Egypt vs Iran Prediction

Egypt
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Iran
Lumen Field, Seattle· Szymon Marciniak, Poland 27/06/2026
EgyptEgypt
1-1
Finished
IranIran

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.57
SignalGOODModel10%RiskHighGap+10.8%
Egypt Rest
5 days
Iran Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.45
X
33%2.62
2
33%3.85
Double Chance
1X
67%1.25
X2
66%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.17
No
49%1.64
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.17 + 1.4 = 2.57
Over 1.5
71%1.57
Over 2.5
43%2.83
Over 3.5
23%5.50
Under 1.5
29%2.36
Under 2.5
57%1.41
Under 3.5
77%1.13
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.4 + 5.6 = 9
Over 8.5
52%2.30
Over 9.5
43%3.15
Over 10.5
33%4.45
Under 8.5
48%1.57
Under 9.5
57%1.32
Under 10.5
67%1.18
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%2.30
Over 4.5
35%3.20
Under 3.5
41%1.58
Under 4.5
65%1.29

Match Events

5'M. SaberAssist: Trezeguet
11'M. Taremi(Penalty missed)
14'R. Rezaeian
14'M. Abdelmonem INY. Ibrahim out
19'H. KanaaniTripping
20'M. SaberRoughing
42'Y. IbrahimFoul
43'A. NematiTripping
46'H. Kanaani INS. Hardani out
46'E. Ashour INO. Marmoush out
46'M. Saber INM. Attia out
57'M. Salah INZizo out
67'S. Ghoddos INS. Moghanlou out
76'M. Ziko INH. Abdelkarim out
79'S. Ezatolahi
90+1'M. Mohebi INA. Jahanbakhsh out
90+2'M. Lasheen
90+3'Goal Disallowed - offsideS. Khalilzadeh
90+4'S. KhalilzadehUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Egypt
4-2-3-1Coach: Hossam Hassan
Iran
5-4-1Coach: Amir Ghalenoei
Mostafa Shobeir23M. ShobeirMostafa Shobeir
Mohamed Hany3M. HanyMohamed Hany
Rami Rabia5R. RabiaRami Rabia
Mohamed Abdelmonem6M. AbdelmonemMohamed Abdelmonem
Ahmed Fatouh13A. FatouhAhmed Fatouh
Mohanad Lasheen17M. LasheenMohanad Lasheen
Mahmoud Saber21M. SaberMahmoud Saber
Emam Ashour8E. AshourEmam Ashour
Mohamed Salah10M. SalahMohamed Salah
Mahmoud Trézéguet7M. TrézéguetMahmoud Trézéguet
Mostafa Ziko11M. ZikoMostafa Ziko
Alireza Beiranvand1A. BeiranvandAlireza Beiranvand
Ramin Rezaeian23R. RezaeianRamin Rezaeian
Hossein Kanaani13H. KanaaniHossein Kanaani
Shoja Khalilzadeh4S. KhalilzadehShoja Khalilzadeh
Ali Nemati19A. NematiAli Nemati
Milad Mohammadi5M. MohammadiMilad Mohammadi
Saman Ghoddos14S. GhoddosSaman Ghoddos
Mohammad Ghorbani21M. GhorbaniMohammad Ghorbani
Saeid Ezatolahi6S. EzatolahiSaeid Ezatolahi
Mohammad Mohebi8M. MohebiMohammad Mohebi
Mehdi Taremi9M. TaremiMehdi Taremi

Egypt Substitutes

2Yasser IbrahimD
19Marwan AttiaM
22Omar MarmoushF
25ZizoF
9Hamza AbdelkarimF
1Mohamed El-ShenawyG
16Mahdi SolimanG
26Mohamed AlaaG
15Karim HafezD
24Tarek AlaaD
18Nabil DongaM
12Haissem HassanF
20Ibrahim AdelF

Iran Substitutes

2Saleh HardaniD
20Shahriar MoghanlouF
7Alireza JahanbakhshF
12Payam NiazmandG
22Hossein HosseiniG
3Ehsan HajsafiD
25Danial EiriD
15Roozbeh CheshmiM
17Aria YousefiD
26Amirmohammad RazzaghiniaM
10Mehdi GhayediF
16Mahdi TorabiM
11Ali AlipourF
18Amirhossein HosseinzadehF
24Dennis Eckert AyensaF

Match Stats

EgyptIran
61%Ball Possession39%
8Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots12
3Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box9
7Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots2
11Fouls16
0Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves2
587Total Passes367
512Passes Accurate281
87%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

EgyptEgypt
IranIran
1677Elo Rating 1738
1.60Attack 0.94
1.46Defense 1.89
17%Hit Rate 0%
12.6Shots per Game 12.0
3.6Shots on Target 4.2
4.9Corners per Game 3.1
2.3Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

EgyptEgypt
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
IranIran
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

EgyptEgypt
2W1D2L
22/06/2026
New ZealandEgypt
13
W
15/06/2026
BelgiumEgypt
11
D
07/06/2026
BrazilEgypt
21
L
28/05/2026
EgyptRussia
10
W
17/01/2026
EgyptNigeria
2040
L
IranIran
3W2D0L
21/06/2026
BelgiumIran
00
D
16/06/2026
IranNew Zealand
22
D
04/06/2026
IranMali
20
W
29/05/2026
IranGambia
31
W
10/06/2025
IranNorth Korea
30
W

Referee Profile

Szymon Marciniak, Poland · 14 matches analysed

4.5Avg Yellows
4.4Avg Cards
24.8Avg Fouls
Stricter than 93% of referees analysed

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group G

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BelgiumBelgium31206:2+45WDD
2EgyptEgypt31205:3+25DWD
3IranIran30303:303DDD
4New ZealandNew Zealand30124:10-61LLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BelgiumBelgium36:25
2EgyptEgypt35:35
3IranIran33:33
4New ZealandNew Zealand34:101

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

Egypt vs Iran Prediction

As a knockout-stage World Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About World Cup

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Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Egypt have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Egypt and Iran have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.