CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction

CSKA Sofia
4-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Arda Kardzhali
National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+5.9%
CSKA Sofia Rest
3 days
Arda Kardzhali Rest
8 days

CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali: result, form and history

CSKA Sofia beat Arda Kardzhali 4-1 in the First League on 12 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Arda Kardzhali had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for CSKA Sofia.

CSKA Sofia have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game. CSKA Sofia tend to win more corners, 6.2 a game to 3.4 for Arda Kardzhali.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.75
X
23%3.30
2
15%4.75
Double Chance
1X
85%1.17
X2
38%1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.91
No
49%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.71 + 0.91 = 2.62
Over 1.5
74%1.32
Over 2.5
48%2.02
Over 3.5
27%3.50
Under 1.5
26%3.10
Under 2.5
52%1.74
Under 3.5
73%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'Birsent Karagaren
34'Dominik Yankov
41'Stefano Sensi(Penalty)
42'Vyacheslav Velev
45'Jean-Philippe Gbamin
46'Cătălin Itu INLeonardo Augusto dos Santos Pereira out
46'Dominik Yankov INAdama Ardile Traore out
48'Leonardo Augusto dos Santos Pereira
53'Joel·Zwarts
66'Stefano Sensi INpetko panayotov out
66'James Eto'o INmohamed brahimi out
66'Birsent Karagaren INAtanas Kabov out
66'Georgi Nikolaev Nikolov INPreslav·Bachev out
71'Joel·Zwarts INSantiago Godoy out
72'Ioannis Pittas(Penalty)
82'David Samuel Custódio Lima INBarry Cotter out
85'
86'
89'Viktor Popov INDimitar Velkovski out
90+3'

Lineups

CSKA Sofia
4-1-2-1-2Coach: Daniel Morales
Arda Kardzhali
4-1-4-1Coach: A. Tunchev
F. Lapoukhov21F. Lapoukhov
A. Yordanov19A. Yordanov
J. Gbamin5J. Gbamin
T. Ivanov14T. Ivanov
Pastor2Pastor
Bruno Jordão6B. Jordão
S. Sensi8S. Sensi
J. Eto'o99J. Eto'o
C. Itu67C. Itu
I. Pittas28I. Pittas
J. Zwarts10J. Zwarts
A. Gospodinov1A. Gospodinov
V. Popov6V. Popov
M. Paskalev24M. Paskalev
V. Lyubenov5V. Lyubenov
V. Velev21V. Velev
L. Kotev80L. Kotev
S. Kovachev10S. Kovachev
S. Ivanov91S. Ivanov
D. Yankov8D. Yankov
B. Karagaren99B. Karagaren
G. Nikolov9G. Nikolov

CSKA Sofia Substitutes

30P. Panayotov66'for Stefano Sensi
32Facundo Santiago Rodríguez
94I. Solet Bomawoko
4Dinis Almeida
11M. Brahimi66'for James Eto'o
80G. Chorbadzhiyski
37B. Cotter82'for David Samuel Custódio Lima
25D. Evtimov
9S. Godoy71'for Joel·Zwarts
34V. Kaymakanov
38Léo Pereira46'for Cătălin Itu48'

Arda Kardzhali Substitutes

35D. Velkovski89'for Viktor Popov
18S. Vasilev
44Adama Ardile Traoré46'for Dominik Yankov
11A. Kabov66'for Birsent Karagaren
22Y. Georgiev
16P. Bachev66'for Georgi Nikolaev Nikolov
26B. Akandzha
39A. Vutov

Match Stats

CSKA SofiaArda Kardzhali
57%Ball Possession43%
4Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards5
17Total Shots7
9Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal1
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
1688Elo Rating 1570
1.27Attack 1.30
2.13Defense 1.34
34%Hit Rate 46%
18.9Shots per Game 9.0
7.7Shots on Target 3.1
6.2Corners per Game 3.4
2.2Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+119 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali2Wins · 20%
2.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

First League06/02/2026
CSKA SofiaArda Kardzhali
31
First League18/09/2025
Arda KardzhaliCSKA Sofia
10
First League31/05/2025
Arda KardzhaliCSKA Sofia
11
Cup26/02/2025
CSKA SofiaArda Kardzhali
21
First League16/02/2025
CSKA SofiaArda Kardzhali
20
First League24/08/2024
Arda KardzhaliCSKA Sofia
21
First League21/04/2024
Arda KardzhaliCSKA Sofia
23
Cup28/02/2024
CSKA SofiaArda Kardzhali
10
First League27/10/2023
CSKA SofiaArda Kardzhali
00
First League28/10/2022
Arda KardzhaliCSKA Sofia
13

Recent Form

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
5W2D3L
04/09/2026
Arda KardzhaliBotev Plovdiv
23
L
31/08/2026
Arda KardzhaliBotev Vratsa
20
W
24/08/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
01
W
17/08/2026
Arda KardzhaliLokomotiv Sofia
31
W
08/08/2026
Dunav RuseArda Kardzhali
02
W
31/07/2026
CSKA 1948Arda Kardzhali
21
L
24/07/2026
Arda KardzhaliSlavia Sofia
10
W
18/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali
11
D
10/07/2026
Botev VratsaArda Kardzhali
10
L
07/07/2026
Arda KardzhaliBeitar Jerusalem
00
D

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia14104032:9+2334WDWWD
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia13102125:8+1732LWDWD
3LudogoretsLudogorets1393126:11+1530DWLWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481492333:16+1729DWWLW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1472523:21+223DWLWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1463520:22-221LWDLD
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1444615:25-1016WLLWL
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia142849:9014DDDLL
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1434714:22-813DWWLD
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1433816:23-712DLWWD
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv143388:18-1012WLDDD
12Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1432912:25-1311WLLLL
13Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1424811:24-1310LLDLD
14Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1416715:26-119LLDDW
#TeamMPGPts
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1432:934
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1325:832
3LudogoretsLudogorets1326:1130
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481433:1629
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1423:2123
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1420:2221
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1415:2516
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia149:914
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1414:2213
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1416:2312
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv148:1812
12Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1412:2511
13Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1411:2410
14Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1415:269
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

CSKA Sofia and Arda Kardzhali in the First League table

In the First League table, CSKA Sofia are 1st and Arda Kardzhali 6th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: CSKA Sofia 32-9, Arda Kardzhali 20-22. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Arda Kardzhali have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.