Panama vs Croatia Prediction

Panama
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Croatia
BMO Field, Toronto·Pierre Ghislain Atcho, Gabon 24/06/2026
PanamaPanama
0-1
Finished
CroatiaCroatia

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.46
SignalHIGHModel39%SurpriseMediumGap+9.9%
Panama Rest
6 days
Croatia Rest
6 days

Panama vs Croatia: result, form and history

Croatia beat Panama 1-0 in the World Cup on 24 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%7.00
X
24%4.36
2
49%1.49
Double Chance
1X
51%2.63
X2
73%1.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.82
No
47%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.17 + 1.5 = 2.67
Over 1.5
73%1.20
Over 2.5
47%1.68
Over 3.5
26%2.65
Under 1.5
27%4.40
Under 2.5
53%2.21
Under 3.5
74%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.9 + 5.2 = 9.2
Over 8.5
53%1.70
Over 9.5
44%2.11
Over 10.5
33%2.76
Under 8.5
47%2.05
Under 9.5
56%1.66
Under 10.5
67%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.5 = 3.5
Over 3.5
54%2.45
Over 4.5
31%3.85
Under 3.5
46%1.49
Under 4.5
69%1.23

Match Events

46'P. Musa INA. Budimir out
46'J. Gvardiol INA. Kramaric out
54'A. BudimirAssist: J. Stanisic
61'Y. BarcenasRoughing
72'M. Pasalic INL. Sucic out
72'M. Kovacic INP. Sucic out
77'J. Ramos INC. Waterman out
81'L. Modric INM. Pasalic out
83'J. Fajardo INA. Londono out
90'Y. Barcenas INT. Rodriguez out
90'C. Blackman INE. Davis out
90+2'P. SucicTripping

Lineups

Panama
5-4-1Coach: Thomas Christiansen
Croatia
4-2-3-1Coach: Zlatko Dalic
Avg rating6.71
Avg rating6.65
Orlando Mosquera6.622O. Mosquera
Amir Murillo6.923A. Murillo
Jiovany Ramos6.913J. Ramos
José Córdoba6.73J. Córdoba
Andrés Andrade6.916A. Andrade
César Blackman6.92C. Blackman
Cristian Martínez6.66C. Martínez
Carlos Harvey6.214C. Harvey
Yoel BárcenasC7.011Y. Bárcenas
José Luis Rodríguez6.27J. Luis Rodríguez
José Fajardo6.917J. Fajardo
Dominik Livaković6.71D. Livaković
Josip Stanišić6.72J. Stanišić
Josip Šutalo7.26J. Šutalo
Marin Pongračić6.63M. Pongračić
Joško Gvardiol6.64J. Gvardiol
Luka ModrićC6.910L. Modrić
Mateo Kovačić6.38M. Kovačić
Marco Pašalić6.624M. Pašalić
Martin Baturina6.616M. Baturina
Ivan Perišić6.714I. Perišić
Petar Musa6.326P. Musa

Panama Substitutes

1Luis Mejía
12César Samudio
4Fidel Escobar
5Edgardo Fariña
15Éric Davis90'for C. Blackman
25Roderick Miller
26Jorge Gutiérrez
8Adalberto Carrasquilla
10Ismael Díaz
19Alberto Quintero
20Aníbal Godoy
21César Yanis
24Azarias Londoño83'for J. Fajardo
9Tomás Rodríguez90'for Y. Barcenas
18Cecilio Waterman77'for J. Ramos

Croatia Substitutes

12Ivor Pandur
23Dominik Kotarski
5Duje Ćaleta-Car
22Luka Vušković
25Martin Erlić
18Kristijan Jakić
7Nikola Moro
13Nikola Vlašić
15Mario Pašalić72'replaced by L. Sucic81'for L. Modric
17Petar Sučić72'for M. Kovacic90+2'
19Toni Fruk
21Luka Sučić72'for M. Pasalic
9Andrej Kramarić46'for J. Gvardiol
11Ante Budimir46'for P. Musa54'
20Igor Matanović

Match Stats

PanamaCroatia
42%Ball Possession58%
7Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots6
1Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal3
6Shots Inside Box4
2Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots1
19Fouls12
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves1
352Total Passes512
277Passes Accurate432
79%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

PanamaPanama
CroatiaCroatia
1584Elo Rating 1731
0.50Attack 0.94
1.81Defense 0.00
0%Hit Rate 17%
9.8Shots per Game 10.9
2.7Shots on Target 3.6
3.0Corners per Game 3.1
2.4Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

PanamaPanama
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CroatiaCroatia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

PanamaPanama
4W4D2L
18/06/2026
GhanaPanama
10
L
06/06/2026
PanamaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D
04/06/2026
PanamaDominican Republic
42
W
31/05/2026
BrazilPanama
62
L
19/11/2025
PanamaEl Salvador
30
W
14/11/2025
GuatemalaPanama
23
W
15/10/2025
PanamaSuriname
11
D
11/10/2025
El SalvadorPanama
01
W
09/09/2025
PanamaGuatemala
11
D
04/09/2025
SurinamePanama
00
D
CroatiaCroatia
7W1D2L
17/06/2026
EnglandCroatia
42
L
07/06/2026
CroatiaSlovenia
21
W
02/06/2026
CroatiaBelgium
02
L
17/11/2025
MontenegroCroatia
23
W
14/11/2025
CroatiaFaroe Islands
31
W
12/10/2025
CroatiaGibraltar
30
W
09/10/2025
Czech RepublicCroatia
00
D
08/09/2025
CroatiaMontenegro
40
W
05/09/2025
Faroe IslandsCroatia
01
W
09/06/2025
CroatiaCzech Republic
51
W

Referee Profile

Pierre Ghislain Atcho51 matches

3.52Cards per match
3.45Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
27.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Pierre Ghislain Atcho3.39
Other referees3.71

3.39 cards a match, 0.32 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.71).

Cards come from 29 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EnglandEngland32106:2+47WDW
2CroatiaCroatia32015:506WWL
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4PanamaPanama30030:4-40LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1EnglandEngland36:27
2CroatiaCroatia35:56
3GhanaGhana32:24
4PanamaPanama30:40

About the Panama vs Croatia forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Panama and Croatia in the World Cup table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Croatia are 2nd in the World Cup, 6 points ahead of Panama in 4th. League goal record so far: Panama 0-4, Croatia 5-5. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Panama and Croatia have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.