Necaxa vs Cruz Azul Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 6
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Necaxa vs Cruz Azul: the result in context
Cruz Azul beat Necaxa 3-1 in the Liga MX on 29 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas averages 5.19 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Necaxa
Avg ratingAvg rating
12L. Jimenez
5K. Naves
C4A. Peña
3A. Oliveros
13O. González
21M. Espíndola
6D. Leyva
8L. Faravelli
88C. Vargas
9J. Carranza
10J. Ruiz
23K. Mier
16J. Márquez
4W. Ditta
5J. Orozco
3O. Campos
17A. Garcia
8A. Palavecino
20J. Paradela
C19C. Rodríguez
55R. González
7N. IbáñezNecaxa Substitutes
Cruz Azul Substitutes
Match Stats
NecaxaCruz Azul Team Comparison
NecaxaCruz AzulAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Necaxa- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Cruz Azul- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Necaxa2Wins · 20%5Wins · 50%Previous meetings
27/04/2026Cruz AzulNecaxa22/10/2025NecaxaCruz Azul29/01/2025NecaxaCruz Azul06/10/2024Cruz AzulNecaxa17/03/2024Cruz AzulNecaxa05/10/2023NecaxaCruz Azul22/01/2023NecaxaCruz Azul
13/12/2022Cruz AzulNecaxa31/07/2022Cruz AzulNecaxa08/05/2022Cruz AzulNecaxaRecent Form
Necaxa
U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxaNecaxa
Leon
New York City FCNecaxa
Philadelphia UnionNecaxa
Chicago FireNecaxa
TolucaNecaxaNecaxa
MonterreyNecaxa
Atlante FC
AtlasNecaxa
Correcaminos UatNecaxaCruz AzulCruz AzulAtlas
Club TijuanaCruz AzulCruz AzulChicago FireCruz AzulNew York City FCCruz AzulPhiladelphia UnionCruz AzulAtlante FCTolucaCruz AzulCruz Azul
Puebla
Atletico San LuisCruz Azul
MonarcasCruz AzulReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.19 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.69).
Cards come from 36 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37:26 | +11 | 32 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Club America | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38:23 | +15 | 30 | DDDLW |
| 3 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:15 | +11 | 30 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 35:21 | +14 | 27 | WDDDD |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27:30 | -3 | 27 | LWWLW |
| 6 |  Santos Laguna | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:20 | +3 | 25 | WWLWW |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 23 | DLDWL |
| 8 |  CF Pachuca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29:20 | +9 | 22 | WWWLL |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25:22 | +3 | 22 | LDDWD |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | +1 | 21 | LDLWW |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:26 | -2 | 21 | DWDLW |
| 12 |  Club Queretaro | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 | WLLLD |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 19 | LLWWD |
| 15 |  Tigres UANL | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 14 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13:34 | -21 | 11 | WWDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 37:26 | 32 |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 38:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 26:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 35:21 | 27 |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 27:30 | 27 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 29:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 25:22 | 22 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 19:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 17:25 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 16:26 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 13:34 | 11 |
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About the Necaxa vs Cruz Azul forecast
The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Necaxa and Cruz Azul in the Liga MX table
The table shows a wide gap: Cruz Azul are 1st in the Liga MX, while Necaxa sit 17th, 19 points behind. League goal record so far: Necaxa 17-28, Cruz Azul 37-26. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.