U. Catolica vs Nublense Prediction

U. Catolica
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Nublense
Claro Arena, Santiago·Diego Flores Seguel, Chile 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.91
SignalSOLIDModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+12.0%
U. Catolica Rest
3 days
Nublense Rest
6 days

U. Catolica vs Nublense: result, form and history

Nublense beat U. Catolica 2-1 in the Primera División on 23 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Nublense had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for U. Catolica.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Referee Diego Flores Seguel averages 6.64 cards a game, 0.82 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.68
X
23%3.59
2
24%4.76
Double Chance
1X
76%1.15
X2
47%2.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.91
No
39%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 1.18 = 2.71
Over 1.5
76%1.30
Over 2.5
58%1.99
Over 3.5
34%3.34
Under 1.5
24%3.25
Under 2.5
42%1.79
Under 3.5
66%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.1 = 9.9
Over 8.5
66%1.47
Over 9.5
53%1.79
Over 10.5
39%2.23
Under 8.5
34%2.55
Under 9.5
47%1.93
Under 10.5
61%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 3.2 + 3 = 6.3
Over 3.5
91%-
Over 4.5
75%-
Under 3.5
9%-
Under 4.5
25%-

Match Events

8'F. ZuquiUnsportsmanlike conduct
11'D. SanhuezaFoul
43'J. GianiFoul
45+4'M. PalavecinoUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'D. Sanhueza ING. Graciani out
46'J. Giani INJ. A. Martinez out
46'D. Gonzalez INS. Arancibia out
48'E. CalderonAssist: L. Molina Canto
65'C. Montes IND. Corral out
67'E. Calderon INI. Jeraldino out
67'D. GarneroUnsportsmanlike conduct
72'L. ReyesUnsportsmanlike conduct
74'N. PerezUnsportsmanlike conduct
75'F. Zampedri(Penalty)
76'L. Molina Canto INF. Ovelar out
76'M. Rivera INC. Mansilla out
81'M. Palavecino ING. Medel out
81'M. Plaza INF. Campos Mosqueira out
85'J. A. MartinezFoul
87'G. MedelFoul
88'I. JeraldinoAssist: F. Ovelar
90+1'M. PalavecinoUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

U. Catolica
Coach: Daniel Garnero
Nublense
Coach: Jose Ribera Juan

U. Catolica Starting XI

1V. Bernedo
2D. Gonzalez46'replaced by S. Arancibia
5A. Farias
19B. Ampuero
15C. Cuevas
8F. Zuqui8'
11C. Montes65'replaced by D. Corral
20J. Valencia
10M. Palavecino45+4'81'replaced by G. Medel90+1'
7J. Giani43'46'replaced by J. A. Martinez
9F. Zampedri75'

Nublense Starting XI

1N. Perez74'
6P. Calderon
4O. Bosso Torres
15S. Valencia
16D. Sanhueza11'46'replaced by G. Graciani
10M. Plaza81'replaced by F. Campos Mosqueira
21L. Reyes72'
28M. Rivera76'replaced by C. Mansilla
14J. Campusano
26E. Calderon48'67'replaced by I. Jeraldino
11L. Molina Canto76'replaced by F. Ovelar

U. Catolica Substitutes

27D. Melo
17G. Medel81'for M. Palavecino87'
3E. Mena
6S. Arancibia46'for D. Gonzalez
14J. A. Martinez46'for J. Giani85'
22M. Gomez
25D. Corral65'for C. Montes
43A. Perez
42N. Pino

Nublense Substitutes

25H. Munoz
5F. Campos Mosqueira81'for M. Plaza
3C. Salomon
18D. Cespedes
20I. Jeraldino67'for E. Calderon88'
7F. Ovelar76'for L. Molina Canto
8G. Graciani46'for D. Sanhueza
22A. Valdes
35C. Mansilla76'for M. Rivera

Team Comparison

U. CatolicaU. Catolica
NublenseNublense
1677Elo Rating 1529
0.83Attack 0.79
2.05Defense 0.89
27%Hit Rate 39%
11.2Shots per Game 12.6
2.9Shots on Target 3.9
3.6Corners per Game 4.0
2.6Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+148 Elo
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

U. CatolicaU. Catolica
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
NublenseNublense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

U. CatolicaU. Catolica5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
NublenseNublense2Wins · 20%
2.6Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División02/03/2026
NublenseU. Catolica
12
Primera División10/10/2025
U. CatolicaNublense
10
Primera División08/03/2025
NublenseU. Catolica
11
Primera División28/07/2024
NublenseU. Catolica
12
Primera División23/02/2024
U. CatolicaNublense
01
Primera División26/08/2023
U. CatolicaNublense
21
Primera División04/03/2023
NublenseU. Catolica
12
Primera División08/10/2022
U. CatolicaNublense
22
Primera División08/05/2022
NublenseU. Catolica
40
Super Cup18/11/2021
U. CatolicaNublense
7161

Referee Profile

Diego Flores Seguel135 matches

6.64Cards per match
6.05Yellow cards per match
0.59Red cards per match
21.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Diego Flores Seguel6.64
Other referees5.82

6.64 cards a match, 0.82 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.82).

Cards come from 61 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo27194459:30+2961WWDLD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile27156647:22+2551WLWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica27154856:37+1949WWDLW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache271241148:40+840LWWDL
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina27117943:35+840LDLWW
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido261151039:35+438WWLWL
7PalestinoPalestino271151139:38+138LLDDL
8ConcepciónConcepción271151130:30038WWLDD
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena27910840:42-237WDWLL
10NublenseNublense27981031:41-1035LLWLL
11HuachipatoHuachipato26961134:41-733LDDWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins27941432:42-1031LWDLL
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano27791128:36-830LLDDW
14CobresalCobresal27761439:50-1127LDDDW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion27751522:49-2726WLLDL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera27661524:43-1924WLWDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2759:3061
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2747:2251
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2756:3749
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2748:4040
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2743:3540
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2639:3538
7PalestinoPalestino2739:3838
8ConcepciónConcepción2730:3038
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2740:4237
10NublenseNublense2731:4135
11HuachipatoHuachipato2634:4133
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2732:4231
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2728:3630
14CobresalCobresal2739:5027
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2722:4926
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2724:4324

About the U. Catolica vs Nublense forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

U. Catolica and Nublense in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, U. Catolica are 3rd and Nublense 10th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: U. Catolica 56-37, Nublense 31-41. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.