U. Catolica vs Nublense Prediction

U. Catolica
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Nublense
Claro Arena, Santiago· Diego Flores Seguel, Chile 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.91
SignalGOODModel50%RiskMediumGap+12.0%
U. Catolica Rest
3 days
Nublense Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.68
X
23%3.59
2
24%4.76
Double Chance
1X
76%1.15
X2
47%2.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.91
No
39%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 1.18 = 2.71
Over 1.5
76%1.30
Over 2.5
58%1.99
Over 3.5
34%3.34
Under 1.5
24%3.25
Under 2.5
42%1.79
Under 3.5
66%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.1 = 9.9
Over 8.5
66%1.47
Over 9.5
53%1.79
Over 10.5
39%2.23
Under 8.5
34%2.55
Under 9.5
47%1.93
Under 10.5
61%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 3.2 + 3 = 6.3
Over 3.5
91%-
Over 4.5
75%-
Under 3.5
9%-
Under 4.5
25%-

Match Events

8'F. ZuquiUnsportsmanlike conduct
11'D. SanhuezaFoul
43'J. GianiFoul
45+4'M. PalavecinoUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'D. Sanhueza ING. Graciani out
46'J. Giani INJ. A. Martinez out
46'D. Gonzalez INS. Arancibia out
48'E. CalderonAssist: L. Molina Canto
65'C. Montes IND. Corral out
67'E. Calderon INI. Jeraldino out
67'D. GarneroUnsportsmanlike conduct
72'L. ReyesUnsportsmanlike conduct
74'N. PerezUnsportsmanlike conduct
75'F. Zampedri(Penalty)
76'L. Molina Canto INF. Ovelar out
76'M. Rivera INC. Mansilla out
81'M. Palavecino ING. Medel out
81'M. Plaza INF. Campos Mosqueira out
85'J. A. MartinezFoul
87'G. MedelFoul
88'I. JeraldinoAssist: F. Ovelar
90+1'M. PalavecinoUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

U. Catolica
Coach: Daniel Garnero
Nublense
Coach: Jose Ribera Juan

U. Catolica Starting XI

1V. Bernedo
2D. Gonzalez
5A. Farias
19B. Ampuero
15C. Cuevas
8F. Zuqui
11C. Montes
20J. Valencia
10M. Palavecino
7J. Giani
9F. Zampedri

Nublense Starting XI

1N. Perez
6P. Calderon
4O. Bosso Torres
15S. Valencia
16D. Sanhueza
10M. Plaza
21L. Reyes
28M. Rivera
14J. Campusano
26E. Calderon
11L. Molina Canto

U. Catolica Substitutes

27D. Melo
17G. Medel
3E. Mena
6S. Arancibia
14J. A. Martinez
22M. Gomez
25D. Corral
43A. Perez
42N. Pino

Nublense Substitutes

25H. Munoz
5F. Campos Mosqueira
3C. Salomon
18D. Cespedes
20I. Jeraldino
7F. Ovelar
8G. Graciani
22A. Valdes
35C. Mansilla

Team Comparison

U. CatolicaU. Catolica
NublenseNublense
1711Elo Rating 1546
2.09Attack 0.78
1.62Defense 1.04
86%Hit Rate 14%
10.9Shots per Game 11.5
3.7Shots on Target 3.2
4.6Corners per Game 4.3
2.4Cards per Game 3.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+164 Elo
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

U. CatolicaU. Catolica
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.9 in second half)
NublenseNublense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

U. Catolica 66%Draw 19%14% Nublense
2.07Avg Goals
63%BTTS Rate
44%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Diego Flores Seguel, Chile · 27 matches analysed

5.5Avg Yellows
6.0Avg Cards
21.2Avg Fouls
Stricter than 98% of referees analysed

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo23173348:22+2654DDWWD
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica23133750:33+1742WWWWL
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile23126535:19+1642WWLLW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina23106737:25+1236WLWWD
5PalestinoPalestino23113936:33+336LWLWW
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache231031043:35+833LWWLW
7NublenseNublense2388728:31-332LLLLW
8ConcepciónConcepción23941025:26-131DLWDW
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2379734:38-430LWWDW
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2285931:31029LLLWL
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2377926:31-528WWLDD
12O'HigginsO'Higgins23831228:36-827LWLLD
13HuachipatoHuachipato21741029:39-1025WDLLL
14CobresalCobresal23731334:44-1024WLWDL
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion22641217:37-2022LLWLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera23451419:40-2117WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2348:2254
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica2350:3342
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2335:1942
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2337:2536
5PalestinoPalestino2336:3336
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2343:3533
7NublenseNublense2328:3132
8ConcepciónConcepción2325:2631
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2334:3830
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2231:3129
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2326:3128
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2328:3627
13HuachipatoHuachipato2129:3925
14CobresalCobresal2334:4424
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2217:3722
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2319:4017

U. Catolica vs Nublense Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera División

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Key Factors for This Match

U. Catolica have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. U. Catolica and Nublense have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.07 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.