Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna Prediction

Cruz Azul
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Santos Laguna
Estadio Banorte, Mexico City· M. Quintero 07/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38
SignalGOODModel71%RiskMediumGap-2.3%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38
SignalGOODModel67%RiskMediumGap+7.2%
Cruz Azul Rest
8 days
Santos Laguna Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.38
X
14%5.00
2
13%6.80
Double Chance
1X
87%1.09
X2
27%2.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.60
No
45%2.18
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.08 + 0.81 = 2.89
Over 1.5
87%1.11
Over 2.5
64%1.41
Over 3.5
42%2.07
Under 1.5
13%6.00
Under 2.5
36%2.77
Under 3.5
58%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 3.3 = 10
Over 8.5
68%1.34
Over 9.5
54%1.61
Over 10.5
41%2.00
Under 8.5
32%2.83
Under 9.5
46%2.16
Under 10.5
59%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 0.9 + 1.8 = 2.7
Over 3.5
28%-
Over 4.5
14%1.78
Under 3.5
72%-
Under 4.5
86%1.92

Match Events

50'Aldo LopezFoul
61'Luka Romero INJosé Paradela out
61'Rogelio Andrés González Román INAlan Mozo out
61'L. Gómez INEsteban Lozano out
79'Nicolás Ibañez INGabriel Fernández out
79'Ángel Márquez INErik Lira out
84'Diego González INEmmanuel Echeverria out
84'Ezequiel Bullaude INEduardo Aguirre out
84'Aldo Lopez INFrancisco Villalba out
87'Kevin Palacios INRamiro Sordo out
87'Carlos Rodriguez INAndrés Montaño out
89'José ParadelaAssist: Andrés Montaño

Lineups

Cruz Azul
4-1-4-1Coach: Joel Huiqui
Santos Laguna
3-4-3Coach: Renato Paiva
K. Mier23K. MierK. Mier
R. Gonzalez55R. GonzalezR. Gonzalez
W. Ditta4W. DittaW. Ditta
J. Orozco5J. OrozcoJ. Orozco
O. Campos3O. CamposO. Campos
A. García17A. GarcíaA. García
C. Rodríguez19C. RodríguezC. Rodríguez
J. Márquez16J. MárquezJ. Márquez
A. Palavecino8A. PalavecinoA. Palavecino
L. Romero18L. RomeroL. Romero
N. Ibáñez7N. IbáñezN. Ibáñez
C. Acevedo1C. AcevedoC. Acevedo
Jonathan Pérez28J. PérezJonathan Pérez
Felipe Sánchez25F. SánchezFelipe Sánchez
E. Orona14E. OronaE. Orona
M. Cuevas3M. CuevasM. Cuevas
S. Mariscal8S. MariscalS. Mariscal
A. López5A. LópezA. López
Luis Gómez193L. GómezLuis Gómez
K. Palacios77K. PalaciosK. Palacios
E. Bullaude10E. BullaudeE. Bullaude
D. González7D. GonzálezD. González

Cruz Azul Substitutes

20J. ParadelaF
22J. RodarteD
2A. MozoD
33G. PioviD
11C. EbereF
21G. FernándezF
1A. GudiñoG
6É. LiraM
10A. MontañoM
12A. MontesD

Santos Laguna Substitutes

4J. AbellaD
17E. EcheverríaD
6J. GüémezM
33H. HolguínG
20E. LozanoF
24D. MedinaM
18F. PardoD
26R. SordoM
21Fran VillalbaM
19E. AguirreF

Match Stats

Cruz AzulSantos Laguna
62%Ball Possession38%
8Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots8
5Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box3
8Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots3
8Fouls9
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves6
578Total Passes364
511Passes Accurate302
88%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Cruz AzulCruz Azul
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
1764Elo Rating 1479
1.61Attack 0.87
1.33Defense 1.86
59%Hit Rate 27%
14.6Shots per Game 14.1
5.4Shots on Target 4.1
7.8Corners per Game 8.4
2.7Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+285 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Cruz AzulCruz Azul
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Cruz Azul 86%Draw 0%14% Santos Laguna
2.9Avg Goals
50%BTTS Rate
64%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Referee Profile

M. Quintero · 22 matches analysed

4.1Avg Yellows
4.2Avg Cards
24.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 30% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TolucaToluca861118:6+1219WWWWD
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas953117:8+918DWWDW
3Club AmericaClub America852117:8+917DLWWW
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul950416:15+115LWWWL
5PueblaPuebla942311:11014DLWLW
6AtlasAtlas942313:15-214DLDLW
7MonterreyMonterrey841314:10+413WDLLW
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro741210:7+313WWLDW
9Club LeonClub Leon841311:9+213WWDLW
10Club TijuanaClub Tijuana741210:8+213LWLWD
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas933312:13-112DLWLD
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca832313:8+511WWDDL
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis923411:16-59WLLWD
14Atlante FCAtlante FC91538:13-58DLDDL
15NecaxaNecaxa922510:16-68LLDLD
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL91449:13-47LDDDW
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna81166:13-74WLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez91086:23-173WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TolucaToluca818:619
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas917:818
3Club AmericaClub America817:817
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul916:1515
5PueblaPuebla911:1114
6AtlasAtlas913:1514
7MonterreyMonterrey814:1013
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro710:713
9Club LeonClub Leon811:913
10Club TijuanaClub Tijuana710:813
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas912:1312
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca813:811
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis911:169
14Atlante FCAtlante FC98:138
15NecaxaNecaxa910:168
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL99:137
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna86:134
18FC JuarezFC Juarez96:233
Promotion

Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga MX fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga MX

ScorePredicts covers Mexico football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Cruz Azul and Santos Laguna have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.9 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.