Croatia vs Ghana Prediction

Croatia
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Ghana
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia·D. Fischer 27/06/2026
CroatiaCroatia
2-1
Finished
GhanaGhana

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.18
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap-8.7%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.82
SignalSOLIDModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+9.3%
Croatia Rest
3 days
Ghana Rest
4 days

Croatia vs Ghana: the result in context

Croatia beat Ghana 2-1 in the World Cup on 27 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.82
X
25%3.20
2
14%5.50
Double Chance
1X
86%1.17
X2
39%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.10
No
49%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 1.03 = 2.57
Over 1.5
71%1.44
Over 2.5
44%2.42
Over 3.5
24%4.40
Under 1.5
29%2.70
Under 2.5
56%1.57
Under 3.5
76%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 2.5 = 8.6
Over 8.5
52%1.91
Over 9.5
43%2.19
Over 10.5
32%3.30
Under 8.5
48%1.80
Under 9.5
57%1.65
Under 10.5
68%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.5
55%2.43
Over 4.5
32%3.35
Under 3.5
45%1.48
Under 4.5
68%1.26

Match Events

31'Petar SučićAssist: Mateo Kovačić
46'Elisha Owusu INAbdul Fatawu Issahaku out
46'Jonas Adjei Adjetey INKojo Peprah Oppong out
66'Ante Budimir INIgor Matanović out
68'Ivan PerišićFoul
71'Kamaldeen Sulemana INErnest Nuamah out
71'Jordan Ayew INBrandon Thomas-Asante out
73'Derrick LuckassenAssist: Ernest Nuamah
76'Goal confirmedDerrick Luckassen
78'Mateo Kovačić INMario Pašalić out
83'Nikola VlašićAssist: Luka Modrić
85'Kwasi Sibo INCaleb Yirenkyi out
88'Martin Baturina INMarco Pašalić out
88'Nikola Vlašić INJoško Gvardiol out
90+4'Kojo Peprah OppongFoul

Lineups

Croatia
4-2-3-1Coach: Zlatko Dalic
Ghana
4-1-4-1Coach: Carlos Queiroz
Avg rating6.89
Avg rating6.51
Dominik Livaković6.51D. Livaković
Josip Stanišić6.22J. Stanišić
Josip Šutalo7.26J. Šutalo
Marin Pongračić6.63M. Pongračić
Ivan Perišić6.614I. Perišić
Luka ModrićC7.910L. Modrić
Mateo Kovačić6.98M. Kovačić
Nikola Vlašić7.313N. Vlašić
Petar Sučić8.717P. Sučić
Martin Baturina6.916M. Baturina
Ante Budimir6.011A. Budimir
Benjamin Asare5.916B. Asare
Marvin Senaya6.526M. Senaya
Jonas Adjei Adjetey6.34J. Adjei Adjetey
Derrick Luckassen7.223D. Luckassen
Gideon Mensah6.714G. Mensah
Thomas Partey6.75T. Partey
Antoine Semenyo6.311A. Semenyo
Elisha Owusu6.215E. Owusu
Kwasi Sibo6.28K. Sibo
Kamaldeen Sulemana6.522K. Sulemana
Jordan AyewC6.39J. Ayew

Croatia Substitutes

20Igor Matanović66'for Ante Budimir6.7
15Mario Pašalić78'for Mateo Kovačić6.6
4Joško Gvardiol88'for Nikola Vlašić6.9
24Marco Pašalić88'for Martin Baturina6.3
23Dominik Kotarski
12Ivor Pandur
5Duje Ćaleta-Car
22Luka Vušković
25Martin Erlić
18Kristijan Jakić
21Luka Sučić
7Nikola Moro
19Toni Fruk
9Andrej Kramarić
26Petar Musa

Ghana Substitutes

21Kojo Peprah Oppong46'for Jonas Adjei Adjetey90+4'6.2
7Abdul Fatawu Issahaku46'for Elisha Owusu6.6
10Brandon Thomas-Asante71'for Jordan Ayew6.7
24Ernest Nuamah71'for Kamaldeen Sulemana7.2
3Caleb Yirenkyi85'for Kwasi Sibo6.6
1Lawrence Ati Zigi
12Joseph Anang
2Alidu Seidu
6Abdul Mumin
17Rahman Baba
18Jerome Opoku
13Christopher Baah
19Iñaki Williams
20Augustine Boakye
25Prince Kwabena Adu

Match Stats

CroatiaGhana
53%Ball Possession47%
3Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots6
4Shots on Goal1
2Shots off Goal3
3Shots Inside Box3
5Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots2
9Fouls13
1Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves2
523Total Passes455
477Passes Accurate402
91%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

CroatiaCroatia
GhanaGhana
1731Elo Rating 1510
0.94Attack 0.70
0.00Defense 0.94
17%Hit Rate 0%
10.9Shots per Game 8.9
3.6Shots on Target 1.8
3.1Corners per Game 4.5
2.0Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+221 Elo
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CroatiaCroatia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
GhanaGhana
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)

Recent Form

CroatiaCroatia
7W1D2L
24/06/2026
PanamaCroatia
01
W
17/06/2026
EnglandCroatia
42
L
07/06/2026
CroatiaSlovenia
21
W
02/06/2026
CroatiaBelgium
02
L
17/11/2025
MontenegroCroatia
23
W
14/11/2025
CroatiaFaroe Islands
31
W
12/10/2025
CroatiaGibraltar
30
W
09/10/2025
Czech RepublicCroatia
00
D
08/09/2025
CroatiaMontenegro
40
W
05/09/2025
Faroe IslandsCroatia
01
W
GhanaGhana
6W3D1L
23/06/2026
EnglandGhana
00
D
18/06/2026
GhanaPanama
10
W
02/06/2026
WalesGhana
11
D
23/05/2026
MexicoGhana
20
L
12/10/2025
GhanaComoros
10
W
08/10/2025
Central African RepublicGhana
05
W
08/09/2025
GhanaMali
10
W
04/09/2025
ChadGhana
11
D
24/03/2025
MadagascarGhana
03
W
21/03/2025
GhanaChad
50
W

Referee Profile

D. Fischer146 matches

4.09Cards per match
3.91Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

D. Fischer4.09
Other referees4.19

4.09 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.19).

Cards come from 138 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group L

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EnglandEngland32106:2+47WDW
2CroatiaCroatia32015:506WWL
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4PanamaPanama30030:4-40LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1EnglandEngland36:27
2CroatiaCroatia35:56
3GhanaGhana32:24
4PanamaPanama30:40

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

About the Croatia vs Ghana forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Croatia and Ghana in the World Cup table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Croatia are 2nd in the World Cup, 2 points ahead of Ghana in 3rd. League goal record so far: Croatia 5-5, Ghana 2-2. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Croatia and Ghana have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.