CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia Prediction

CSKA 1948
2-3
Finished
HT 0-2
CSKA Sofia
Bistritsa Stadium, Bistritsa·Lyuboslav Lyubomirov 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.22
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-10.4%
CSKA 1948 Rest
23 days
CSKA Sofia Rest
21 days

CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia: the result in context

CSKA Sofia beat CSKA 1948 3-2 in the First League on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

CSKA Sofia have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. CSKA Sofia tend to win more corners, 6.4 a game to 4.1 for CSKA 1948.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.80
X
29%3.38
2
43%1.92
Double Chance
1X
58%1.82
X2
72%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 1.25 = 2.47
Over 1.5
73%1.29
Over 2.5
48%1.93
Over 3.5
29%3.25
Under 1.5
27%3.40
Under 2.5
52%1.83
Under 3.5
71%1.32
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'Bruno JordãoAssist: Stefano Sensi
28'Hector Cuellar
28'Ioannis PittasAssist: Leonardo Augusto dos Santos Pereira
34'Stefano Sensi
46'Ángelo Martino INAndrey Yordanov out
46'Mamadou Diallo INAtanas Iliev out
48'Dragan Grivić
56'Elias Correa Franco
56'Fedor·Lapoukhov
63'Elias Correa Franco
68'Atanas Iliev
70'Stefano Sensi
70'Ioannis Pittas INCătălin Itu out
71'Joel·Zwarts INSantiago Godoy out
73'
73'Dragan Grivić INdanilo terasenko out
75'Bruno Jordão
84'Moataz Zemzemi INPetar Vitanov out
86'Max Ebong INJames Eto'o out
90'Bruno Jordão
90+1'Elias Correa Franco INFlorian Krebs out
90+2'Leonardo Augusto dos Santos Pereira INIsaac Solet Bomawoko out
90+3'Stefano Sensi

Lineups

CSKA 1948
4-2-3-1Coach: Ognyan Mladenov
CSKA Sofia
4-4-2Coach: Markus Gisdol
A. Bozhev31A. Bozhev
Emerson6Emerson
L. Dvali3L. Dvali
A. Hoffmann4A. Hoffmann
D. Grivić96D. Grivić
M. Zemzemi8M. Zemzemi
H. Cuellar33H. Cuellar
G. Rusev11G. Rusev
J. Meyer30J. Meyer
Elias Franco77E. Franco
M. Diallo93M. Diallo
F. Lapoukhov21F. Lapoukhov
Pastor2Pastor
T. Ivanov14T. Ivanov
Facundo Santiago Rodríguez32F. Santiago Rodríguez
Á. Martino17Á. Martino
M. Ebong7M. Ebong
Bruno Jordão6B. Jordão
S. Sensi8S. Sensi
Léo Pereira38L. Pereira
J. Zwarts10J. Zwarts
I. Pittas28I. Pittas

CSKA 1948 Substitutes

7Berna
9A. Iliev46'for Mamadou Diallo68'
70K. Iliev
23F. Krebs90+1'for Elias Correa Franco
1P. Marinov
14K. Strinski
71danilo terasenko73'replaced by Dragan Grivić
10B. Tsonev
34P. Vitanov84'for Moataz Zemzemi

CSKA Sofia Substitutes

11M. Brahimi
4Dinis Almeida
37B. Cotter
99J. Eto'o86'for Max Ebong
25D. Evtimov
9S. Godoy71'for Joel·Zwarts
67C. Itu70'for Ioannis Pittas
30P. Panayotov
94I. Solet Bomawoko90+2'for Leonardo Augusto dos Santos Pereira
91A. Tunchev
19A. Yordanov46'for Ángelo Martino

Match Stats

CSKA 1948CSKA Sofia
36%Ball Possession64%
1Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
11Total Shots18
8Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal11
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
1665Elo Rating 1688
3.00Attack 1.83
2.11Defense 1.60
81%Hit Rate 39%
13.1Shots per Game 17.5
6.5Shots on Target 5.9
4.1Corners per Game 6.4
2.2Cards per Game 3.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.9 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CSKA 1948CSKA 19482Wins · 20%
Draws220%
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia6Wins · 60%
2.3Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

First League13/05/2026
CSKA SofiaCSKA 1948
11
First League08/05/2026
CSKA 1948CSKA Sofia
01
First League14/02/2026
CSKA 1948CSKA Sofia
02
Cup10/02/2026
CSKA SofiaCSKA 1948
20
First League24/08/2025
CSKA SofiaCSKA 1948
01
First League07/12/2024
CSKA SofiaCSKA 1948
22
First League07/11/2024
CSKA 1948CSKA Sofia
13
First League31/05/2024
CSKA SofiaCSKA 1948
02
First League09/03/2024
CSKA 1948CSKA Sofia
12
First League17/09/2023
CSKA SofiaCSKA 1948
20

Referee Profile

Lyuboslav Lyubomirov81 matches

4.54Cards per match
4.31Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
21.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lyuboslav Lyubomirov4.54
Other referees4.72

4.54 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.72).

Cards come from 13 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1091023:4+1928WDWWW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1183027:9+1827WDWWD
3LudogoretsLudogorets1082021:7+1426WWWDD
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481281325:13+1225WLWWL
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1261517:18-119LWWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1152415:17-217LDLLW
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1134411:15-413WLDDD
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia112549:9011LLDWL
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa112369:20-119LDDWL
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1122713:21-88WDLLD
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv112276:14-88DDLWL
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1115512:19-78DWLDL
13Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1122710:21-118LLLLD
14Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1113711:22-116LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1023:428
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1127:927
3LudogoretsLudogorets1021:726
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481225:1325
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1217:1819
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1115:1717
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1111:1513
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia119:911
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa119:209
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1113:218
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv116:148
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1112:198
13Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1110:218
14Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1111:226
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

CSKA 1948 and CSKA Sofia in the First League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: CSKA Sofia are 2nd in the First League, 2 points ahead of CSKA 1948 in 4th. League goal record so far: CSKA 1948 25-13, CSKA Sofia 27-9. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

CSKA 1948 have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.