Cruz Azul vs Atlas Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.77
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+6.0%
Cruz Azul Rest
6 days
Atlas Rest
6 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
162%1.56
X23%4.05
215%5.51
Double Chance
1X85%1.11
X238%2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.79
No44%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 2 + 0.81 = 2.81
Over 1.576%1.22
Over 2.559%1.77
Over 3.535%2.81
Under 1.524%3.90
Under 2.541%2.04
Under 3.565%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 3.7 = 10.1
Over 8.566%1.47
Over 9.553%1.77
Over 10.539%2.27
Under 8.534%2.52
Under 9.547%1.95
Under 10.561%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.8 = 4.9
Over 3.569%1.31
Over 4.552%1.73
Under 3.531%2.82
Under 4.548%2.00
Match Events
30'E. ZaldivarAssist: Duk
45'F. Monzon
46'C. Ebere INL. Romero out
46'A. Montano INA. Garcia out
65'L. EstevesFoul
68'A. Gonzalez INGustavo Ferrareis out
68'Duk INV. H. Rios De Alba out
69'J. Marquez INR. Gonzalez out
75'C. Rodriguez ING. Fernandez out
78'E. Zaldivar INS. Hernandez out
85'O. Campos INI. Silva out
88'M. Valenzuela INJ. Rodriguez out
89'L. Esteves INJ. Serrato out
Lineups
Cruz AzulAtlas
4-2-3-1Coach: Hernan CrespoAvg ratingAvg rating
23K. Mier
16J. Márquez
4W. Ditta
20J. Paradela
5J. Orozco
3O. Campos
8A. Palavecino
10A. Montaño
C19C. Rodríguez
7N. Ibáñez
11O. Ebere
C12C. Vargas
13G. Aguirre
28M. Capasso
21R. Schlegel
16M. Valenzuela
6E. Zaldívar
15P. Ramírez
11Duk
58A. González
10L. Esteves
9F. MonzónCruz Azul Substitutes
17Amaury Garcia46'for A. Montano
18Luka Romero46'for C. Ebere
55Rogelio González69'for J. Marquez
21Gabriel Fernández75'for C. Rodriguez
70Ivan Silva
1Andrés Gudiño
196Ian Ramírez
49Josué Díaz
12Alan Montes
213Jeyson Duran
Atlas Substitutes
2Gustavo Ferrareis68'for A. Gonzalez
27Victor Rios68'for Duk
23Sergio Hernandez78'for E. Zaldivar
5Jorge Rodríguez88'for M. Valenzuela
192Jesús Serrato89'for L. Esteves
22Antonio Sánchez
17Jose Lozano
4Adrián Mora
203Jose Martin
251Luis Gamboa
Match Stats
Cruz AzulAtlas 52%Ball Possession48%
9Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards1
24Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal5
12Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box7
15Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots2
7Fouls11
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves5
442Total Passes426
356Passes Accurate336
81%Pass Accuracy79%
Team Comparison
Cruz AzulAtlas1790Elo Rating 1632
2.87Attack 2.05
1.88Defense 1.20
86%Hit Rate 66%
15.9Shots per Game 13.7
6.3Shots on Target 3.9
5.2Corners per Game 6.4
2.2Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+158 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Cruz Azul- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Atlas- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Cruz Azul4Wins · 40%Draws440%
Atlas2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
10/05/2026Cruz AzulAtlas10
03/05/2026AtlasCruz Azul23
15/01/2026Cruz AzulAtlas20
20/07/2025AtlasCruz Azul33
12/01/2025Cruz AzulAtlas11
07/11/2024AtlasCruz Azul22
22/04/2024Cruz AzulAtlas22
02/07/2023AtlasCruz Azul20
07/05/2023Cruz AzulAtlas01
23/02/2023Cruz AzulAtlas10
Recent Form
Cruz Azul6W1D3L
17/08/2026
Club TijuanaCruz AzulCruz Azul
New York City FCCruz Azul
Philadelphia UnionCruz Azul
Atlante FC
Atletico San LuisCruz Azul
Club TijuanaCruz Azul21
L14/08/2026Cruz Azul
Chicago Fire
10/08/2026Cruz AzulChicago Fire12
LCruz AzulNew York City FC21
W07/08/2026Cruz AzulPhiladelphia Union10
W02/08/2026Cruz AzulAtlante FC23
L26/07/2026
TolucaCruz Azul
TolucaCruz Azul13
W22/07/2026Cruz Azul
Puebla
18/07/2026Cruz AzulPuebla21
WAtletico San LuisCruz Azul23
W05/07/2026
MonarcasCruz Azul
MonarcasCruz Azul33
D25/05/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCruz Azul
U.N.A.M. - PumasCruz Azul12
WAtlas4W1D5L
16/08/2026Atlas
Tigres UANL
CharlotteAtlasAtlas
Monterrey
Santos LagunaAtlas
LeonAtlas
AtlasTigres UANL21
W12/08/2026
FC CincinnatiAtlas
08/08/2026FC CincinnatiAtlas12
WCharlotteAtlas20
L05/08/2026
Columbus CrewAtlas
02/08/2026Columbus CrewAtlas31
LAtlasMonterrey02
L26/07/2026Santos LagunaAtlas01
W18/07/2026LeonAtlas23
W10/07/2026AtlasPuebla
AtlasPuebla34
L04/07/2026Atlas
Necaxa
AtlasNecaxa00
D01/07/2026AtlasAtletico San Luis
AtlasAtletico San Luis01
LReferee Profile
4.76Cards per match
4.37Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
20.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.76 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.75).
Cards come from 63 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37:26 | +11 | 32 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Club America | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38:23 | +15 | 30 | DDDLW |
| 3 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:15 | +11 | 30 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 35:21 | +14 | 27 | WDDDD |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27:30 | -3 | 27 | LWWLW |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:20 | +3 | 25 | WWLWW |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 23 | DLDWL |
| 8 |  CF Pachuca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29:20 | +9 | 22 | WWWLL |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25:22 | +3 | 22 | LDDWD |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | +1 | 21 | LDLWW |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:26 | -2 | 21 | DWDLW |
| 12 |  Club Queretaro | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 | WLLLD |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 19 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 14 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13:34 | -21 | 11 | WWDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 37:26 | 32 |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 38:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 26:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 35:21 | 27 |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 27:30 | 27 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 29:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 25:22 | 22 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 19:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 17:25 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 16:26 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 13:34 | 11 |
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About the Cruz Azul vs Atlas forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Cruz Azul and Atlas in the Liga MX table
In the Liga MX table, Cruz Azul are 1st and Atlas 5th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Cruz Azul 37-26, Atlas 27-30. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.