CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction

Bistritsa Stadium, Bistritsa·Lyuboslav Lyubomirov, Bulgaria 28/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.51
SignalGOODModel73%SurpriseMediumGap+8.3%
CSKA 1948 Rest
5 days
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Rest
4 days

CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: result, form and history

CSKA 1948 beat Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0 in the First League on 28 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

CSKA 1948 have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
78%1.51
X
10%3.90
2
12%6.00
Double Chance
1X
87%1.10
X2
22%2.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%2.02
No
44%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.36 + 0.96 = 3.32
Over 1.5
81%1.30
Over 2.5
66%1.95
Over 3.5
38%3.38
Under 1.5
19%3.20
Under 2.5
34%1.79
Under 3.5
62%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'Lucas Ryan
34'A. Cova
35'P. Umarbaev
45+2'B. Tsonev
60'D. Ali INR. Leijten out
69'M. Diallo INA. Iliev out
69'J. Meyer INP. Vitanov out
76'H. Cuellar
84'C. Longville INM. Petrovic out
84'S. Idriz INA. Aleksandrov out
84'B. Tsonev IND. Tarasenko out
90+2'E. Franco

Lineups

CSKA 1948
4-2-3-1Coach: Aleksandar Aleksandrov
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4-1-4-1Coach: Dusan Kosic
Aleks Bozhev31A. Bozhev
Diego Medina2D. Medina
Andre Hoffmann4A. Hoffmann
Benaissa Benamar5B. Benamar
Fourat Soltani15F. Soltani
Moataz Zemzemi8M. Zemzemi
Héctor Cuellar33H. Cuellar
Frédéric Maciel67F. Maciel
Jules Meyer30J. Meyer
Georgi Rusev11G. Rusev
Atanas Iliev9A. Iliev
Bojan Milosavljević1B. Milosavljević
Adrián Cova2A. Cova
Andrei Chindriş4A. Chindriş
Lucas Ryan13L. Ryan
Todor Pavlov5T. Pavlov
Efe Ali12E. Ali
Sevi Idriz7S. Idriz
Ivaylo Ivanov22I. Ivanov
Parvizdzhon Umarbaev39P. Umarbaev
Julien Lamy99J. Lamy
Christ Longville29C. Longville

CSKA 1948 Substitutes

13Dimitar Sheytanov
96Dragan Grivić
10Borislav Tsonev45+2'84'for D. Tarasenko
14Kaloyan Strinski
20Brian Sobrero
23Florian Krebs
34Petar Vitanov69'for J. Meyer
77Elias Franco90+2'
18Boris Dimitrov
71Danylo Tarasenko84'replaced by B. Tsonev
93Mamadou Diallo

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Substitutes

40Petar Zovko
3Dalil Ali
16Denis Kirashki
44Milan Petrovic
6Miha Trdan
20Ryan Yang Leijten60'replaced by D. Ali
30Alexander Alexandrov84'for S. Idriz
9Axel Velev
31Yoan Dzhelepov

Team Comparison

CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
1675Elo Rating 1487
3.93Attack 0.67
2.09Defense 2.05
83%Hit Rate 36%
16.2Shots per Game 8.7
7.9Shots on Target 1.9
3.3Corners per Game 2.0
2.2Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+188 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.32 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CSKA 1948CSKA 19487Wins · 70%
Draws330%
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv0Wins · 0%
2.4Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

First League05/03/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948
05
First League20/09/2025
CSKA 1948Lokomotiv Plovdiv
40
First League25/05/2025
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948
01
First League08/03/2025
CSKA 1948Lokomotiv Plovdiv
21
First League19/09/2024
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948
02
First League21/04/2024
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948
11
First League26/10/2023
CSKA 1948Lokomotiv Plovdiv
11
First League07/06/2023
CSKA 1948Lokomotiv Plovdiv
00
First League22/04/2023
CSKA 1948Lokomotiv Plovdiv
10
First League03/10/2022
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA 1948
13

Recent Form

Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
4W0D6L
24/08/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
01
L
16/08/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivDunav Ruse
12
L
07/08/2026
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
20
L
03/08/2026
Spartak VarnaLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
L
26/07/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
21
W
18/07/2026
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
L
08/07/2026
Rilski SportistLokomotiv Plovdiv
02
W
04/07/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
20
W
29/05/2026
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
3010
L
25/05/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
21
W

Referee Profile

Lyuboslav Lyubomirov82 matches

4.71Cards per match
4.50Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
21.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lyuboslav Lyubomirov4.71
Other referees4.77

4.71 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.77).

Cards come from 14 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia14104032:9+2334WDWWD
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia13102125:8+1732LWDWD
3LudogoretsLudogorets1393126:11+1530DWLWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481492333:16+1729DWWLW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1472523:21+223DWLWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1463520:22-221LWDLD
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1444615:25-1016WLLWL
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia142849:9014DDDLL
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1434714:22-813DWWLD
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1433816:23-712DLWWD
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv143388:18-1012WLDDD
12Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1432912:25-1311WLLLL
13Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1424811:24-1310LLDLD
14Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1416715:26-119LLDDW
#TeamMPGPts
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1432:934
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1325:832
3LudogoretsLudogorets1326:1130
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481433:1629
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1423:2123
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1420:2221
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1415:2516
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia149:914
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1414:2213
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1416:2312
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv148:1812
12Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1412:2511
13Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1411:2410
14Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1415:269
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

CSKA 1948 and Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the First League table

The table shows a wide gap: CSKA 1948 are 4th in the First League, while Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 11th, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: CSKA 1948 33-16, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 8-18. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

CSKA 1948 have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.