Concepción vs Coquimbo Unido Prediction

Concepción
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Coquimbo Unido
Municipal de Collao, Concepción·Franco Esteban Jimenez Lazo, Chile 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.61
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+5.2%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.36
SignalHIGHModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+8.4%
Concepción Rest
6 days
Coquimbo Unido Rest
3 days

Concepción vs Coquimbo Unido: the result in context

Concepción and Coquimbo Unido drew 1-1 in the Primera División on 23 Aug 2026. Concepción had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 1 for Coquimbo Unido.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%3.17
X
29%3.10
2
31%2.21
Double Chance
1X
70%1.61
X2
60%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.90
No
37%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.41 = 2.82
Over 1.5
75%1.36
Over 2.5
58%2.19
Over 3.5
34%4.00
Under 1.5
25%2.90
Under 2.5
42%1.64
Under 3.5
66%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.3 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.49
Over 9.5
50%1.84
Over 10.5
35%2.30
Under 8.5
40%2.46
Under 9.5
50%1.88
Under 10.5
65%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2.9 = 5.7
Over 3.5
82%-
Over 4.5
66%-
Under 3.5
18%-
Under 4.5
34%-

Match Events

7'A. Camargo
26'C. ZavalaFoul
46'D. Acosta INC. Escobar out
46'D. Varas INC. Riquelme out
46'J. Montecinos INM. Cavalleri out
50'F. PonsFoul
57'F. Pons INN. Johansen out
57'P. Rodriguez ING. Vadala out
59'L. SozaFoul
62'A. CaceresAssist: M. Cavalleri
64'J. Henriquez INA. Jara out
68'C. Zavala INA. E. Azocar Machuca out
70'J. CornejoFoul
75'Y. RodriguezFoul
76'S. CorderoFoul
76'B. Chandia INS. Cabrera out
85'Y. Rodriguez INF. Martinez out
87'F. MartinezFoul

Lineups

Concepción
4-4-2Coach: Patricio Almendra
Coquimbo Unido
4-1-4-1Coach: Hernan Caputto
Avg rating6.83
Avg rating6.63
Nicolás Araya6.625N. Araya
Ariel Cáceres8.34A. Cáceres
Norman Rodríguez6.921N. Rodríguez
Diego Carrasco6.93D. Carrasco
Dilan Varas6.229D. Varas
Joaquín Montecinos6.315J. Montecinos
Yonathan Rodríguez7.518Y. Rodríguez
Mario SandovalC7.216M. Sandoval
Ethan Espinoza6.330E. Espinoza
Diego Acosta6.227D. Acosta
Jorge Henríquez7.320J. Henríquez
Diego SánchezC6.913D. Sánchez
Lukas Soza6.326L. Soza
Elvis Hernández6.34E. Hernández
Benjamín Gazzolo6.72B. Gazzolo
Juan Cornejo6.616J. Cornejo
Alejandro Camargo8.28A. Camargo
Cristián Zavala6.515C. Zavala
Pablo Rodríguez6.718P. Rodríguez
Salvador Cordero6.314S. Cordero
Benjamín Chandía6.730B. Chandía
Facundo Pons5.929F. Pons

Concepción Substitutes

23Cristian Riquelme46'for D. Varas6.7
24Matías Cavalleri46'for J. Montecinos6.7
9Carlos Escobar6.6
19Aldrix Jara64'for J. Henriquez6.9
8Fernando Martinez85'for Y. Rodriguez87'6.7
12Nery Veloso
31Nicolás Fuentes
22Misael Dávila
7Fernando Romero

Coquimbo Unido Substitutes

10Guido Vadalá57'for P. Rodriguez6.5
9Nicolás Johansen57'for F. Pons6.6
11Alejandro Azócar68'for C. Zavala6.6
28Sebastián Cabrera76'for B. Chandia6.7
1Gonzalo Flores
19Joshua Arancibia
23Matías Zepeda
20Martín Mundaca
31Dixon Pereira

Match Stats

ConcepciónCoquimbo Unido
62%Ball Possession38%
6Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards5
19Total Shots5
4Shots on Goal2
14Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box2
10Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots1
11Fouls17
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
484Total Passes309
389Passes Accurate206
80%Pass Accuracy67%

Team Comparison

ConcepciónConcepción
Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido
1593Elo Rating 1649
0.69Attack 2.07
1.65Defense 2.14
27%Hit Rate 81%
8.5Shots per Game 11.6
2.8Shots on Target 5.5
3.3Corners per Game 4.0
2.6Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ConcepciónConcepción
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

ConcepciónConcepción1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido1Wins · 50%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Copa De La Liga06/06/2026
ConcepciónCoquimbo Unido
12
Primera División28/02/2026
Coquimbo UnidoConcepción
01

Referee Profile

Franco Esteban Jimenez Lazo89 matches

5.50Cards per match
4.88Yellow cards per match
0.62Red cards per match
20.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Franco Esteban Jimenez Lazo5.50
Other referees5.73

5.50 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.73).

Cards come from 26 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo27194459:30+2961WWDLD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile27156647:22+2551WLWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica27154856:37+1949WWDLW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache271241148:40+840LWWDL
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina27117943:35+840LDLWW
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido261151039:35+438WWLWL
7PalestinoPalestino271151139:38+138LLDDL
8ConcepciónConcepción271151130:30038WWLDD
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena27910840:42-237WDWLL
10NublenseNublense27981031:41-1035LLWLL
11HuachipatoHuachipato26961134:41-733LDDWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins27941432:42-1031LWDLL
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano27791128:36-830LLDDW
14CobresalCobresal27761439:50-1127LDDDW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion27751522:49-2726WLLDL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera27661524:43-1924WLWDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2759:3061
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2747:2251
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2756:3749
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2748:4040
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2743:3540
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2639:3538
7PalestinoPalestino2739:3838
8ConcepciónConcepción2730:3038
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2740:4237
10NublenseNublense2731:4135
11HuachipatoHuachipato2634:4133
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2732:4231
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2728:3630
14CobresalCobresal2739:5027
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2722:4926
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2724:4324

About the Concepción vs Coquimbo Unido forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Concepción and Coquimbo Unido in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Concepción (8th) and Coquimbo Unido (6th) are level on 38 points. League goal record so far: Concepción 30-30, Coquimbo Unido 39-35. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Concepción and Coquimbo Unido have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.