Cruz Azul vs Atlas Prediction

Cruz Azul
0-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Atlas
Estadio Banorte, Mexico City· Guillermo Pacheco Larios, Mexico 23/08/2026
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
0-2
Finished
AtlasAtlas

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.77
SignalGOODModel60%RiskMediumGap+6.0%
Cruz Azul Rest
6 days
Atlas Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.56
X
23%4.05
2
15%5.51
Double Chance
1X
85%1.11
X2
38%2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.79
No
44%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 2 + 0.81 = 2.81
Over 1.5
76%1.22
Over 2.5
59%1.77
Over 3.5
35%2.81
Under 1.5
24%3.90
Under 2.5
41%2.04
Under 3.5
65%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 3.7 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.47
Over 9.5
53%1.77
Over 10.5
39%2.27
Under 8.5
34%2.52
Under 9.5
47%1.95
Under 10.5
61%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.8 = 4.9
Over 3.5
69%1.31
Over 4.5
52%1.73
Under 3.5
31%2.82
Under 4.5
48%2.00

Match Events

30'E. ZaldivarAssist: Duk
45'F. Monzon
46'C. Ebere INL. Romero out
46'A. Montano INA. Garcia out
65'L. EstevesFoul
68'A. Gonzalez INGustavo Ferrareis out
68'Duk INV. H. Rios De Alba out
69'J. Marquez INR. Gonzalez out
75'C. Rodriguez ING. Fernandez out
78'E. Zaldivar INS. Hernandez out
85'O. Campos INI. Silva out
88'M. Valenzuela INJ. Rodriguez out
89'L. Esteves INJ. Serrato out

Lineups

Cruz Azul
5-3-2Coach: Joel Huiqui
Atlas
4-2-3-1Coach: Hernan Crespo
Kevin Mier23K. MierKevin Mier
Jeremy Márquez16J. MárquezJeremy Márquez
Willer Ditta4W. DittaWiller Ditta
José Paradela20J. ParadelaJosé Paradela
Jesús Orozco5J. OrozcoJesús Orozco
Omar Campos3O. CamposOmar Campos
Agustín Palavecino8A. PalavecinoAgustín Palavecino
Andres Montaño10A. MontañoAndres Montaño
Carlos Rodríguez19C. RodríguezCarlos Rodríguez
Nicolás Ibáñez7N. IbáñezNicolás Ibáñez
Osinachi Ebere11O. EbereOsinachi Ebere
Camilo Vargas12C. VargasCamilo Vargas
Gaddi Aguirre13G. AguirreGaddi Aguirre
Manuel Capasso28M. CapassoManuel Capasso
Rodrigo Schlegel21R. SchlegelRodrigo Schlegel
Milton Valenzuela16M. ValenzuelaMilton Valenzuela
Edgar Zaldívar6E. ZaldívarEdgar Zaldívar
Paulo Ramírez15P. RamírezPaulo Ramírez
Duk11DukDuk
Arturo González58A. GonzálezArturo González
Luís Esteves10L. EstevesLuís Esteves
Florián Monzón9F. MonzónFlorián Monzón

Cruz Azul Substitutes

17Amaury GarciaM
18Luka RomeroF
55Rogelio GonzálezM
21Gabriel FernándezF
70Ivan SilvaM
1Andrés GudiñoG
196Ian RamírezM
49Josué DíazD
12Alan MontesD
213Jeyson DuranM

Atlas Substitutes

2Gustavo FerrareisF
27Victor RiosM
23Sergio HernandezM
5Jorge RodríguezD
192Jesús SerratoM
22Antonio SánchezG
17Jose LozanoD
4Adrián MoraD
203Jose MartinF
251Luis GamboaF

Match Stats

Cruz AzulAtlas
52%Ball Possession48%
9Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards1
24Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal5
12Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box7
15Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots2
7Fouls11
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves5
442Total Passes426
356Passes Accurate336
81%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

Cruz AzulCruz Azul
AtlasAtlas
1764Elo Rating 1581
1.61Attack 1.58
1.33Defense 0.70
59%Hit Rate 31%
14.6Shots per Game 12.0
5.4Shots on Target 3.1
7.8Corners per Game 5.0
2.7Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+183 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend54% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Cruz AzulCruz Azul
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AtlasAtlas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Cruz Azul 69%Draw 31%0% Atlas
3.08Avg Goals
54%BTTS Rate
39%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Guillermo Pacheco Larios, Mexico · 19 matches analysed

4.0Avg Yellows
4.4Avg Cards
22.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 28% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TolucaToluca961220:9+1119LWWWW
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas953117:8+918DWWDW
3Club AmericaClub America852117:8+917DLWWW
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul950416:15+115LWWWL
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro842211:8+314DWWLD
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana842212:10+214DLWLW
7LeonLeon942312:10+214DWLDW
8PueblaPuebla942311:11014DLWLW
9AtlasAtlas942313:15-214DLDLW
10MonterreyMonterrey841314:10+413WDLLW
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca933315:10+512DWWDD
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas933312:13-112DLWLD
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis923411:16-59WLLWD
14Atlante FCAtlante FC91538:13-58DLDDL
15NecaxaNecaxa922510:16-68LLDLD
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL91449:13-47LDDDW
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna92169:15-67WWLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez91086:23-173WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TolucaToluca920:919
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas917:818
3Club AmericaClub America817:817
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul916:1515
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro811:814
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana812:1014
7LeonLeon912:1014
8PueblaPuebla911:1114
9AtlasAtlas913:1514
10MonterreyMonterrey814:1013
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca915:1012
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas912:1312
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis911:169
14Atlante FCAtlante FC98:138
15NecaxaNecaxa910:168
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL99:137
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna99:157
18FC JuarezFC Juarez96:233
Promotion

Cruz Azul vs Atlas Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga MX fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga MX

ScorePredicts covers Mexico football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Cruz Azul and Atlas have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.08 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.