830
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2231:3129
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2326:3128
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2328:3627
13HuachipatoHuachipato2129:3925
14CobresalCobresal2334:4424
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2217:3722
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2319:4017

Coquimbo Unido vs U. Catolica Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

U. Catolica have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Coquimbo Unido and U. Catolica have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.25 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.