Puebla vs Santos Laguna Prediction

Puebla
3-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Santos Laguna
Estadio Cuauhtemoc, Puebla·Daniel Quintero Huitrón, Mexico 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.57
SignalNEUTRALModel42%SurpriseHighGap-2.8%
Puebla Rest
4 days
Santos Laguna Rest
5 days

Puebla vs Santos Laguna: the result in context

Puebla beat Santos Laguna 3-2 in the Liga MX on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Santos Laguna tend to win more corners, 6.6 a game to 4.3 for Puebla.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.08
X
25%3.56
2
37%3.21
Double Chance
1X
63%1.32
X2
61%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.57
No
39%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.36 = 2.68
Over 1.5
76%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.69
Over 3.5
33%2.59
Under 1.5
24%4.30
Under 2.5
44%2.15
Under 3.5
67%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.1 = 9.1
Over 8.5
55%1.33
Over 9.5
40%1.57
Over 10.5
29%1.96
Under 8.5
45%2.85
Under 9.5
60%2.22
Under 10.5
71%1.80
Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'F. AlmadaOG
9'E. MustreAssist: C. Baltazar
46'D. Gonzalez INR. Sordo out
51'E. BullaudeAssist: F. Villalba
54'E. MustreAssist: J. Vargas
62'C. BaltazarAssist: B. Garnica
67'E. Aguirre INK. Palacios out
67'E. Echeverria INK. Picon out
74'C. Baltazar INO. Villa out
80'A. Lopez INJ. Mancha out
80'B. Garnica INLucas Camilo out
89'A. Organista INS. Sanabria out
89'F. Monarrez INJ. R. Pachuca Martinez out
89'E. Mustre INL. Hernandez out
90+1'K. PiconFoul

Lineups

Puebla
4-4-1-1Coach: Gerardo Espinoza
Santos Laguna
4-2-3-1Coach: Paiva Renato
Avg rating6.98
Avg rating6.63
Daniel Gutierrez6.528D. Gutierrez
Iker Moreno6.712I. Moreno
Facundo Almada6.05F. Almada
Juan Pablo VargasC6.94J. Pablo Vargas
Fernando Monarrez6.37F. Monarrez
Brayan Garnica7.027B. Garnica
Alejandro Organista7.024A. Organista
Alonso Ramirez6.616A. Ramirez
Carlos Baltazar7.722C. Baltazar
Kevin Velasco8.326K. Velasco
Eduardo Mustre8.729E. Mustre
Carlos Acevedo6.91C. Acevedo
Mauricio Cuevas6.03M. Cuevas
Franco PardoC6.918F. Pardo
Felipe Sánchez6.725F. Sánchez
Emmanuel Echeverría5.717E. Echeverría
Salvador Mariscal7.28S. Mariscal
Aldo Lopez Vargas6.65A. Lopez Vargas
Diego González6.27D. González
Fran Villalba6.921F. Villalba
Ezequiel Bullaude6.910E. Bullaude
Eduardo Aguirre6.719E. Aguirre

Puebla Substitutes

15Óscar Villa74'for C. Baltazar6.7
34Lucas Camilo80'for B. Garnica6.3
20Jose Pachuca89'for F. Monarrez
21Sergio Sanabria89'for A. Organista
9Luifer Hernández89'for E. Mustre
33Jesús Rodríguez
2Angel Leyva
3Alberto Herrera
10Mathías Tomás
8Omar Moreno

Santos Laguna Substitutes

26Ramiro Sordo46'for D. Gonzalez6.9
22Kevin Picon67'for E. Echeverria90+1'6.6
77Kevin Palacios67'for E. Aguirre6.6
15Joshua Mancha80'for A. Lopez6.7
33Hector Holguin
14Efrain Orona
4José Abella
28Jonathan Pérez
6Javier Güemez
188Magnus López

Match Stats

PueblaSantos Laguna
38%Ball Possession62%
6Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots6
7Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box3
9Shots Outside Box3
0Blocked Shots1
11Fouls8
4Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves4
327Total Passes539
277Passes Accurate483
85%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

PueblaPuebla
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
1471Elo Rating 1600
1.29Attack 2.00
0.62Defense 1.94
0%Hit Rate 77%
13.4Shots per Game 10.8
4.7Shots on Target 3.8
4.3Corners per Game 6.6
1.4Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

PueblaPuebla
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PueblaPuebla4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna4Wins · 40%
2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX23/03/2026
Santos LagunaPuebla
21
Liga MX26/07/2025
PueblaSantos Laguna
10
Liga MX03/02/2025
Santos LagunaPuebla
02
Liga MX06/07/2024
PueblaSantos Laguna
10
Liga MX31/01/2024
Santos LagunaPuebla
30
Liga MX08/07/2023
PueblaSantos Laguna
23
Liga MX27/02/2023
Santos LagunaPuebla
32
Liga MX09/07/2022
PueblaSantos Laguna
10
Liga MX19/03/2022
PueblaSantos Laguna
22
Liga MX20/09/2021
Santos LagunaPuebla
11

Recent Form

PueblaPuebla
4W1D5L
18/08/2026
CF PachucaPuebla
23
W
13/08/2026
San DiegoPuebla
32
L
10/08/2026
AustinPuebla
30
L
07/08/2026
Portland TimbersPuebla
52
L
01/08/2026
PueblaGuadalajara Chivas
11
D
22/07/2026
Cruz AzulPuebla
21
L
18/07/2026
FC JuarezPuebla
01
W
10/07/2026
AtlasPuebla
34
W
04/07/2026
CF PachucaPuebla
31
L
01/07/2026
PueblaTlaxcala
31
W
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
3W0D7L
17/08/2026
Santos LagunaGuadalajara Chivas
01
L
14/08/2026
Philadelphia UnionSantos Laguna
02
W
10/08/2026
Chicago FireSantos Laguna
31
L
07/08/2026
New York City FCSantos Laguna
20
L
03/08/2026
Club AmericaSantos Laguna
30
L
26/07/2026
Santos LagunaAtlas
01
L
19/07/2026
MonterreySantos Laguna
32
L
10/07/2026
Santos LagunaAmerica de Cali
01
L
28/06/2026
NY CosmosSantos Laguna
12
W
24/06/2026
Annapolis BluesSantos Laguna
02
W

Referee Profile

Daniel Quintero Huitrón29 matches

4.45Cards per match
4.14Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Daniel Quintero Huitrón4.45
Other referees4.71

4.45 cards a match, 0.26 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.71).

Cards come from 29 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul16102437:26+1132WWWWW
2Club AmericaClub America1686238:23+1530DDDLW
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1686226:15+1130DWWWD
4TolucaToluca1676335:21+1427WDDDD
5AtlasAtlas1683527:30-327LWWLW
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1681723:20+325WWLWW
7LeonLeon1665523:21+223DLDWL
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1664629:20+922WWWLL
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1657425:22+322LDDWD
10MonterreyMonterrey1563626:25+121LDLWW
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1656524:26-221DWDLW
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1562718:23-520LLLLL
13PueblaPuebla1654719:23-419WLLLD
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1654719:24-519LLWWD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1636717:25-815LLDLD
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1635816:26-1014LLLWL
17NecaxaNecaxa1634917:28-1113WLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez16321113:34-2111WWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul1637:2632
2Club AmericaClub America1638:2330
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1626:1530
4TolucaToluca1635:2127
5AtlasAtlas1627:3027
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1623:2025
7LeonLeon1623:2123
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1629:2022
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1625:2222
10MonterreyMonterrey1526:2521
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1624:2621
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1518:2320
13PueblaPuebla1619:2319
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1619:2419
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1617:2515
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1616:2614
17NecaxaNecaxa1617:2813
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1613:3411
Promotion

About the Puebla vs Santos Laguna forecast

The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Puebla and Santos Laguna in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Santos Laguna are 6th and Puebla 13th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Puebla 19-23, Santos Laguna 23-20. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.