England vs Ghana Prediction

World CupWorld World · Group Stage - 2
Cup
England
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Ghana
Gillette Stadium, Boston· Said Martinez, Honduras 23/06/2026
EnglandEngland
0-0
Finished
GhanaGhana

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.57
SignalHIGHModel90%RiskMediumGap+7.8%
England Rest
6 days
Ghana Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
76%1.19
X
20%7.00
2
4%16.75
Double Chance
1X
96%1.02
X2
24%4.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.32
No
47%1.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.78 + 0.96 = 3.74
Over 1.5
75%1.16
Over 2.5
52%1.55
Over 3.5
32%2.40
Under 1.5
25%4.85
Under 2.5
48%2.41
Under 3.5
68%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.8 + 2.1 = 8.9
Over 8.5
53%1.74
Over 9.5
44%2.25
Over 10.5
33%2.98
Under 8.5
47%2.00
Under 9.5
56%1.57
Under 10.5
67%1.33
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.7 = 3.2
Over 3.5
51%2.90
Over 4.5
29%4.40
Under 3.5
49%1.38
Under 4.5
71%1.19

Match Events

41'Declan RiceFoul
60'Iñaki WilliamsFoul
65'Anthony Gordon INBukayo Saka out
66'Djed Spence INNico O'Reilly out
66'Iñaki Williams INAbdul Fatawu Issahaku out
67'Jordan Ayew INPrince Kwabena Adu out
73'Jude Bellingham INMorgan Rogers out
74'Elliot Anderson INEberechi Eze out
83'Noni Madueke INMarcus Rashford out
87'Marvin Senaya INKojo Peprah Oppong out

Extra Time

95'Prince Kwabena Adu INAbdul Rahman Baba out

Lineups

England
4-2-3-1Coach: Thomas Tuchel
Ghana
4-1-4-1Coach: Carlos Queiroz
Jordan Pickford1J. PickfordJordan Pickford
Reece James24R. JamesReece James
Ezri Konsa2E. KonsaEzri Konsa
Marc Guéhi6M. GuéhiMarc Guéhi
Djed Spence25D. SpenceDjed Spence
Elliot Anderson8E. AndersonElliot Anderson
Declan Rice4D. RiceDeclan Rice
Noni Madueke20N. MaduekeNoni Madueke
Jude Bellingham10J. BellinghamJude Bellingham
Anthony Gordon18A. GordonAnthony Gordon
Harry Kane9H. KaneHarry Kane
Benjamin Asare16B. AsareBenjamin Asare
Marvin Senaya26M. SenayaMarvin Senaya
Jonas Adjei Adjetey4J. Adjei AdjeteyJonas Adjei Adjetey
Jerome Opoku18J. OpokuJerome Opoku
Gideon Mensah14G. MensahGideon Mensah
Thomas Partey5T. ParteyThomas Partey
Iñaki Williams19I. WilliamsIñaki Williams
Caleb Yirenkyi3C. YirenkyiCaleb Yirenkyi
Kwasi Sibo8K. SiboKwasi Sibo
Antoine Semenyo11A. SemenyoAntoine Semenyo
Jordan Ayew9J. AyewJordan Ayew

England Substitutes

3Nico O'ReillyD
7Bukayo SakaF
23James TraffordG
13Dean HendersonG
5John StonesD
26Jarell QuansahD
15Dan BurnD
12Trevoh ChalobahD
14Jordan HendersonM
21Eberechi EzeM
16Kobbie MainooM
17Morgan RogersM
22Ivan ToneyF
19Ollie WatkinsF
11Marcus RashfordF

Ghana Substitutes

7Abdul Fatawu IssahakuF
25Prince Kwabena AduF
1Lawrence Ati ZigiG
12Joseph AnangG
21Kojo Peprah OppongD
23Derrick LuckassenD
2Alidu SeiduD
6Abdul MuminD
17Rahman BabaD
13Christopher BaahF
15Elisha OwusuM
10Brandon Thomas-AsanteF
20Augustine BoakyeM
22Kamaldeen SulemanaF
24Ernest NuamahF

Match Stats

EnglandGhana
79%Ball Possession21%
9Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots2
3Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal0
6Blocked Shots1
14Fouls24
2Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves3
24Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

EnglandEngland
GhanaGhana
1880Elo Rating 1562
2.82Attack 0.54
0.80Defense 2.27
58%Hit Rate 31%
13.5Shots per Game 4.8
7.2Shots on Target 0.5
3.3Corners per Game 2.0
0.7Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+318 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.74 goals
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

EnglandEngland
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GhanaGhana
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

EnglandEngland
5W0D0L
17/06/2026
EnglandCroatia
42
W
10/06/2026
EnglandCosta Rica
30
W
06/06/2026
EnglandNew Zealand
10
W
16/11/2025
AlbaniaEngland
02
W
13/11/2025
EnglandSerbia
20
W
GhanaGhana
3W1D1L
18/06/2026
GhanaPanama
10
W
02/06/2026
WalesGhana
11
D
23/05/2026
MexicoGhana
20
L
12/10/2025
GhanaComoros
10
W
08/10/2025
Central African RepublicGhana
05
W

Referee Profile

Said Martinez, Honduras · 3 matches analysed

3.5Avg Yellows
3.6Avg Cards
26.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 9% of referees analysed

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group L

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EnglandEngland32106:2+47WDW
2CroatiaCroatia32015:506WWL
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4PanamaPanama30030:4-40LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1EnglandEngland36:27
2CroatiaCroatia35:56
3GhanaGhana32:24
4PanamaPanama30:40

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0
Canada0
Morocco3
Paraguay0
France1
Brazil1
Norway2
Mexico2
England3
Portugal0
Spain1
USA1
Belgium4
Argentina3
Egypt2
Switzerland04
Colombia03
On penalties
France2
Morocco0
Spain2
Belgium1
Norway10
England11
After extra time
Argentina12
Switzerland10
After extra time
France0
Spain2
England1
Argentina2
Spain01
Argentina00
After extra time
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0

England vs Ghana Prediction

As a knockout-stage World Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. England and Ghana have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.