Egypt vs Iran Prediction

Egypt
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Iran
Lumen Field, Seattle·Szymon Marciniak, Poland 27/06/2026
EgyptEgypt
1-1
Finished
IranIran

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.57
SignalGOODModel10%SurpriseHighGap+10.8%
Egypt Rest
5 days
Iran Rest
5 days

Egypt vs Iran: the result in context

Egypt and Iran drew 1-1 in the World Cup on 27 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Egypt tend to win more corners, 5.2 a game to 3.1 for Iran.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.45
X
33%2.62
2
33%3.85
Double Chance
1X
67%1.25
X2
66%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.17
No
49%1.64
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.17 + 1.4 = 2.57
Over 1.5
71%1.57
Over 2.5
43%2.83
Over 3.5
23%5.50
Under 1.5
29%2.35
Under 2.5
57%1.41
Under 3.5
77%1.13
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.4 + 5.6 = 9
Over 8.5
52%2.25
Over 9.5
43%3.05
Over 10.5
33%4.20
Under 8.5
48%1.58
Under 9.5
57%1.33
Under 10.5
67%1.19
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%2.50
Over 4.5
35%3.20
Under 3.5
41%1.47
Under 4.5
65%1.29

Match Events

5'M. SaberAssist: Trezeguet
11'M. Taremi(Penalty missed)
14'R. Rezaeian
14'M. Abdelmonem INY. Ibrahim out
19'H. KanaaniTripping
20'M. SaberRoughing
42'Y. IbrahimFoul
43'A. NematiTripping
46'H. Kanaani INS. Hardani out
46'E. Ashour INO. Marmoush out
46'M. Saber INM. Attia out
57'M. Salah INZizo out
67'S. Ghoddos INS. Moghanlou out
76'M. Ziko INH. Abdelkarim out
79'S. Ezatolahi
90+1'M. Mohebi INA. Jahanbakhsh out
90+2'M. Lasheen
90+3'Goal Disallowed - offsideS. Khalilzadeh
90+4'S. KhalilzadehUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Egypt
4-2-3-1Coach: Hossam Hassan
Iran
5-4-1Coach: Amir Ghalenoei
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.77
Mostafa Shobeir7.223M. Shobeir
Mohamed Hany7.63M. Hany
Rami Rabia6.75R. Rabia
Mohamed Abdelmonem5.96M. Abdelmonem
Ahmed Fatouh6.713A. Fatouh
Mohanad Lasheen7.017M. Lasheen
Mahmoud Saber7.321M. Saber
Emam Ashour6.28E. Ashour
Mohamed SalahC6.710M. Salah
Mahmoud Trézéguet6.57M. Trézéguet
Mostafa Ziko6.311M. Ziko
Alireza Beiranvand6.61A. Beiranvand
Ramin Rezaeian6.923R. Rezaeian
Hossein Kanaani6.313H. Kanaani
Shoja Khalilzadeh6.74S. Khalilzadeh
Ali Nemati7.319A. Nemati
Milad Mohammadi7.05M. Mohammadi
Saman Ghoddos6.314S. Ghoddos
Mohammad Ghorbani6.721M. Ghorbani
Saeid Ezatolahi7.26S. Ezatolahi
Mohammad Mohebi6.58M. Mohebi
Mehdi TaremiC6.69M. Taremi

Egypt Substitutes

2Yasser Ibrahim14'for M. Abdelmonem42'7.2
19Marwan Attia46'for M. Saber7.5
22Omar Marmoush46'for E. Ashour6.6
25Zizo57'for M. Salah7.0
9Hamza Abdelkarim76'for M. Ziko6.3
1Mohamed El-Shenawy
16Mahdi Soliman
26Mohamed Alaa
15Karim Hafez
24Tarek Alaa
18Nabil Donga
12Haissem Hassan
20Ibrahim Adel

Iran Substitutes

2Saleh Hardani46'for H. Kanaani7.3
20Shahriar Moghanlou67'for S. Ghoddos6.5
7Alireza Jahanbakhsh90+1'for M. Mohebi6.9
12Payam Niazmand
22Hossein Hosseini
3Ehsan Hajsafi
25Danial Eiri
15Roozbeh Cheshmi
17Aria Yousefi
26Amirmohammad Razzaghinia
10Mehdi Ghayedi
16Mahdi Torabi
11Ali Alipour
18Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh
24Dennis Eckert Ayensa

Match Stats

EgyptIran
61%Ball Possession39%
8Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots13
3Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots3
11Fouls16
0Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
589Total Passes367
513Passes Accurate281
87%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

EgyptEgypt
IranIran
1683Elo Rating 1753
2.04Attack 0.94
2.11Defense 1.89
27%Hit Rate 0%
13.3Shots per Game 12.2
4.5Shots on Target 4.2
5.2Corners per Game 3.1
1.5Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

EgyptEgypt
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
IranIran
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

EgyptEgypt
5W2D3L
22/06/2026
New ZealandEgypt
13
W
15/06/2026
BelgiumEgypt
11
D
07/06/2026
BrazilEgypt
21
L
28/05/2026
EgyptRussia
10
W
17/01/2026
EgyptNigeria
2040
L
14/01/2026
SenegalEgypt
10
L
10/01/2026
EgyptIvory Coast
32
W
05/01/2026
EgyptBenin
3111
W
29/12/2025
AngolaEgypt
00
D
26/12/2025
EgyptSouth Africa
10
W
IranIran
6W3D1L
21/06/2026
BelgiumIran
00
D
16/06/2026
IranNew Zealand
22
D
04/06/2026
IranMali
20
W
29/05/2026
IranGambia
31
W
10/06/2025
IranNorth Korea
30
W
05/06/2025
QatarIran
10
L
25/03/2025
IranUzbekistan
22
D
20/03/2025
IranUnited Arab Emirates
20
W
19/11/2024
KyrgyzstanIran
23
W
14/11/2024
North KoreaIran
23
W

Referee Profile

Szymon Marciniak299 matches

4.24Cards per match
4.10Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Szymon Marciniak4.22
Other referees4.28

4.22 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.28).

Cards come from 271 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group G

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BelgiumBelgium31206:2+45WDD
2EgyptEgypt31205:3+25DWD
3IranIran30303:303DDD
4New ZealandNew Zealand30124:10-61LLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BelgiumBelgium36:25
2EgyptEgypt35:35
3IranIran33:33
4New ZealandNew Zealand34:101

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

About the Egypt vs Iran forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Egypt and Iran in the World Cup table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Egypt are 2nd in the World Cup, 2 points ahead of Iran in 3rd. League goal record so far: Egypt 5-3, Iran 3-3. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Egypt have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Egypt and Iran have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.